It Kills The Love In California
The Mercury News reports from California. “Dave Cantrell had become a community leader here, rallying his neighbors to stand up to the builder that was planning to auction off one-third of their new Paseo West subdivision at 40 percent discounts. Cantrell believed he made a difference, that maybe the auction prices wouldn’t be as low as he feared, that they would all recover. He promised to have a block party when it was all over. In the end, he couldn’t even save himself.”
“He had a job in construction management and was making $250,000 a year, plus a hefty bonus. His credit rating was in the 700s. So in 2006, he bought a $670,000 house, then spent $100,000 to add a pool and miniature golf course in the back. It seemed sensible enough at the time. He had made a tidy profit when he sold his last Anderson Home, a smaller one in the next neighborhood over.”
“‘You’re a smart man, Dave,’ the sales agent told him when he bought the house. ‘This house is grossly underpriced.’”
“Cantrell told that story twice to his neighbors gathered in his living room that night last year.”
“He attended the auction in a Pleasanton hotel ballroom last October. Bids barely hit 70 percent. While Cantrell had paid a base price of $658,500 for his house, a nearly identical one sold for $391,000. ‘I’ve lost a quarter-million dollars in value today,’ Cantrell said as he left the ballroom.”
“Some of the original owners welcomed the newcomers, relieved to have neighbors instead of empty houses next to them. But Edgardo Reyes doesn’t even want to say hello. ‘It’s a choking type of feeling. You look at your neighbor every day, and you have that resentment that they paid less,’ said Reyes. ‘We’ve been here two years, and if we can’t get it refinanced, we’ll have to let it go. We’ll just have to walk out.’”
“Rafael and Carroll Aguirre from Paola Place had sold their house in San Jose’s east foothills to move to Manteca to be closer to family. They put more than 25 percent down on a $547,000 house. They depleted their 401(k)s to spend $120,000 improving their backyard. Aguirre lost his job and, with no income for 11 months, the bill collectors started calling and he no longer could pay the mortgage. Selling the Town Car and the diamond ring barely made a dent. In July, they received a notice from the bank that they had 72 hours to leave. Their $270,000 investment was gone, and they were filing for bankruptcy.”
“On that hot summer morning…neighbor asked to dig up some of their trees and plants for her own yard. ‘They might as well have hung me up and whipped me,’ Carroll Aguirre said.”
“They moved into a rental in nearby Lathrop, a neighborhood where the lawns are brown and foreclosure signs line the sidewalk. The stress has been so great, Carroll said, that she’s daydreamed of driving herself off a cliff. ‘I don’t know why we’re still married,’ she said, wearing a house dress at the kitchen table of the rental. ‘It comes to the point that it kills the love.’”
The Press Democrat. “Tumbling home prices are drawing a growing number of investors back into Sonoma County’s battered real estate market. Today, roughly a third of all buyers are investors who don’t plan to live in the home they purchase. The market is not for everyone. Investors must have enough money to make a substantial down payment — at least 25 percent or more — and a very good credit rating to qualify for a loan.”
“But the combination of falling prices and stable rents makes this the best time to buy investment property in more than a decade, said Michael Morrongiello, who organizes investor education programs for the Bay Area Wealth Builders Association.”
“After looking at a dozen condos and houses, Santa Rosa resident Della Ramsey came back to a two-bedroom condo after a dramatic $40,000 price reduction. The lender wanted to clear the foreclosed property from its books, even if it meant selling for a significant loss. The $99,900 price was far below the $245,220 the former owner owed when the lender took back the condo in April.”
“‘I was like ‘wow.’ And then I went and looked at it and it was in very good shape. If you could do it, you had to do it,’ Ramsey said.”
“The condo will net her about $500 a month after homeowner fees, taxes and insurance, a solid return on an investment Ramsey plans to hold onto until Sonoma County’s housing market turns around. ‘With home prices going down, down, down, I was thinking, I had this money sitting in the bank not earning a whole lot of interest. And if you buy low, the market’s eventually going to go back up,’ Ramsey said.”
“Morrongiello said some investors who bought as prices soared during the housing boom that peaked three years ago got burned because they only bet on rising values. Their monthly financing costs far exceeded the amount of money they could ever hope to pocket from rents. ‘That’s what got them in trouble. They were speculating,’ he said.”
The San Francisco Chronicle. “A Southern California development firm is suspending its long-anticipated plan for a major housing and retail project at the former Oak Knoll Naval Hospital. Late last week, SunCal notified the city’s Redevelopment Agency that it was suspending work after one of the project’s chief investors, Lehman Bros., declared bankruptcy.”
“SunCal spokesman Joe Aguirre said in a statement that the company was ‘unable to obtain assurances of continued funding that would allow us to move forward with confidence.’ As a result, he said, the firm could no longer guarantee it would be able to pay a number of consultants and contractors working on the job.”
“SunCal surprised just about everyone by paying more than $100 million for Oak Knoll during a hotly contested federal auction at the height of housing boom in 2005.”
The Sacramento Bee. “In the Central Valley these days, the bankruptcies and foreclosures don’t just affect individual homeowners. They swallow entire developments – and the people who conceive them. Three massive high-end projects in the San Joaquin Valley have fallen into bankruptcy proceedings in the past two years.”
“All three developments were designed to bring the luxury life to the Valley, and that’s where the problem lies. Their struggles illustrate how hard it is to transplant $800,000 homes and designer golf courses to California’s chronically depressed midsection.”
“‘The markets were so overheated they were chasing any deal,’ said Fresno real estate consultant Robin Kane. ‘Part of the problem that always hurts us in the Valley, from Bakersfield to Stockton, is your employment and per capita income (are) not rising.’”
“With the boom a faded memory, unemployment is creeping back up to the 10 percent range in much of the Valley. The real estate market is a disaster. Developers…fell in love with the area’s inexpensive land but ignored its troubling demographics. The Valley is still plagued by low incomes, a poorly educated work force and other ills. ‘We’re not another Silicon Valley,’ said Bakersfield real estate appraiser Gary Crabtree.”
“Developer SunCal Cos. of Irvine borrowed $235 million from Lehman Bros. – part of a $2.2 billion war chest Lehman handed SunCal to develop properties throughout California and Nevada. SunCal had a grand vision for Bakersfield. After buying out the original developer, it doubled the asking price for individual lots, to $115,000.”
“But once the market petered out, ‘those prices were no longer viable,’ said ex-project manager Darryl Tucker. ‘You’ve just got tumbleweeds growing, and that’s about it.’”
“It’s a similar story at Running Horse, which was going to bring prosperity to Fresno’s long-neglected west side. Homes would sell for up to $800,000. Instead, Running Horse became Fresno’s longest-running soap opera.”
“‘It would have been a big deal for Fresno,’ said Harlan Kelley Sr., 71, a west side resident who put $385,000 into the project and was among those allegedly defrauded. ‘We still got our fingers crossed that Donald Trump or someone else will come in and take over.’”
“Many of the trailblazers still live at Diablo Grande, and they wonder when things are going to improve. Darcie Nessinger lives with her parents in a home valued at $275,000. They paid $534,000 three years ago. ‘We expected the values of the houses to go up,’ said Nessinger. ‘It’s a resort area on a golf course.’”
“A quick return to 2005 pricing is unlikely, at Diablo Grande or anywhere else in the Valley. Steve Smiley, who tracks Valley trends for (a) consulting firm, said outrageous housing prices are gone for good. ‘I don’t know if pricing is ever going to come back to that $800,000 house in Manteca,’ he said. ‘In my mind, it shouldn’t.’”
The Guardian. “Victorville was a desert boomtown. Up until a year ago, it was the second-fastest growing city in the US. There are still signs of the boom everywhere. Driving into town, there are signs pointing to new developments, and as you get closer, people stand on the street corners waving signs to try to entice buyers to model homes. But now, 11% of the homes in the city are in foreclosure.”
“One realtor, who I spoke to who but would not give her name because she didn’t have clearance from her employer, said, ‘Dead grass is the give away that the bank has foreclosed.’ Just as in Riverside, some blocks have three or four foreclosures each, she said.”
“This realtor was selling homes in a new 29-house development. Some of the homes are unfinished, and I asked her if the credit freeze had cut off funding and stopped building. She said no, but they have had to cut the price of the homes by $100,000. Three-bedroom homes are selling for about $150,000 and four-bedroom homes are selling for $172,490.”
“I drove across town and found Carlos and Christy Barberena, resellers, who were about to show a home. They are selling homes, but 80% of the sales are foreclosures, Carlos said. The average selling price is $80,000, and now ‘regular folks who saved their money’ are coming back into the market. They were off to show a young couple in their 20s a house. ‘It’s great for them,’ he said.”
The Orange County Register. “Foreclosures are selling in Orange County, just not fast enough. As a result, a growing backlog of foreclosures threatens to push home prices further down, some economists and brokers say.”
“MDA DataQuick, in a special report prepared for the Orange County Register, found that as of early September there were more than 3,300 unsold foreclosures in the county. DataQuick looked at all foreclosures for the year ended in June, and checked to see how many had resold. It found 40 percent were unsold.”
“Banks seized 1,427 houses and condos in August. Banks, and perhaps some investors, sold 862 properties that month that had been foreclosed on in the prior year. Even so, 565 bank-owned properties were added to the county’s inventory of unsold foreclosures in August.”
“Doing the same math for February, gives a net foreclosure figure of 114 properties. Clearly, the county has been adding unsold foreclosures at a faster rate each month.”
“Harry Solomon, who specializes in selling foreclosures for banks, recently checked on a foreclosure in Westminster and found a water line cut, gas disconnected, and earthquake straps removed – all to the house’s water heater. He suspects the homeowners had planned to take the heater, but ran out of time.”
“A similar visit to a house in Rancho Santa Margarita, revealed the people who rented the property from the delinquent owner had stripped it. Toilets gone. Appliances missing. Bedroom doors taken. In both cases, Solomon, suspects the residents were motivated more by anger than by value of anything taken.”
The North County Times. “Faced with a proliferation of dead lawns and weed-filled yards at foreclosed homes, city officials are hoping to use a new state law to force banks and mortgage companies to maintain the properties they take back.”
“Karl Schwarm, San Marcos’ director of housing and neighborhood services, said last week that he plans to ask the City Council this month to let the city levy fines of up to $1,000 a day against owners who fail to keep up foreclosed properties. Such fines became possible in July when Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger signed Senate Bill 1137 into law.”
“Maintenance often becomes an issue at a foreclosed property because many defaulting homeowners abandon their homes once they learn their lenders’ plan to take the properties. That can leave a home in maintenance limbo during the 60 to 90 days it takes to complete the foreclosure process.”
“‘Unfortunately, that’s when the grass dies and everything gets brown,’ said Schwarm. ‘During that time, the homeowner usually doesn’t care what anybody does to him because he doesn’t own the property anymore.’”
“Data from ForeclosureRadar shows the number of North County homes seized by banks and mortgage companies in August was more than double the number of foreclosures during August 2007. Lenders had started but not yet completed foreclosure proceedings on many more North County properties.”
“ZIP code maps maintained by the research firm showed the foreclosures spread throughout each city —- a trend North County city officials said they had noticed as well. ‘You really can find it in almost any neighborhood,’ said Escondido code enforcement manager Leslie Milks. ‘It’s citywide —- your higher-income areas, your lower-income areas.’”
“A resident of San Marcos’ upscale San Elijo Hills development who declined to give her name said she and her neighbors know what it’s like to watch a once-attractive property become the neighborhood eyesore after going into foreclosure. Built about two years ago, her Verzano neighborhood is filled with large, two-story homes surrounded by neatly kept yards and manicured landscaping. Recent months have seen a number of properties being foreclosed on, though, the woman said.”
“Just a couple doors down…a Weatherstone Way house taken by a bank about three months ago now has a dead lawn that stands out like an ugly brown stamp of shame among its green neighbors. ‘We wanted to water it, but the bank refused to let us,’ the woman said of herself and other nearby residents. ‘They even sent somebody out to put a lockbox on the water (system for the house). And now they won’t even contact us.’”
“A management company that represents the Verzano Homeowners Association has repeatedly tried to reach people at the bank as well, to no avail, she added. ‘I know this (foreclosure problem) is happening all over,’ the woman said. ‘But these banks, they’ve got to keep them up. You can’t let the whole neighborhood start looking bad.’”
“As housing prices soared in this decade, Robert J. Shiller, a Yale University finance and economics professor, turned his eye to the real estate market. He predicted a bubble in the making, starting in about 1998. He also predicted its bursting.”
“Q: Sacramento and California have seen huge drops in median sales prices the past year, which has stirred a jump in sales. Some say bottom is here, or on the horizon. Have you looked at the state?”
“A: I haven’t looked recently at Sacramento. But the other California markets, Los Angeles and San Diego, are down quite sharply already. They’re down 40 percent in real terms. That means they are something on the order of halfway down to pre-bubble levels. Eventually, the slowdown has to stop. I’m not really in the business of forecasting prices.”
“Q: What’s your opinion on bailing out struggling homeowners? What if it had happened earlier to stop foreclosures and spare the economy?”
A: We’ve let it get out of hand. Confidence is collapsing in this crisis. Maybe, they should have done something before this very negative view developed. I would like to see efforts to start bailing them out and put them in a new kind of contract.”
“Q: One of the very interesting parts of your book is how regulators simply could not imagine this downturn. You tell about meeting with people at Freddie Mac in October 2006. They said home prices might fall, at worst, by 13 percent.”
“A: I can tell another story. In 2003, I made an appearance at Fannie Mae. I told them I was worried about real estate risk. And I couldn’t get a response. They didn’t take me seriously. I was talking with some of their economists. I think the people there, they didn’t think there was any reason to expect a price drop, and my warnings were unheeded.”