July 3, 2008

Bits Bucket For July 3, 2008

Please post off-topic ideas, links and Craigslist finds here.




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397 Comments »

Comment by sevenofnine
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 04:13:53

I foresee Buffett picking a few attractive assets on the cheap.

Yes, they do exist.

At the right price, a lot of things become attractive, something that this crowd is hardly in a position to dispute. ;-)

Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 04:19:01

Warren Buffett has turned out to be a mere mortal lately, capable of losing vast sums, and besides…

What else does he have to prove?

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 04:23:44

He’s the steward of his firm’s capital. That’s a responsibility whether he has anything to prove or not.

Besides, after a while, this is just a game to him, and why not?

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 04:25:21

He’s not getting any younger and his reputation can only go down, from this point.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 04:32:22

That remains to be seen, as of yet. ;-)

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 05:05:33

Buffet’s amazing, but he hasn’t mastered the art of aging backwards.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 05:07:06

True, but a long-term bet for the shareholder can outlive the bettor. ;-)

 
Comment by hoz
2008-07-03 06:05:05

I want the bimbos from CNBC fawning over me. lol

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 07:02:09

“Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 04:25:21

He’s not getting any younger and his reputation can only go down, from this point.”

A willingness to risk one’s reputation is one of the secrets of staying young.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 07:21:17

Excellent point, PB.

 
 
Comment by JP
2008-07-03 05:10:31

What else does he have to prove?

I think he went waay past having something to prove a long time ago. The folks I know that have achieved well-known success are living in a different world than that.

More often than not, it’s about leaving a legacy.

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 05:16:19

It’s akin to watching a formerly amazing athlete that played a season or 2, too long, and is thought of more for his last years, than his glory years.

 
Comment by JP
2008-07-03 05:23:57

Not really. There are many fields where one builds on knowledge over time, and athletics isn’t one of them.

It’s more like science. My favorite example: John Bardeen won the Nobel prize in 1956 for the transistor. For many folks, that would be the end of their career. (Josephson went off the deep end after winning his, and started studying “quantum ghosts”. Even Newton lost it and went down the path of paranormal towards the end of his life.) Bardeen went on to explain superconductors and won a second Nobel in 1978.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 05:26:16

On the playing fields of high finance, we keep score based upon performance, no different than an athlete.

 
Comment by JP
2008-07-03 05:33:20

On the playing fields of high finance, we keep score based upon performance, no different than an athlete.

Right. Which is why we separate out the men and women in most olympic sporting events.

 
Comment by combotechie
2008-07-03 05:33:29

What Buffett has going against him is the huge amount of money he controls.

Investment pickings are few when $billions are involved, pickings are many when mere $thousands or a $million are at stake. Buffett’s rate of return was outstanding in his early days largely because the amounts he was dealing with was much smaller.

This is why the little guy has an edge over the big boys. The little guy has tens of thousands of stocks to select from, the big guys don’t.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 06:03:23

On the playing fields of high finance, we keep score based upon performance, no different than an athlete.

“Right. Which is why we separate out the men and women in most olympic sporting events.”
____________________________________________________

I wasn’t aware that money is gender-based…

 
2008-07-03 07:00:57

I wasn’t aware that money is gender-based…

when in a hole, stop digging.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 07:05:37

I just pulled a Dollar out of my pocket and for some reason, I can’t make out it’s male or female.

Is there a distinguishing mark?

 
Comment by JP
2008-07-03 07:11:57

I wasn’t aware that money is gender-based…

You mean it’s possible that athletics is a poor analogy to finance? Can’t be. Because on the playing fields of high finance, we keep score based upon performance, no different than an athlete.

Come to think of it: Txchick and I have completely different bets just about all the time. I used to think it was because our timeframes made me a longie and her a shortie, but perhaps our X and Y’s are just expressing themselves.

 
Comment by reuven avram
2008-07-03 08:10:37

You forgot about the third inventor of the transistor: William Shockley

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 08:17:39

Aah yes, Shockley, later known as Mr. Eugenics.

Who could forget him? ;-)

 
Comment by JP
2008-07-03 08:29:49

Good point about Bill Shockley. I never met him, but I do know someone who tried to talk some sense into him about his eugenics pursuit. The sad part is that Shockley genuinely believed that it was a worthwhile avenue of research, and that these questions needed answers since it was science after all.

Interestingly, my friend said that Shockley also had a big chip on his shoulder about his inability to achieve great wealth despite being an inventor of the transistor. Bardeen seemed pretty happy just doing science.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 08:32:26

I think I have it…

All of our banknotes that have men on them are masculine, all of the ones with females are feminine.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Rintoul
2008-07-03 10:09:18

This is related to what I was wondering about yesterday: banks raising capital…

 
Comment by RoundSparrow
2008-07-04 02:58:05

It’s high time for a walk on the real side
Let’s admit the bastards beat us
I move to dissolve the corporation
In a pool of margaritas
So let’s switch off all the lights
And light up all the Luckies
Crankin’ up the afterglow
‘Cause we’re goin’ out of business
Everything must go

Talk about your major pain and suffering
Now our self-esteem is shattered
Show the world our mighty hidey-ho face
As we go sliding down the ladder
It was sweet up at the top
‘Til that ill wind started blowing
Now it’s cozy down below
‘Cause we’re goin’ out of business
Everything must go

We gave it our best shot
But keep in mind we got a lot
The sky the moon good food and the weather
First-run movies — does anybody get lucky twice?
Wouldn’t it be nice…

Tell me can you dig it Miss Fugazy
Now it’s gone from late to later
Frankly I could use a little face time
In the service elevator
And if Dave from Acquisitions
Wants to get in on the action
With his Handicam in tow
Well we’re goin’ out of business
Everything must go

Can it be the sorry sun is rising
Guess it’s time for us to book it
Talk about the famous road not taken
In the end we never took it
And if somewhere on the way
We got a few good licks in
No one’s ever gonna know
‘Cause we’re goin’ out of business
Everything must go

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2008-07-03 03:46:04

Seems to me the first paragraph is a contradiction. How else can they ‘reduce perception’ of to big to fail, without stepping in, and who would pay for it’s involvement?

Paulson says new rules needed for failing financial firms…

“Two concerns underpin expectations of regulatory intervention to prevent a failure,” Paulson said. “They are that an institution may be too interconnected to fail or too big to fail. We must take steps to reduce the perception that this is so — and that requires that we reduce the likelihood that it is so.”

The Treasury chief stressed that officials’ first task “clearly” was ensuring market stability. Analysts see little chance of a regulatory overhaul being enacted by Congress this year, before a new administration takes office in January.

Paulson reiterated that the U.S. economy was in a “rough period.”

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-paulson3-2008jul03,0,5334817.story

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 04:11:43

Sounds to me like tacit admission that someone (and perhaps many of them) are going to fail.

Comment by Tim
2008-07-03 05:48:37

Admission of insolvency is in fact a bankruptcy event under most financial documents resulting in negative consequences for the defaulting party.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 06:23:10

Right.

But this is “pre-event spin control” if you know what I mean.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 07:05:55

I thought the “pre-event spin control” was the mantra that “subprime is contained” which lasted from about Jan-July 2007?

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 07:22:46

Fine. Nitpick away. That’s what you academics do anyway. ;-)

This is the “post-event pre-bigger-event spin control”.

Better?

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 14:38:01

We only nitpick when we are not regressing.

 
 
 
 
Comment by auger-inn
2008-07-03 05:42:35

Here’s a little bit of happy talk from Ron Paul (sarcasm) for anyone who cares about such nonsense.

http://www.campaignforliberty.com/blog/?p=115

 
 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 03:49:51

Happy Birthday America: A Bunch of Spoiled, Whiny Brats

“The American executive and legislative branches of government are in dire need of an aggressive purge in the form of a no-confidence referendum. Unfortunately, the American people have no such device to rid themselves of desiccated people and the interests that tell them what American national policies should be. More’s the pity, presidential candidates Barack Obama (D) and John McCain (R) have merely repackaged the status quo and are selling it as new-face-equals-new policy. None of it adds up to change and, no matter who is elected as president or which party controls congress, odds are America will be on the same course towards more war, more economic pain, more infrastructure problems, and more security intrusions into the daily routine.”

http://english.pravda.ru/opinion/columnists/03-07-2008/105678-america-0

Comment by tresho
2008-07-03 04:29:21

Это - правда.

Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-07-03 04:40:50

What’s that mean? .. i hope it’s something like “Those stupid Ruskies can bite me.”

Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 04:49:59

joey,

Perhaps you didn’t read the article, but it was written by an American.

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Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-07-03 05:06:14

True.. America does allow it’s citizens to travel to foreign countries, badmouth America in the foreign press, and be allowed back into America.

Is this a great country or what? According to more than a few “americans”, including that writer, the answer is no.

 
Comment by not a gator
2008-07-03 05:20:49

In Soviet Russia, government criticizes you.

 
Comment by Brian in Chicago
2008-07-03 05:37:41

Is this a great country or what? According to more than a few “americans”, including that writer, the answer is no.

Is there anything more American than criticizing the government when it is doing something wrong?

If you don’t love your country, why do you care if it heads downhill? Why would you bother to write and publish something about it?

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-07-03 05:58:58

Brian.. In this Olympic year, it’s worth noting that Americans hold just six world records in track & field competitions. They hold none in weightlifting. Americans are fat and lazy.

and i guess you’d call that constructive criticism. I’ll watch my language and call it plain old stupid.
As for this topic, I’ll not contribute further the wasting of server space of bandwidth..

 
Comment by yogurt
2008-07-03 06:05:39

“To announce that there must be no criticism of the president… is morally treasonable to the American public.”

Theodore Roosevelt

 
Comment by Bronco
2008-07-03 06:57:25

joey, I agree with the fat and lazy part, but 6 world records in track and field is pretty impressive given our population vs. the whole world.

 
Comment by Walnuts
2008-07-03 08:54:59

I looked at just the track & field events that are contested at the Olympics and US atheletes hold World Records in 9 of them, not 6.

Not to mention world records are not a good way to determine how good a country is at track & field. The US wins far more medals at each Olympics and World Championships in track than any other country.

The US dominates track & field - to suggest otherwise shows an ignorance of the sport. The writer of that article obviously falls in that category.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2008-07-03 07:56:01

The second word is ‘Pravda’, which IIRC means ‘truth’

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Comment by Skroodle
2008-07-03 11:58:51

First word means “thats”. “the” would be understood.

 
Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-07-03 13:21:00

Я думаю что.

 
 
 
 
Comment by palmetto
2008-07-03 04:30:48

Did anyone catch a load of the green seaweed problem over there in China? Gives new meaning to the term “walk on water”. Yep, those Olympics oughta be a real laugh-a-minute.

Comment by wmbz
2008-07-03 04:52:57

Yep, The Olympic sailing teams are going to be sailing in soup unless they can clean up the algae bloom explosion. I understand it stinks to high heaven over there.

Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-07-03 04:57:54

my cousin just got back from a months long trip to several far-east countries, including China .. she called on her return, and gave me a one-word discription of each country.. for China the word was “dirty”.

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Comment by nhz
2008-07-03 06:33:13

depends on preconceptions and where you look probably.
My neighbour returned from a three week trip to China last week and she was hugely amazed of what she saw there and the progress they made in the last 10 years or so. Of course there is poverty and dirt, you can find that in the US and Europe as well …

 
Comment by angus
2008-07-03 08:33:06

China is an island.

http://kk.org/ct2/2008/06/china-is-an-island.php

Conceptually, at least.

 
 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 04:59:03

I fervently hope that the Beijing olympics is a showcase for China…

An example of how unfettered & undisciplined capitalism can wreak havoc on one’s environment, and living conditions.

It’s not what China is hoping for, but you do reap what you sew.

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Comment by Lip
2008-07-03 05:35:11

alad,

Are you suggesting that unfettered and undisciplined capitalism breeds pollution? If so, that’s mind boggling.

First, I’m shocked that you don’t realize that China is still a communistic country where the state controls most everything. I know they’re getting capitalistic in their industry, but its my understanding that the state is still in control.

Secondly, compare the communist/socialistic countries to the democratic/capitalistic worldwide and I think you’d find that countries like ours are much cleaner overall.

But I’m not a world traveler so I would like to know.

Which countries are the cleanest and which are the dirtiest?

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 05:44:50

I have a friend that is a world-class caver, and he’s been to China many times (on their dime, er renminbi) to look for new sources of freshwater, as most every cave has some.

He came back from a trip last year, and described a country in near-collapse ecologically.

 
Comment by Lucy
2008-07-03 05:54:24

Sow?

I think China will clean herself up for long enough.

 
Comment by yogurt
2008-07-03 06:15:11

Are you suggesting that unfettered and undisciplined capitalism breeds pollution

Well yes. Why don’t you do a little bit of study of pollution during the Industrial Revolution, when capitalism really was unfettered and undisciplined.

If there is no market mechanism for allocating the costs of an economic activity to its originator, as is the case with air and water pollution, only the state can do it.

 
Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2008-07-03 06:31:37

“If there is no market mechanism for allocating the costs of an economic activity to its originator, as is the case with air and water pollution, only the state can do it.”

There’s a market mechanism. It’s called private property. You wouldn’t stand for allowing your neighbor to dump garbage in your yard, would you?

Make bodies of water privately owned, apply the common law of nuisance to air pollution, and things will start to get cleaned up.

 
Comment by Lip
2008-07-03 06:33:48

Yogurt,

Yes in the Industrial Revolution we had pollution problems and you have a valid point regarding the state having to mandate the cleanup. Obviously government is needed for some aspects of managing a country, but when does a communistic country get around to cleaning up their environment? How about the condition of our environment now? When I think about the state of the environment in the 70’s compared to what it is now, we’ve really cleaned things up.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 06:38:50

It wasn’t communism that led China to the precipice of ecological disaster…

 
Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2008-07-03 06:50:13

“It wasn’t communism that led China to the precipice of ecological disaster”

Well, that’s a relief. For a second I thought you were on the verge of admitting that draconian command economies cause mis-allocation of resources. Then things would have gotten really boring around here.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 06:59:08

I think one of the problems Americans have with understanding China, is that once upon a time it was a basket-case country, where lots of people died of starvation on a regular basis in the 1950’s and 1960’s (great leap forward-cultural revolution), and growing up, I was always told to finish my dinner, as my parents would tell me that “they’re are people starving in China” and it was true.

I’d guess they are much more capitalistic than we are, now.

 
2008-07-03 07:08:21

Make bodies of water privately owned, apply the common law of nuisance to air pollution, and things will start to get cleaned up.

yeah, like all those abandoned strip mines in MT that are poisonous ponds now.

 
2008-07-03 07:11:00

Well, that’s a relief. For a second I thought you were on the verge of admitting that draconian command economies cause mis-allocation of resources.

Heh…. surely the war on Iraq isn’t one of these misallocation of resources, since it doesn’t come from a draconian command economy. What is a few trillion dollars among rich friends and wannabe-rich puppies?

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-07-03 07:16:38

Make bodies of water privately owned, apply the common law of nuisance to air pollution, and things will start to get cleaned up.

Oh, brilliant!

Mr. Cheney? Mr. Cheney, is that you?

May I access the resources of Lake Halliburton to brush my teeth, sir?

What’s that, The Water Access Computer says my personal views are incompatible with any hydration or hygiene allowances?

 
Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2008-07-03 07:34:43

OK, ET, so you like the idea that water resources are controlled by the government? Is not the fearsome Borg Mr. Cheney a high-ranking official in said government? Have you thought this through?

Actually, it would be pretty hard for any entity, public or private, to monopolize the three-quarters of the earth that is water.

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-07-03 07:48:29

Fresh water is the issue, and there is surprisingly little of it in many areas of the world. We Americans happen to be lucky in that regard, even though California will try to suck us all dry if we don’t watch ‘em careful-like.

Fresh water resources in the US are generally overseen by state law, not the federales. Are you sure you’ve thought this through, or do you generally advocate for corporate control of everything?

 
Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2008-07-03 08:07:33

I advocate *individual* control of everything. Government should only step in when there is a dispute between individuals that cannot be resolved peaceably– and even then, government should only act in accordance with long-established principles of the English common law.

Also, I said nothing (in this thread) about corporations. But if you’ve read my other posts here, I am as anti-corporate as anyone (more so than Ralph Nader), and have called for complete repeal of state laws enabling their existence.

 
Comment by phillygal
2008-07-03 08:27:58

Hi LVG

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-07-03 09:07:12

I advocate *individual* control of everything.

You said “privately owned,” which typically stands for “corporate ownership.”

At any rate, I’m curious how private, non-incorporated individuals could control water rights for entities such as Lake Michigan or the Mississippi River. Without the individuals being multi-billionaires and without the usage rights becoming absurdly convoluted, that is.

(The tenets of English common law do come into play in our application of water rights, BTW, though how much devolves to common law seems to depend on a number of factors including the state(s) and the body of water in question. Water rights seem pretty complicated, and I’m no attorney.)

 
Comment by sf jack
2008-07-03 09:48:32

As I understood the situation, communism was certainly responsible for lots of pollution in Eastern Europe at one time, particularly in the 1980’s.

So much so, that the eventual collapse of those governments due to internal unrest over environmental problems was seen as a possibility by Western security agencies.

I would not be surprised if today the same is being seen for China.

 
Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2008-07-03 10:22:53

ET: Yes, this subject could be its own blog. Here’s one (but it doesn’t seem to allow comments):

http://www.greatlakeslaw.org/blog/

Here’s a link on riparian rights:

http://www.waterencyclopedia.com/Re-St/Rights-Riparian.html

 
Comment by Max
2008-07-03 15:53:23

There is no property-based solutions to harmful externalities - there is no way to privately control air and much of the body of water. Many bright economists failed to devise a working scheme based on private ownership. Do you ever notice the foul smell when you follow an old car from the 70s, and you immediately get a headache? That’s the smell of free capitalism for you, until the big bad democratic government (the people) came together to make certain rules (Nash equilibrium).

An interesting example is the timber industry in Russia after the privatization in the 90’s - the privately owned parcels were exploited mercilessly to the point where no new trees can grow for the next 50 years, whereas the government-owned parcels were protected by the the time-tested forestry codes and still enjoy sustainable output.

There is private ownership and then there is private ownership. There are “private owners” who are only interested in short-term gains, until they make enough money to retire to Monaco or the Carribean. There are plenty of abandoned mines with acid runoffs, factories with god knows what in them, etc. Even in their own homes people are less than clean - I see plenty of horrible junk in backyards, in garages, and even indoors.

 
Comment by measton
2008-07-03 19:19:02

Why is everyone using the fact that communist governments have produced polluted environments as an argument against the fact that only government can regulate such things. Just because some governments (democratic or communist) do not act as a regulator does not mean that government is not the answer. In an unregulated capitalistic society business will not accept the costs of pollution control. Hell they lobby against the ones we have. It is clear that governments run by corporations or governments who in essence are corporations and own all business (ie China) will behave in the same manner.

 
Comment by shizo
2008-07-03 20:14:08

Only if we let them. It is ALL in perception. The recent paradigm shift to “green is good” has caused these same companies to clean up their act in as so far as it is perceived they are ACTING green. Hell, I’ve seen some outlandish claims as of late that products and actions that are HORRID are “green”. As soon as the consumers as a “whole” start to demand something things change in a hurry to chase the capital. Oil included. We are on the cusp of major changes in transportation on a global scale. Big oil has the USA by the short & curlies, and we just may be replaced as the innovators of this earth, for good or bad, based on the stifling of innovation.

 
 
Comment by Brian in Chicago
2008-07-03 05:48:31

Yep, The Olympic sailing teams are going to be sailing in soup unless they can clean up the algae bloom explosion. I understand it stinks to high heaven over there.

The Olympic sailing teams have been complaining about Qingdao since it was announced as the sailing venue. Pollution was cited, but perhaps most of all they have been complaining about the lack of wind.

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Comment by llcarlos
2008-07-03 22:45:44

Algae can be turned into fuel. China will have the last laugh.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2008-07-03 04:35:45

I certainly find no fault in this statement, but the majority of people will sit in their little corners and point fingers and name call.

“More’s the pity, presidential candidates Barack Obama (D) and John McCain (R) have merely repackaged the status quo and are selling it as new-face-equals-new policy. None of it adds up to change and, no matter who is elected as president or which party controls congress, odds are America will be on the same course towards more war, more economic pain, more infrastructure problems, and more security intrusions into the daily routine.”

Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 04:42:08

The Pravda shall set you free…

Comment by wjk
2008-07-03 09:25:12

Wages are stagnant, prices rising dangerously, government spending out of control, Federal Reserve creation of money and credit out of control, debts of every kind at record levels and one-half the Army occupying the Middle Eastern oil fields.

AAARRRGGG!!!

Ex Republican

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Comment by txchick57
2008-07-03 05:04:11

I’ve never said Mc would create any real change. The issue now is preventing the ultraliberal left from gaining complete control of everything and returning us to the Carter years.

Comment by kckid
2008-07-03 05:10:05

Corruption: Yet another Democrat’s sweetheart mortgage deal is exposed — and this time it’s the party’s standard bearer. What could Sen. Barack Obama do for a lender in exchange for more than $100,000? Plenty.

http://www.ibdeditorials.com/IBDArticles.aspx?id=299891480211602

Obama, presumptive Democratic presidential nominee from Illinois and self-styled man of the people, lives in a mansion described by the Washington Post as featuring “six bedrooms, four fireplaces, a four-car garage and 5 1/2 baths, including a double steam shower and a marble powder room . . . a wine cellar, a music room, a library, a solarium, beveled glass doors and a granite-floored kitchen.”

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 05:21:52

In the ongoing death of religion intermixing with politics…

The score is tied.

Both sides now have repudiated 2 religious wackos.

 
Comment by not a gator
2008-07-03 05:34:38

Well, if true, that’s disgusting, although you failed to quote the paragraph you’re teasing about.

Way to straw man, though: “self-styled man of the people”? Since when? Look, Obama isn’t the one who jawboned about a lower-middle class background and a hard-scrabble upbringing. That was O’Reilly. And Pat Buchanan. And, heck, Marshall Mathers.

Shoooot, “Howie” Carr pretends to be working class to this day, even though he is a VERY comfortable WASP with a very lovely wife and children of the same persuasion.

White guys seem to have this need to overcompensate… whether it’s John Edwards building a million dollar mansion to prove he ISN’T poor any more like he was when he grew up, or Billo lying on the air about the supposed working class poor misery of his upbringing.

Of course, this strategy goes back to the Kennedys. They were masters at it… even faking working class accents, even though they lived in style in the nice part of Brookline during the Great Depression.

But I’ve never seen Obama running around whining about growing up in a single parent home or going on and on about being poor growing up, or saying “I understand you because” blah blah blah dubious story. He doesn’t have to, because as a Black man he’s faced discrimination all of his life. And he has shown by his actions that he’s sensitive to the plight of minority homeowners (as is Duval Patrick, another Chicago pol, who oddly enough got himself elected in Massachusetts). Now, I may not agree with his proposals in this sphere, but it’s clear to me that his interest in the future of lower class families in genuine. A much higher percentage of Black families make up the lower rungs of society than are poor among Whites, so as a member of a Black church, he has been face to face with the devastation of poverty.

It’s kind of like my thing with Joe Kennedy (jr.); even though he is scum, I think he genuinely is concerned about the poor and the elderly in New England. He could be doing a lot of things, but he puts his time, energy, resources, and money into Joe for Oil. Sure, it’s kind of egotistical, a way to shore up his image after a tawdry divorce and remarriage. (His first wife, though not Catholic, refused to agree to an annulment, making him an adulterer.) But it’s been years, and he could moved on to other things, but he’s still doing it. “Ye will know a tree by its fruits.”

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2008-07-03 06:27:27

..because as a Black man ..

jeeze.. For the unpteenth frickin time, Obama is mullato. Half white and raised by his white mother in a white environment. Search ‘obama’ in wikipedia for his bio..
Wiki uses his photo on their ‘mullato’ page.

If he calls himself ‘black’, he certainly doesn’t appreciate his own heritage… or perhaps there’s political motivation.. ya think?

 
Comment by oxide
2008-07-03 06:45:16

Obama’s mortgage locked in a fixed-rate loan with a whopping 30-basis point discount because of his (presumably) good credit rating.

If that’s “sweetheart,” then I have a candleshop owner, a baby sitter, and a strawberry picker I’d like you to meet.

And if you’d like to play the comparison game, ask the other candidate about his houses, and how he paid for them.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 06:52:28

joey,

When you came out of your mother’s birth canal, did you have any say in the matter as to your gender or race?

Your comments are beyond shallow…

 
2008-07-03 07:20:11

I,>And if you’d like to play the comparison game, ask the other candidate about his houses, and how he paid for them.

and how he doesn’t think he needs to pay property taxes for FOUR YEARS on some of them. :-)

 
Comment by Incredulous
2008-07-03 07:41:58

As a reincarnationist, I believe we ALL choose, to one extent or another, our parents, race, region, religion, and the rest, though choices may be limited and no guarantees of happiness, safety, prosperity, or good health are provided.

I also believe we are here to experience stuff from a multitude of viewpoints, so that this lifetime’s liberal may be next lifetime’s arch conservative, and this lifetime’s Christian may be next lifetime’s Buddhist. The notion that anyone’s viewpoint could be anything more than a speck in the mosaic doesn’t wash.

That’s my viewpoint speck, and anyone who doesn’t agree with it is obviously WRONG. :)

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 08:57:18

Sounds rather incredulous…

 
Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-07-03 09:45:30

Race is defined not as much by how you see yourself, as by how others see you.

Most people don’t parse someone’s black ancestry enough to treat them differently, unless it makes them more sexually attractive.

 
Comment by Incredulous
2008-07-03 10:26:57

“Comment by aladinsane…

“‘Sounds rather incredulous…’”

I think you mean “incredible.”

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 13:15:38

The problem with a black president might be the ever-present option to play the race card: Every time anyone dares to question any move he made, the racism charge could be used to attack the opposition.

 
Comment by Esoteric
2008-07-03 18:09:23

Obama hasn’t played the race card so far. I highly doubt he will, he has too much pride to do that.

Joey, when poeple look at Obama, they don’t say “there goes a fine upstanding white man.” They don’t say “there goes a fine upstanding mulatto man.”

They say “wow he’s black.”

White people will never think of Obama as “one of their own” he will always be a part of the black community no matter if it turns out he’s only 1/4 black.

As a white man it doesn’t offend me that he identifies more with his black heritage than his white heritage.

 
Comment by spike66
2008-07-03 20:44:27

“For the unpteenth frickin time, Obama is mullato.”

Obama is black, end of story. In America, especially in the south, by tradition, one drop of black blood was enough to make you black, no matter if you had pale skin or not.
Why is this news to you? Are you a recent immigrant?

 
Comment by CA renter
2008-07-04 04:13:22

spike,

That was from slave days. I certainly hope we can move away from that crap.

Though I don’t usually agree with joeyinca, Obama is half white, and was raised by his white mother (as were many celebrities who claim they are “black” when they were really raised by their white mothers).

It bothers me too, because the race issue becomes and issue unto itself.

Personally, I don’t give a crap what “race” somebody is, as long as they are decent people. It just gets really old when people play-up the whole race thing.

Let’s hope we can get a qualified president in office, irrespective of their race, gender, age or appearance.

 
 
Comment by not a gator
2008-07-03 05:19:20

Well, I’m gay, and a return to the Carter years certainly sounds better than a return to the Reagan years.

Economic policy isn’t everything (and neither Hoover nor FDR was terribly effective at cleaning up the mess that EZ Credit Coolidge made).

Also, McCain hates Amtrak.

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Comment by joeyinCAlif
2008-07-03 06:35:56

you’re gay.. uh huh.. Do we really need to know how you get your rocks off?
Perhaps there exist gay-economic principles you might be willing to share with us..?

 
Comment by wolfgirl
2008-07-03 06:46:11

We did extremely well under Carter. That’s not to say that everything was great, but we had hope that we hadn’t had during the Republican era that preceeded it.

 
2008-07-03 07:16:07

Joey in Calif,

I’m brown skinned. What’ve you got for me? I’m kinda feeling left out after the love you’ve shown Obama and notagator….

 
2008-07-03 07:17:47

Carter was also right about energy policy. Guess who ripped out the soslar panels from the white house rooftop?

 
Comment by SD Renter-George
2008-07-03 07:55:07

“you’re gay.. uh huh.. Do we really need to know how you get your rocks off?
Perhaps there exist gay-economic principles you might be willing to share with us..?”

Go easy Joey. It’s the 4th of July weekend. We’re all just friends here sharing. You do, however, make a point but when someone opens up a bit to become transparent, it’s OK by me.

Most of us are on this planet working too hard trying to look good behind the phony smiles. When someone says something that shows that he is somewhat authentic, that’s his breakthough and I appreciate it.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-07-03 11:29:46

Remain calm. All’s well: I’m brown skinned. What’ve you got for me? I’m kinda feeling left out after the love you’ve shown Obama and notagator….

i do apologize.. the decade upon decade of in-your-face sexualism, racial opportunism and political pandering occasionally tests my patience.

 
Comment by shizo
2008-07-03 20:32:09

“amen” joey. not that i entirely agree with your somewhat callous statements, but i do agree that shoving viewpoints down everyones throat with a “if you decent this belief you are one of THEM” is wholeheartedly evil, from both conservative and liberal sides. Everything has become so charged over the last decade the fence has no gates, it is all or none. I call BS.

 
 
Comment by ACH
2008-07-03 05:28:25

Txchick,
Jimmy Carter was as bad as W in his decision making. For instance, the hyper-inflation that went along with the waining days of his disastrous Presidency was caused by Iraq invading Iran and the subsequent war that ensued. Now, Iraq invaded Iran with the approval of - one guess now!- yes, The White House. Iraq did not start that war without approval. At the time, we and the Soviets were being played off each other by Saddam.

Now, who is ultimately responsible for the political thinking that underpins the Iraq mess? The neocons. These guys are, for the most, part ex-Liberals who have moved to being more Conservative than Ronald Reagan Himself.

I know many true Conservatives and true Liberals. Both appear to be equally hated by the nutcase idealogues that currently run the mainstream parties. When I think Conservative I think Eisenhower, Ford, Reagan, and NOT Cheney, W, and Wolfowitz. When I think Liberal, I think FDR, JFK, Clark M. Clifford, and NOT Nader, Truman, and Carter. Definitely not Carter.
Roidy
P.S. I went to the beach. Did anything happen while I was gone?

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Comment by measton
2008-07-03 06:23:26

Inflation was running 8% for several years prior to Carter becoming president.
The oil embargo in the early 70’s set the stage for hyperinflation
The deficit was 76 billion when he took office within 3 years he had cut it to 40 billion in an effort to head off worsening inflation.
The Iran Iraq war may have contributed but the inflation train left the station well before this war was launched.

 
Comment by yogurt
2008-07-03 06:30:26

For instance, the hyper-inflation that went along with the waining days of his disastrous Presidency was caused by Iraq invading Iran and the subsequent war that ensued.

Come on off it. The inflation of the late 60’s and 70’s, which peaked in 1980, was caused by excess government spending (due to LBJ’s social programs and the VIetnam War at the same time) and loose monetary policy. Those are the only causes of inflation, any time, any where.

And the inflation rate in 1980 was 13.6%, if you think that’s hyper-inflation you should take a tour of Zimbabwe.

It was Carter who was responsible for bringing about the end of the inflationary era by appointing Volcker as Fed chair who restored responsible monetary policies. That’s what worked, not Nixon’s wage and price controls or Ford’s buttons.

 
Comment by VirginiaTechDan
2008-07-03 07:16:24

To be more precise, Inflation IS the increase in the money supply. (Note I didn’t say the increase in the money supply causes inflation).

You know what else happened during the 70’s? We defaulted on our promise to pay gold for our dollars. Apparently someone printed more paper dollars than there was gold to back it up. (We didn’t leave the gold standard because it was defective, we left it because we defaulted).

Wars create inflation when the war is funded by the printing press.

There is only one other way to cause “inflation” and that is to decrease the supply of goods on the WORLD market. Wars can have this effect as well.

Price stability with increasing goods on the market is still inflation because the creators of money have stolen all of the increase in production (necessary to keep prices from falling).

Note: deflation is only bad for banks that lie, cheat, and steal. Deflation is GREAT for the average Joe who hasn’t made “naked shorts” on the dollar via fractional reserve lending.

 
Comment by ACH
2008-07-03 07:31:22

For instance, the hyper-inflation that went along with the “waining days of his disastrous Presidency was caused by Iraq invading Iran and the subsequent war that ensued.”

I did not make this claim! Carter said this in an interview I watched! This is Carter’s assertion. You don’t agree? Then see Pres. Carter.
Roidy

 
 
Comment by Lip
2008-07-03 05:40:04

TXC57,

Exactly right, we really don’t know what McCain will bring, but I think the fact that BHO is the ultra-liberal is the reason why he’s not going to be the next President.

Have I noticed a wavering on your part that McCain can beat him?

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 05:54:45

“We talk a great deal about patriotism. What do we mean by patriotism in the context of our times? I venture to suggest that what we mean is a sense of national responsibility which will enable America to remain master of her power — to walk with it in serenity and wisdom, with self-respect and the respect of all mankind; a patriotism that puts country ahead of self; a patriotism which is not short, frenzied outbursts of emotion, but the tranquil and steady dedication of a lifetime. The dedication of a lifetime — these are words that are easy to utter, but this is a mighty assignment. For it is often easier to fight for principles than to live up to them.”

Adlai E. Stevenson, Jr.

 
Comment by txchick57
2008-07-03 07:43:32

Lip: not at all. In fact the more I see the MSM wanking about him with an increasingly shrill tone (see Ariana Huffington’s screeching at him not to move to the middle), the more convinced I am that it won’t even be close.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 07:56:42

Alf Landon (the ghost of) has no chance.

 
2008-07-03 08:28:12

In fact the more I see the MSM wanking about him with an increasingly shrill tone ….. the more convinced I am that it won’t even be close.

You mean shrill tone of MSM like this?

And so far NO ONE has answered Wes Clark’s simple questions about McCain’s lack of leadership credentials.

Even Grampa Simpson himself couldn’t answer it, and went ape$hit when asked by ABC News’ David Wright yeasterday.

Chick, BTW, calling Huffington MSM is a stretch. MSM is Fox, Limbaugh, NYT, CNN etc.

 
Comment by NotInMontana
2008-07-03 14:28:27

BS. MSM = big networks and newspapers…

 
 
Comment by hoz
2008-07-03 06:52:44

Dear friends,

Please lay off the politics. It is equal to discussing religion or other peoples parents.

You are reacting as if the president, whoever it might be, has any power.

Unless the Congress changes there will be no significant change in the direction the country goes. The presidential election is a joke.

Bread and circuses for all. Personal responsibility for none.

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Comment by Bronco
2008-07-03 07:06:59

hoz, you are absolutely correct

 
Comment by darthrealtor (formerly vthousingbear)
2008-07-03 07:10:38

Amen hoz. Maybe Ben can create a thread for this type of garbage. It gets tiring reading about the ‘Messiah’ and ‘McLame’, etc, etc.
Take it somewhere else.

‘Meet the new boss, same as the old boss….’

 
Comment by phillygal
2008-07-03 07:11:51

hoz-
because today is the unoffical start of a holiday weekend, and because I laughed mightily at your monkey pic, I will honor your request.

Happy Fourth!

(now I must return to reminding an English coworker that they lost the colonies.)

 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-07-03 07:52:23

Yet we remain only “dog eyed colonials” in their estimation… :D

 
Comment by phillygal
2008-07-03 08:02:41

intractable poseurs we are

he he

 
 
Comment by tresho
2008-07-03 07:10:23

I’ve never said Mc would create any real change. No matter who is elected, there is going to be real change. Most of the changes to come will be out of the government’s control, however.

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Comment by Mormon_Tea
2008-07-03 07:25:14

There will be many young, idealistic, and politically naive voters, who will feel compelled to vote for the ObamaNation simply because the MSM has portrayed Bush and therefore all Republicans as total losers for the past 8 years.
What the young and naive voters do not see are the 60 years of primarily Democratic controlled Congresses since WWII and the consequences. It’s easy to blame Bush for the economic conditions today. “Post hoc, ergo propter hoc”.
However, it was the Democrats, always the Democrats, leading the charge to grant more and more perpetual and costly entitlements, always in the name of fairness and generosity. It was the Democrats, always the Democrats, leading the way to strangle and paralyze American business, always is the name of making the workplace fairer, safer, and more secure for the workers. It was the Democrats, always the Democrats, pushing through legislation to blockade off-shore drilling, blockade nuclear energy, blockade the use of coal, always claiming there were “better alternatives”.
And it was always the Republicans, always the Republicans, fighting these attempts, which only earned them the label of “pro-business and against the little guy” in the MSM.
60 years of Democrat inspired Progressive Socialism has produced what you see now: businesses outsourcing whatever they can overseas, porous borders where the illegals earn more in entitlements than many working citizens do, an energy crisis where gasoline is over $4.00 per gallon, and an unpayable national debt. Conveniently, the Democrats blame Bush for it all. Their solution is to accelerate the death spiral by promoting the Senator with the most liberal progressive socialist voting record, as the next President. The young and politically naive will no doubt celebrate a leftward turn toward ObamaNation in the name of fairness, security, change, and better alternatives.

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2008-07-03 08:35:59

There will be many young, idealistic, and politically naive voters, who will feel compelled to vote for the ObamaNation simply because the MSM has portrayed Bush and therefore all Republicans as total losers for the past 8 years.

Looks like the young, idealistic and naive voters comprise the overwhelming majority of Americans, since Bushco’s approval is at less than 30% - meaning millions of apparently sharp voters who voted for him are regretting it.

MSM has been in the tank for Bushco. Even Scott McClellan says so.

Nobody gives a cr@p what anyone’s opinion of allegedly socialist Democratic administrations/congresses of the past 60 years. People know they’re up the creek without a paddle now and that for 8 years the Bushies have looted the treasury, robbed the middle class and stolen from the widows and orphans.

 
 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-07-03 07:30:32

The issue now is preventing the ultraliberal left from gaining complete control of everything …

Gah, that sounds horrible

I’m already getting nostalgic for the days when the Smirking Texas Boy King lent a hand to the working class instead of big corporations run by his golf buddies, made healthcare affordable for everyone, set a shining moral example for all to see, made the economy run like a well-oiled machine, and generally helped transform the world into a safer, more tolerant, more peaceful, more awesome place.

Those were the days, baby.

Sniff.

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Comment by lavi d
2008-07-03 08:57:45

For the unpteenth frickin time, Obama is mullato.

Mulatto

Good lord, if you’re going to go to the effort of looking it up on Wikipedia and putting it in bold face, at least take the time to spell it right.

¡Ai, chiramba!

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Comment by lavi d
2008-07-03 09:08:39

Dear friends,

Please lay off the politics. It is equal to discussing religion or other peoples parents.

Hoz is right. I’m out of the politics here. I know barely more about them than I do about finance and that ain’t much.

To anyone I might have offended, I apologize and hope we all have a great 4th!

 
Comment by sohonyc
2008-07-03 13:27:06

Mulatto???? LOL!

Welcome to 1927?

I don’t know how old you are, but I’m guessing you’re either very old, or you don’t know any black people, or you’re European (ie: you don’t know any black people).

Newsflash: We don’t use the word “Mulatto” in America.

The word is “Black”. Ask MLK. Ask Malcolm. Ask Oprah if you like: If you are of African ancestry — you are a brother. A negro. “Black”.

Secondly — the term “Mulatto” (whose etymologic derivation is the term “mule”) also referred to half-white/half native-Americans. It was (back when it was in common usage, that is) a term meaning “a mix of races”.

It hasn’t been used in our national census as a distinct racial type since the 1930’s.

Obama is 100% brother.

And I hope this brother wins the White House!

 
 
Comment by lavi d
2008-07-03 09:00:46

…ultraliberal left from gaining complete control of everything and returning us to the Carter years.

-txchick

This bears repeating from yesterday’s Bits:

Comment by txchick57
2008-07-02 07:30:52

you know it’s a winner by the screechy objections put out by Reid, Pelosi, etc. They say it would take 7 years to get any of it out of the ground. If Bill Clinton had not vetoed the drilling in 1996, however, we’d have that oil right now and probably not $4 gas.

Comment by edhopper
2008-07-02 09:11:16

Jimmy Carter put policies in place to end our reliance on ALL foreign oil in 25 years. Ronald Reagan stopped every program Carter instituted and opened vast new areas for drilling.

But go on an blame Clinton.

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Comment by measton
2008-07-03 19:35:33

The problem isn’t the Gas Sucking SUV TxChk wants to drive that gets 1/4th the mileage of a small car that’s the problem. It’s that the Government hasn’t pushed to burn our limited resources faster.

 
 
Comment by desertdweller
2008-07-03 10:14:41

Then Tx, you have no faith in the balance nature of people, and those in power?
Surely, if one were to vote in Dems, the Only ultra left liberals will still be on the outs as are the Ultra Right Cons and Fundamentalist religiou zealots. As Americans, don’t you think somehow there will be a balance, certainly now that we have had 7 yrs of massive inbalance and corporate greed exposed?

I think we all suffer paranoia bouts occasionally, but FEAR is no way to run your life. Or to vote that way.

Frankly, bottom line, nothing will change with either.
Just not a 100 yrs war if D’s get in.

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Comment by Skroodle
2008-07-03 12:10:41

According to Louisiana state law, as long as you are 1/8 black, you are black (octoroon ).

Plessy in Plessy v. Ferguson was an octoroon who thought he could ride in the front.

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Comment by SDGreg
2008-07-03 03:57:32

From the other side of the pond, bargain shopping closer to home:

http://tinyurl.com/5e654x

M&S chairman Sir Stuart Rose said: “This is the fastest and most serious downturn since the early 1990s. We have a very unpleasant set of economic circumstances.”

“He said people were shopping locally rather than at out-of-town shopping centres to avoid using petrol, and trading down to bargain retailers to cut the cost of their shopping bills.” “People’s purses are being squeezed,” he said. “A seismic shift [in shopping habits] is going on.”

“There is mounting evidence that the credit crunch is changing shopping habits. Supermarkets had been turning their attention away from focusing purely on price to stress quality, provenance and sustainability. But price has again become the key battleground.” Rose said the big grocers were “in the biggest price war we have seen for the last 20 years”.

“The big supermarkets say sales of their value ranges are soaring. Last month Sainsbury’s lowest-priced pasta shapes and rice were up by 200-300% on a year ago. Recent market research by TNS Worldpanel showed sales at discounter Aldi up more than 20% on 2007 levels. Lidl and Iceland are also growing strongly.”

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 04:16:13

Watch out, Whole Foods, here comes the JT. :-D

Comment by SDGreg
2008-07-03 04:44:50

“Watch out, Whole Foods, here comes the JT.”

No paycheck for Whole Paycheck.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2008-07-03 14:43:02

I’m already noticing fewer people in the Whole Paycheck in central Tucson. And it’s in the midst of some veddy nice neighborhoods.

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Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 04:01:19

From Yahoo: Credit-Card Debt Snaring More High-Income People.

Please don’t laugh uncontrollably. I know I did.

Comment by wmbz
2008-07-03 04:56:02

I think the C.Card bomb will go off big time in the next year or two, no way credit junkies were going to stop ‘cold turkey’ just because you shut down the housing ATM.

 
Comment by txchick57
2008-07-03 05:02:44

what you said

what I can’t stand is the “I’ll create a blog” about their “little problem.” More self absorbed navel gazing which is what got them into trouble in the first place.

I don’t owe one penny to a credit card. I have no sympathy whatsoever.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 05:25:23

I’m bored. I checked out that “blog”.

It is ridiculously hilarious beyond reason.

Before anyone goes there, you have to be in the right frame of mind. You can’t take it seriously. If you do, most people here will probably bust an artery. (I would too normally but I was just amused instead.)

 
 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-07-03 06:16:52

I’d laugh, but the article does make a good point. It seems that most folks with good (six figure) incomes DO feel the need to display that fact (along with countless wannabes). I can see how they can sink quickly. “Unlimited wants vs finite resources”.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 06:22:05

BS.

It has more to do with the inability to “break ranks” than anything else.

Next time, you’re with a buncha people, just toss in a bombshell when they’re ordering wine. Instead of saying, “that’s too pricey”, say “actually, I can’t afford that.”

The two mean the same thing but the latter breaks with social convention. Particularly when they know full well that you can afford it.

You’ll see the difference instantaneously, and you’ll even have a few come up to you later and tell you privately that they wanted to say the same thing but didn’t have the guts to.

Comment by iftheshoefits
2008-07-03 07:14:32

Does anyone know the main lending institutions and banks that are behind the big ramp-up in CC lending that’s going on? Or is it spread around pretty evenly?

I would think the banks that are already screwed wouldn’t have the capital to do this. And the ones that were smart enough not to get in too deep in the mortgage/HELOC mess should also be smart enough to avoid taking on a lot of unsecured debt from screwed FBs who aren’t likely to ever repay. So where’s this wave of free money really coming from?

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Comment by polly
2008-07-03 09:15:50

Credit card receivables can be securitized. Don’t know what % actually are. So, the money comes from the same bond purchasers that provided the money for houses.

 
 
Comment by packman
2008-07-03 07:30:12

Actually to me the two terms mean fairly different things. Oftentimes “that’s too pricey” to me means I can afford it, I’m just not willing to pay the price they’re asking. That’s true for pretty much all pricey wines - I can afford to buy them, just not willing to. OTOH “I can’t afford that” would normally mean it would strain me financially - something that justifiably would raise eyebrows when we’re talking about a glass of wine.

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Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 07:37:17

That’s precisely why it works when they know damn well that you can afford it.

Think bottle not glass. At a fancy place.

Anyway, all of that is neither here nor there. The claim is about breaking ranks.

 
Comment by packman
2008-07-03 08:06:31

Yep - agree.

The definition of pretentiousness is to do things you wouldn’t ordinarily do, in order to impress others. More often than not, that’s just going along with the crowd, which often includes spending more than you otherwise would on something.

 
 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-07-03 07:57:19

We actually NEVER order the wine precisely because it is too pricey. Even eating out in the most expensive restaurants in Mnpls, we usually did so as part of a “Secret Shopper” gig, or we used coupons, did the dining club thing (where you write a review), or we went before 6pm when they had some great early specials.

We are famous among our friends (none of whom are the “keep up” type for how cheaply we can dine… :)

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Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 08:16:06

I don’t have trouble spending on stuff I want assuming I can afford it. I don’t need to watch every penny cause I’m watching the pounds. ;-)

However, I’ve been told I’m cheap numerous times (I don’t think I am) and I suspect most of the people on this blog are similar.

 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-07-03 08:38:31

That’s why it’s such good company! :D

 
Comment by mgnyc99
2008-07-03 09:11:36

call me frugal

my wife does

she still loves me though

 
 
Comment by lavi d
2008-07-03 09:16:00

…say “actually, I can’t afford that.”

That is a fascinating thing to do.

I have to admit, I’m not that brave. I’ve used instead, “That’s not in my budget”.

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Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 10:43:28

Do it once. Go on, liberate yourself.

You’ll find the results surprising (in a positive way.)

 
 
Comment by desertdweller
2008-07-03 10:19:03

FPSS, I think when someone says ” too expensive, can’t afford it”, there will be a sigh of relief, and more than half would say, ‘good idea’ , lets get the house wine.

As well, as those who don’t want to blow their ‘well off’ cover.

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Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 10:34:51

Yep, this was precisely my point.

 
 
 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-07-03 14:05:00

I don’t care what income you make. If you spend more than you make to impress others, you are a POSER.

What’s so hard about that?

 
 
Comment by holytrainwreck
2008-07-03 09:08:50

If HELOCs were the marajuana of credit abuse, credit cards are the crack cocaine…

 
Comment by salinasron
2008-07-03 11:02:42

“Ironically, he found his debt easier to manage once he took on a lower paying job.”

ROTFLMAO!! Yeah, he just decided taking a low paying job was the ticket to repaying his debt! Me thinks his debt load helped him out the door of a higher paying job (no company wants a deadbeat) into the lower paying one.

 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-07-03 14:02:16

Sounds like Mr. Chen was embarassed that he had school loans. Perhaps it was wrong to have colleagues know he didn’t have parents that foot the entire bill?

I hope when this shake out is over, self-sufficiency is once again valued and rewarded.

 
Comment by Pasadena_Renter
2008-07-03 14:14:25

I am amazed by my colleagues’ ability to spend money. With starting lawyer salaries at $160K, many 26 and 27 year olds quickly escalate spending habits to fill the income (and then some). We can go to expensive lunches and dinners with a very healthy budget to entertain new hires. It has become de rigeur to blow the budget and for the lawyers to pick up the excess. Usually in an amount more than I would ever pay for dinner except for a very special occasion.

(Just tried the spell check on the Google toolbar- how cool. It has been on my computer for years, but I never realized how handy it was for this.)

 
 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 04:10:41

This seems a bit like eating your pie, and having it too.

Oh, and the whole dynamic programming thing sounds like a buncha hoo-ey. Economics isn’t a science, and finance certainly isn’t. And these economists ain’t no Richard Bellman.

The return you get is determined by exactly one variable: the price you pay.

Comment by combotechie
2008-07-03 05:06:06

“The return you get is determined by exactly one variable: the price you pay.”

Exactly.

 
 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 04:12:19

Stick a fork in this eCONomy, it’s done.
_______________________________________________________________

“Whether it was Long Term Capital Management in 1998 or Bear Stearns this year, it is clear that Americans have come to expect the Federal Reserve to step in to avert events that pose unacceptable systemic risk. But, as we noted in our Blueprint, the Fed has neither the clear statutory authority nor the mandate to attempt to anticipate and prevent risks across our entire financial system.”

http://www.treas.gov/press/releases/hp1064.htm

Comment by ACH
2008-07-03 05:29:58

Yes, the Red has played its last good card. Now comes the bluffing, jawing, and loosing.
Roidy

Comment by ACH
2008-07-03 05:31:14

Oh, and I’ll now be referring to the Fed as the Red. It’s more appropriate.
Roidy

Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 05:37:54

Howzabout…

The Fed Queen?

(with apologies to Lewis Caroll)

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Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 09:10:51

“But, as we noted in our Blueprint, the Fed has neither the clear statutory authority nor the mandate to attempt to anticipate and prevent risks across our entire financial system.”

I don’t expect that to stop them from trying.

 
 
Comment by Lucy
2008-07-03 04:17:59

Where was the PPT yesterday? Asleep, again? People are going to start thinking soon that they don’t control the market after all.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 04:21:53

You know, I’ve heard this PPT thing for a few years now but I’ll throw out a quote attributed to Jesse Livermore: “If you want to make money, you don’t argue with the tape.” (as in you don’t try to attribute reasons for anything, you trade on what you see, and the reasons may or may not show up “Monday morning”.)

Comment by txchick57
2008-07-03 05:05:37

I’ve been saying that for years here. If you know it’s there and that it’s going to do one thing or another, don’t fight it, ride it and make some $$$ off it.

Comment by sf jack
2008-07-03 10:03:50

Yeah, that’s great txchic, except that it causes the big jackasses running all kinds of money to take outsized risks… bringing about all kinds of misalignments.

And I can’t wait until some of the BRIC or emerging markets get their own PPT’s and really start screwing with things.

Then we’ll really have transparent markets.

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Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 11:44:46

PPT’s are great if you know what you’re doing.

After all, Soros bet against the Pound PPT, and made a killing, remember?

 
 
 
Comment by Frank Giovinazzi
2008-07-03 05:28:40

WWJD

Comment by txchick57
2008-07-03 07:45:28

jesus saves, buddha invests

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Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 08:12:05

LOL

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 08:18:39

WWCND

What Would Chuck Norris Do?

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-07-03 09:15:20

What Would Chuck Norris Do?

Reflexively kick some non-lapel pin wearin’ pinko arse … economically speaking.

 
 
Comment by Frank Giovinazzi
2008-07-03 10:41:37

I meant What Would Jesse Do?

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 04:23:33

The PPT Cruiser blew a tranny and is in the shop.

Comment by GrittyToasterWaffleGuy
2008-07-03 05:28:16

That sentence could be read in more than one way. Both of which made me chuckle.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 05:33:35

Yeah, and if you’ve never seen a tranny being blown late at night in the subway, consider yourself blessed.

Aaah, New York, New York. ;-)

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Comment by phillygal
2008-07-03 07:39:10

My grossest subway incident was seeing a guy peeing down the steps leading to the platform. Look out below!

But the Sex in the City (public display version) prize goes to the hookers who used to turn tricks in the doorways of business establishments that were closed for the night.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 07:47:29

Hey, I was talking about a TVC 15 Transmission…

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oTjsOzeIpc0&feature=related\

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 08:20:05

I don’t think the one I saw was 15. Maybe in centimeters. :-D

 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-07-03 14:26:49

phillygal—

My grossest T experience was during the Boston marathon when I was sitting in the aisle and I turned my head to see that 2″ to the right was a man’s crotch w/nylon shorts and no jock strap!

Boing! Boing! Boing! 2″ from my face. Yah! I just turned to my friend who gave me the hairy eyeball and we both burst out laughing.

 
 
 
 
Comment by nhz
2008-07-03 06:29:35

probably they were getting some extra sleep before todays action. Huge manipulations going on in the SP500 futures today, EU stock exchanges are jumping of joy (up 2% or more) after the ECB rate increase. The FED magic still works …

Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 07:14:52

Really?

Mr Market still seems prone to gravitational forceds, but the DJIA is very sticky at the flat line.

Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 08:55:18

DJIA = 11,300 and holding. Was it the sixth-straight month of labor market decline or yet another record-high oil price this morning that led to the ralliet on the DJIA?

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Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 09:07:52

Or maybe the ISM services sentiment index number spurred the rally?

latest news
[TOL] Moody’s cuts Toll Brothers to ‘Ba1′ on weak economic trends
ECONOMIC REPORT
ISM services index shows contraction in June
Index at lowest since January, while prices spike to record high
By Greg Robb, MarketWatch
Last update: 11:35 a.m. EDT July 3, 2008

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The U.S. service sector contracted unexpectedly in June, falling to its lowest level since the beginning of the year, the private Institute for Supply Management reported Thursday.

The ISM’s non-manufacturing sentiment index fell sharply to 48.2% in June from 51.7% in May, making it the lowest level since January. Readings over 50% indicate growth, and the index dipped below 50% for three months early this year before recovering.

The decline was much larger than expected.

 
 
Comment by nhz
2008-07-03 11:17:36

works just in Europe, apparently …

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Comment by wmbz
2008-07-03 04:30:27

Quotable

“In a world of businessmen and financial intermediaries who aggressively seek profit, innovators will always outpace regulators; the authorities cannot prevent changes in the structure of portfolios from occurring. What they can do is keep the asset-equity ratio of banks within bounds by setting equity-absorption ratios for various types of assets. If the authorities constrain banks and are aware of the activities of fringe banks and other financial institutions, they are in a better position to attenuate the disruptive expansionary tendencies of our economy.”

Hyman Minsky, 1986

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 05:00:16

Hey, the government has an office (OFHEO, I think) whose only job is to “probe” FNM and FRE all day long.

And they failed.

If a full-time office didn’t manage to probe the un-probeable entities of just 2 corporations, then what kinda probing are the regulators gonna do in an open system?

The only “probe” that’s gonna work is one that no one particularly enjoys.

Comment by Matt_in_TX
2008-07-03 17:18:25

Seems to me they spend about 60 million over a 2 year budget cycle. That’s a lot of money to standup every once and a while to say: Gee, this is stupid! And then implement it anyway.

 
 
 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 04:35:04

In March ‘07,

I sold every last stock I owned, a very diversified portfolio…

When I sold, the Dow was 12,300, and now it’s about 10% less.

Why are my stocks now worth 31% less?

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 04:42:58

The sectors you owned are doing far worse than the market?

Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 04:45:24

All the average American hears about financial matters, is the Dow-Jones average.

All you have to do is manipulate 30 stocks, and who’s the wiser?

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 04:51:21

The Dow is an arithmetic average. Reality is cap-weighted.

If you don’t understand the difference, whose fault is that?

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Comment by txchick57
2008-07-03 05:06:47

you’re wasting your time arguing with this smartass. I have my doubts about most everything he claims.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 05:08:19

Yeah, coming around to that conclusion myself.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 05:10:37

“I have my doubts about most everything he claims.”

Feel free to take claim to anything i’ve said that isn’t true.

 
Comment by palmetto
2008-07-03 05:17:22

“you’re wasting your time arguing with this smartass.”

Um, while the poster in question does indeed make some very funny plays on words and from time to time may present viewpoints with which I disagree, I have never known him to name-call other posters, unless directly provoked and maybe not even then.

Really, the whole partisan name-calling thing is SO out of fashion these days. Although someone forgot to tell Rush Limbaugh’s employer. I guarantee that’s one contract that will be reneg(e)otiated in the future.

 
Comment by Blano
2008-07-03 06:21:55

I’ll take that bet, Palmy. :)

Plenty of lefty yahoos here (not calling you names, lol) can whine about him all day…..fact is, the guy is as entertaining and funny as he is right, and worth every penny.

 
Comment by darthrealtor (formerly vthousingbear)
2008-07-03 07:02:44

He’s also a drug addict who should be in jail. Hey, but so should half of Hollywood…and Wall Street….and Washington DC…..

 
Comment by phillygal
2008-07-03 07:40:58

My only issue with Limbaugh’s drug use is that he doesn’t share.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 07:48:44

Rush is all about pharmaceutical drugs, a no go for a budding addict.

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-07-03 08:06:23

Rush is all about pharmaceutical drugs, a no go for a budding addict.

That all depends on their bankroll and their constitution.

 
Comment by spike66
2008-07-03 15:35:56

Plenty of lefty yahoos here (not calling you names, lol) can whine about him all day…..fact is, the guy is as entertaining and funny as he is right, and worth every penny.

Well, Rush does appeal to the fatsos in America. Really, if he weren’t so greasy and fat would you like him so much?
He really must be packing it in,since drugs usually thin you down. And once he got busted for Viagra…well just think of all the fat guys who could identify with him.
Greasy,fat and impotent…think of all the right wing yahoos just like him.

 
 
Comment by Lucy
2008-07-03 05:32:32

Who’s the wiser? Anyone who knows that S&P 500 isn’t a race. “average” Americans have no influence so why bother trying to fool them?

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Comment by dude
2008-07-03 07:01:05

To answer the question:

Equivalents being replaced when they go south, just like with the inflation index basket.

If a company does too poorly it is dropped from the index and replaced with one that is not doing so poorly. That is why the SAP 500 is a better measure of the market, it’s broad.

Comment by dude
2008-07-03 07:09:48

Example, Delphi.

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2008-07-03 04:49:29

My how things have changed since old Cal said this…

“The people have to bear their own responsibilities. There is no method by which the burden can be shifted to the government.” ~Calvin Coolidge

Comment by not a gator
2008-07-03 05:53:08

EZ Credit Cal … I’ll take the credit for the fake prosperity, but when the working class stiffs choke on their debt service when their job goes away, I’ll hide in my mansion and stick my fingers in my ears singing la la la.

He could have tightened credit, but that would have been unpopular with the masses. But when the masses’ children were starving, there was nothing he could do…

America in the 1920’s was an ugly place. I say, let’s bring back the middle class. For REAL prosperity. Isn’t it funny that our largest middle class coincided with most of our infrastructure being built?

And yeah, I’ll probably have to pay more taxes. (I’m getting a pretty effing sweet deal right now.) Sure beats paying taxes so we can fight pointless wars. I’ll gladly pay taxes to build factories, railroads, and neighborhood schools.

Comment by VirginiaTechDan
2008-07-03 07:30:52

and why won’t factories, railroads, and schools be provided by the free market for less money with the risk/reward properly allocated? You sound down right Communist!

Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-07-03 09:50:07

Dude, you think anybody who doesn’t agree with your version of the Free Market is a communist. I thought people like you died out with Eugene McCarthy.

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Comment by josemanolo7
2008-07-03 17:53:19

i would bet you have not met a real communist and looked into his eyes. i would advise you to stop using that term if your only dealing with them is listening to fox news.

 
 
Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-07-03 09:55:27

I meant Joseph McCarthy…guess I need some coffee.

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Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-07-03 14:21:54

“and why won’t factories, railroads, and schools be provided by the free market…”

I don’t know, VTDan, why aren’t they?

(I love your insightful posts, really, but where were you the last few decades?)

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Comment by VirginiaTechDan
2008-07-03 16:47:33

My only point is that people who only wish to “redirect” tax dollars like the government had some kind of claim to that money in the first place are part of the problem.

We should always be promoting the free, honest, and non-coercive solutions to problems. The last thing we should do is suggest paying MORE taxes.

Anyone who says “I would gladly pay more taxes, if only they were spent on XY and Z” should find the other 5% of the population that agrees with them and donate to charity, buy stock in a factory or start a private school. Until then, every dollar that comes out of my pocket for socialist tax programs comes out of my giving budget. The poor can blame the government whom they lobbied to steal for them if that money isn’t spent responsibly.

Thou shalt not steal… except by majority vote!

 
Comment by CA renter
2008-07-04 04:39:27

Add me to the list of those who’d be willing to pay more taxes IF the govt would budget better, and if they would put the money to good use (building infrastructure and providing basic, universal healthcare…not killing innocent people in foreign lands for no apparent reason).

 
 
 
 
Comment by tresho
2008-07-03 07:29:50

” I help to support the establishments I have mentioned: they cost enough: and those who are badly off must go there.”

“Many can’t go there; and many would rather die.”

“If they would rather die,” said Scrooge, “they had better do it, and decrease the surplus population. Besides — excuse me — I don’t know that.”

“But you might know it,” observed the gentleman.

“It’s not my business,” Scrooge returned. “It’s enough for a man to understand his own business, and not to interfere with other people’s. Mine occupies me constantly.” — Dickens

 
Comment by patient renter
2008-07-03 11:16:47

Wow. I’d like to know some methods by which personal responsibility CANNOT be shifted to the government. This reminds me of something I read the other day:

“”The most basic principle to being a free American is the notion that we as individuals are responsible for our own lives and decisions. We do not have the right to rob our neighbors to make up for our mistakes, neither does our neighbor have any right to tell us how to live, so long as we aren’t infringing on their rights. Freedom to make bad decisions is inherent in the freedom to make good ones. If we are only free to make good decisions, we are not really free.”

- Rep. Paul

 
 
Comment by Lip
2008-07-03 05:09:20

Injured Marine Semper Fi Fund

http://www.semperfifund.org/donate.html

I know many of us disagree regarding the war, but the volunteers have willingly offered their lives to protect us and our country.

Comment by VirginiaTechDan
2008-07-03 16:50:16

The mercenaries paid with money drafted from each and every one of us!

True volunteers who are willing to offer their lives to protect our country would be labeled terrorists by our government.

 
 
Comment by exeter
2008-07-03 05:10:58

On the ground report from Sussex County, Delaware

The beaches are still drawing scores of mongoloids from the west and pig people from the north in large numbers. Route 1 was bumper to bumper for at least 20 miles yesterday evening. Mysteriously absent this time over 2005? PigMobiles…. It is really a pleasant sight. Far fewer SLOBurbans, TaWhores, Ford Excretions, etc. There are still the prerequisite triple cheeseburger eating hairy beasts everywhere, just without the beast mobile.

RE- MANY incomplete developments all around as evidenced by the gigantic stockpiles of site fill and topsoil. The biggest difference aside from those noted above is 1) All the new construction billboards are tightly priced at “199k to low 200’s” for all types of floorplans. This is a marked departure from the 350-500k range advertised in 2005. Note that the builders are all big guys. Pulte, Ryan, KB etc. and many many more regional type outfits. Also, I see what can only be characterized as a massive proliferation of the standard 2′x3′ metal framed RealTard signs intermingled with FSBO.

SussexCounty RealScum keeps a very tight lid on transactions and prices. None can be found on the net. If you are aware of any data available, post so we can peruse. The HDQS for Sussex RealScum has a billboard out front with the statement “Sussex County Realtors sold 854 ‘homes’ in 2008″. I found this odd as the statement seems to be a lame but tacit acknowledgement that the happy days are long gone.

I talked with an architect who developed floor plans for multiple shack builders locally. I first stated to him that the housing BS is over and there is nothing left but downside. He agreed and made the statement, “housing will come back but not in a way people think it will. And nothing like the last 6 years”. We both laughed at the sentiment on the street that things will turn around soon.

Comment by not a gator
2008-07-03 05:56:12

You do realize that “mongoloid” used to be a synonym for Down’s Syndrome and is an anology between the shape of the eyes of Down’s Syndrome patients and that of East Asians, right?

I prefer the word cretin. While it was briefly used in a mental health and institutional context, its actual origin is France during the Revolution, derived from the word chrétien — a Christian.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 06:24:54

How about mongoloid cretinous wanker? Does that cover all bases? :-D

Comment by hoz
2008-07-03 06:32:14

I haven’t heard that term in 20+ years. Why couldn’t you let me forget it! Typical flatlander.

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Comment by Jwhite
2008-07-03 08:02:55

“Sir! You are pernicious SCUM!!!” - “How DARE you call me PERNICIOUS!!!”

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Comment by plastic fantastic
2008-07-03 08:18:11

Thanks for proselytizing. I am so ashamed

And yes, I knew the terms.

 
Comment by SF Mechanist
2008-07-03 15:13:17

From dictionary.com’s jargon file:

/kret’in/ or /kree’tn/ n. Congenital loser; an obnoxious person; someone who can’t do anything right. It has been observed that many American hackers tend to favor the British pronunciation /kret’in/ over standard American /kree’tn/; it is thought this may be due to the insidious phonetic influence of Monty Python’s Flying Circus.

Funny… I always did think it was pronounced creh-tin rather than cree-tin.

 
 
Comment by phillygal
2008-07-03 08:52:05

350k-500k (2005)
199k-low 200s (2008)

Significant haircut -good news

 
 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 05:36:16

“Let’s face it. Let’s talk sense to the American people. Let’s tell them the truth, that there are no gains without pains, that we are now on the eve of great decisions, not easy decisions, like resistance when you’re attacked, but a long, patient, costly struggle which alone can assure triumph over the great enemies of man — war, poverty, and tyranny — and the assaults upon human dignity which are the most grievous consequences of each.”

Adlai E. Stevenson, Jr.

Comment by Blano
2008-07-03 06:50:40

Translation: “He won’t say he’ll raise your taxes……I just did.”

Walter Mondale

 
Comment by BubbleViewer
2008-07-03 07:02:53

“There is no constituency for the truth.”
J. Bush

Comment by vozworth
2008-07-03 07:20:50

“Is you is, or is you aint my constitiancy”
Pape O’Daniel

 
 
 
Comment by GrittyToasterWaffleGuy
2008-07-03 05:43:08

ECB raises a quarter as expected.

ECB Raises Rate to Seven-Year High to Fight Inflation

I hope Uncle Buck has his parachute on.

Comment by nhz
2008-07-03 06:26:33

parachute not necessary, the euro just lost 1.5% on the news. go figure …

and it won’t help the ECB to battle inflation, inflation is already out of control in the EEC because there is a huge price/wage spiral going on now (in Netherlands and probably many other countries). Wage increase demands keep getting bigger every month (or week) and up to now the unions are getting away with it. Of course someone is going to pay dearly for all this irresponsible policy.

still, I think the ECB did not have any choice; if they had not increased today, all credibility would be lost (just like the situation that B-52 Ben is in now).

Comment by hoz
2008-07-03 06:30:31

The ECB is truly messed up

“…More specifically, annual M3 growth has remained very vigorous in recent months, supported by the continued strong growth of MFI loans to the private sector. Although annual M3 growth of still above 10% overstates the underlying pace of monetary expansion, owing to the impact of the flat yield curve and other temporary factors, nonetheless, even after taking such effects into account, a broad-based assessment of the latest data confirms that the underlying rate of money and credit growth remains strong….”

As long as M. Trichet allows the money supply to grow at 17% annual rate, the interest rate is immaterial. (Quotes from M. Trichets pre-release speech).

Comment by nhz
2008-07-03 07:13:55

yes, I agree; I think actual inflation in the EU is around 10%, just like in the US, so it really doesn’t matter if ECB rates are 3,4 or 5%. It seems that official central bankster policy is no longer relevant, except for the relative speed of depreciation of the currencies.

All savers are loosing big time with these people in charge. In the Eurozone, it has been like that for ten years now. The big winners where all this new money ends up are the debtors who can only survice on cheap credit: overspending governments, big companies that use the cheap credit to expand and wipe out otherwise profitable small competitors, and - at least until now - highly leveraged homeowners/speculators.

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Comment by GrittyToasterWaffleGuy
2008-07-03 06:47:40

Like i said yesterday, this whole market requires expecting the exact opposite of what any sane person would surmise base don the data presented.

 
 
Comment by nhz
2008-07-03 11:23:07

EU newstickers are suggesting, based on Trichets speach, that the ECB will not raise any further after this tiny rate increase. That could explain the 2% dive in the euro and huge rally in EU stockmarkets today. IF they are correct then the euro is toast and all roads lead to Weimar now.

To me the speach from Trichet and the commentary in Europe sound like the EU dumbocrats (and inflationists like Sarkozy, Brown etc., and the labour unions, and all the others who want cheap money forever) have won the battle with the few remaining real (German) bankers at the ECB.

 
 
Comment by NotInMontana
2008-07-03 05:55:16

Yesterday I went to a friend’s shop and his buddy, a mentally disabled guy, came running out telling me that business was “bad all over!” He works in our first and oldest McDonald’s, on the north-south drag, and said June business just tanked. It was good in the winter months but now dead, just the opposite of usual. Said he hasn’t had a raise since 2005 (neither have I), and the owners, a Korean couple, bought a 2008 4×4 but now say they can’t afford to drive it and leave it parked at their McD’s.

Meanwhile, the REALTORS sent their questionnaire to us candidates with all the usual “help us sell more houses” questions. “If elected, what policies would you propose or support to make the cost of housing more affordable for the average worker in Montana?” They’re so scared the whole building-lending-selling industry is tanking and govt is supposed to get the fires stoked again. Where do I start with this BS? They’re not going to endorse me anyway because they prefer incumbents.

Comment by tresho
2008-07-03 07:24:01

what policies would you propose or support to make the cost of housing more affordable for the average worker in Montana? Let the prices fall. That alone will make housing more affordable.

Comment by M Gal
2008-07-03 16:06:45

And tell the truth about the market!

Not, did you see yesterday’s Missoulian business insert? It was a hoot. In article after article, the reporter mentioned that the market is soft, but then hurried up and called our attention to something completely different.

The main factoid the realtors are playing up these days is time on market, which is about the same or a little less than last year and the year before. But this is clearly a result of very careful manipulation. At the end of each month and especially at the end of each quarter, a bunch of listings disappear from the MLS (though if you drive by the house often the sign is still there!). And, at the beginning of the month or quarter, there are suddently dozens of new listings.

None of this can cover up for the fact that sales volumes are down around 30% and that median prices have fallen several percent.

Nothing is selling. If you go to Realtor.com and type in any address in central Missoula, only rarely will more than one of the six most recent comparable sales be within the last 6 months.

 
 
 
Comment by hoz
2008-07-03 06:18:39

View of the Day - Tobias Levkovich, Citigroup

“…”Near-record margins will be difficult to maintain over the next 25 years. Following a period in which corporate margins rebounded to levels not seen since the 1960s, it seems difficult to conceive that profit trends will be able to match the 1980s-1990s golden period of improvement. Thus stock market gains could become more muted,” he says.

Inflation is also likely to be higher because of global demographic changes. “Lower inflation supplied favourable interest rates and valuations. Low interest rates as a result of muted inflationary threats over the past 25 years meant valuations could expand. Yet it would seem that this is unlikely to persist, with negative ramifications for investors in financial assets,” Mr Levkovich says….

“Given the American spirit, a flexible economy, strong profit motives and technological innovation, the US may stumble but is unlikely to fall,” he says.

FT

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 06:27:11

Polly Pollyanna’s Putrid Puke.

The US may do OK but I’m interested in real returns, O cretinous wanker. Don’t confuse the corporation with the return on your money.

Comment by polly
2008-07-03 10:52:32

Hey…choose someone else’s net name to alliterate with putrid puke.

Naw…I know the origin. Mine is a shortening of “pollymath” which I used over at Slate a few years ago.

 
 
 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 06:23:20

I was thinking about rush’s $400 Million contract, and about how much Americans tend to be influenced by large sums of money, and i’d guess that’s what his puppeteers are counting on…

Comment by Blano
2008-07-03 07:24:18

Spoken like a true member of MoveOn.org. Typical left wing jealousy.

Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 07:26:07

“The sound of tireless voices is the price we pay for the right to hear the music of our own opinions. But there is also, it seems to me, a moment at which democracy must prove its capacity to act. Every man has a right to be heard; but no man has the right to strangle democracy with a single set of vocal chords.”

Adlai E. Stevenson, Jr.

Comment by tresho
2008-07-03 07:32:25

Blather.

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Comment by Blano
2008-07-03 07:32:31

Then I guess Adlai would disapprove of the extremist’s advocacy of the so-called Fairness Doctrine.

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 07:34:51

The fairness doctrine worked like a charm, until Ronny got rid of it in the 1980’s…

 
Comment by kckid
2008-07-03 08:07:31

http://hypocrisycaucus.com/

These Members of Congress are hypocritical because they voted for a one-year ban on the so-called Fairness Doctrine but have thus far refused to sign on to the Discharge Petition in support of a permanent ban. If someone is going to support freedom of speech for one year they should support it permanently. Contact them and tell them to sign the Discharge Petition to allow a vote on the Broadcaster Freedom Act, HR 2905.

 
Comment by Incredulous
2008-07-03 08:35:19

The Fairness Doctrine never worked because producers would rig presentations so whatever side they supported had the most articulate or attractive representative, and the other side the most inarticulate and hideous. Believe it or not, there were tons anti-abortionists in the 1970s who were non-Christian, liberal, well-spoken, and physically attractive (the first Right to Life organization held its meetings in a New York City ACLU office in the late 1960s), but you didn’t see them on the evening news. Instead you saw cheerypicked illiterate bible thumpers or devout rosary-waving Catholics with frizzy hair screaming and ranting (the pro-abortion Press still pulls this trick, because it has proved so immensely successful). There are plenty of gay people who don’t behave like asses in public, but turn on the Christian news and you’d swear all gays were sleazy sex-crazed lunatics (gay pride parades tend to attract the lowest gay life-forms).

The point of trying to bring back the Fairness Doctrine is to shut up conservative commentators who are infinitely more popular than their liberal counterparts. There is nothing else behind it. NPR, PBS, CBS, NBC, and CNBC are all extremely liberal. Do you think they will honor the Fairness Doctrine if it’s resurrected? Ha, ha, ha.

 
Comment by spike66
2008-07-03 11:27:17

“NPR, PBS, CBS, NBC, and CNBC are all extremely liberal.”

I’m missing the sarcasm here. For the past 7 years, the well-paid talking heads have done nothing but kowtow to the Bush admin. Only as gas hit record numbers,and the public became irritated, have they slightly veered towards the critical.

With the exception of Sy Hersch, are there any journalists any more?…you know, the watchdogs of the republic envisioned by Adams and Jefferson. I’d say no.

Well it’s the Fourth,but I can’t imagine a single Founding Father who would be celebrating what we’ve become.

 
Comment by josemanolo7
2008-07-03 18:03:26

let me ask you then when have the media debated labor (liberal) issues in the same way as abortion issues. liberal my a**.

 
Comment by Incredulous
2008-07-03 19:35:55

They never debate the abortion issue; they just show footage of raving anti-abortionists vs. calm well-behaved pro-abortionists. In thirty-five years, they’ve never shown an abortion on American broadcast television, or a fetus immediately before and after. They have never reported on the scores of pro-life centers that have been burned over the past two decades, or the pro-lifers who’ve been attacked and beaten, but they’ve shown endless footage of a few clinics that have been bombed or burned (with nobody in them), and a few sociopathic quacks (a.k.a. abortionists) shot by crazy people. A debate requires two sides, not one, and balance, not disinformation. Lying by omission is still lying.

If you don’t think the media outlets I listed are liberal, then you really don’t know anything about them or the people who run them.

 
Comment by measton
2008-07-03 19:54:52

The best example I ever saw of the selecting a weak debater was Bill Oreilly. He picked some thin high school pot head to debate legalizing marijuana with. The guy still had acne. Then Oreilly yelled at the guy everytime he tried to make a point.

 
 
Comment by salinasron
2008-07-03 11:31:58

“Every man has a right to be heard”

Am I missing something here? I thought you were guaranteed the right of free speech but their is no guarantee to be heard. The latter is why some radio and tv shows flourish and some flounder. Those with an audience have sponsors willing to invest advertising dollars and thus keep you on the air; capitalism at work.

As for me, I find turing off the radio, tv (except financial tapes), mag subscriptions, newspapers, and movies helps me maintain my sanity. The internet lets me pick and chose those I wish to hear.

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Comment by mgnyc99
2008-07-03 09:30:11

hey Blano
$400 million buys alot of hillbilly heroin

disclosure- i am not nor have i ever been a moveov.org member

f- rush limbaugh

 
Comment by spike66
2008-07-03 11:34:21

“Typical left wing jealousy.”

Nope, wrong call. But he does illustrate,along with OJ, what kind of justice money can buy. Guy likes to hawk against junkies et.al. and when he’s arrested for being one, buys his way out. In a corrupt society, all that counts is money, plenty of it. Neither left nor right wing, just the cash talking.
Once you accept the corruption, then there is no problem, just a playah working the game.

Comment by Incredulous
2008-07-03 12:21:01

Limbaugh is a grotesque being, but his political stunt is all just that: a stunt. The same for the left/right confrontations on CNBC, CNN, and Fox. Next time you’re watching, note that the guests representing this or that position and supposedly speaking and arguing extemporarily are all READING TELEPROMPTERS. Watch their eyes darting from their left-to-their right, over and over and over.

It’s no different from fake wrestling, except that the general public hasn’t caught on yet. The fake political confrontations, debates, discussions, etc. are huge money-makers because audiences love them. Ann Coulter probably doesn’t believe what she preaches; clerly, she makes herself as controversial as possible to boost book sales.

Ditto for General Clark, and Keith Oberman, and all the rest: actors, grandstanders, fame-seekers, and circus freaks all vying for the camera on cue.

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Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-07-03 14:53:13

“actors, grandstanders, fame-seekers, and circus freaks all vying for the camera on cue.”

Couldn’t have said it better, Incredulous.

There was a libertarian talk show host whose show was out of Boston. David Brudnoy. He always respected his guest. He would play devil’s advocate and argue either side to get to the meat of the argument, to allow his listeners to understand every nuance. I’m not sure I ever heard him raise his voice or make fun of anyone. He was a true academic, not a rodeo clown.

The only talk show host I ever enjoyed.

May he rest in peace.

 
 
 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-07-03 14:42:54

Blano,

I’m a centrist and I can’t stand that man.

 
 
 
Comment by hoz
2008-07-03 06:23:42

Hope now has not been offering as much hope.

Washington Post

“…The mortgage industry helped 170,000 at-risk homeowners with their troubled loans in May, down about 7 percent from the previous month, according to industry figures released yesterday. …”

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/07/02/AR2008070202829.html

 
 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-07-03 06:28:41

There seems to be a foul mood extant among many HBBers this day before the Fourth. :) Happy Independence Day!

Comment by hoz
2008-07-03 06:33:33

I am getting my mean and nasty shots this morning, then I can really become cruel.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 06:36:08

A little cruelty and schadenfreude will do your fellow citizens a world of good. ;-)

Comment by Jwhite
2008-07-03 07:20:13

And label you as a coot!!! :D I usually keep my opinions private unless asked. Particularly down here in Deep, deep, Wonderland…

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Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 07:35:19

I didn’t say you need to sit around in your bathrobe and smell like dirty underwear, did I?

You need razor-sharp, zippy, natty, witty putdowns preferably while twirling a cold martini.

You know?!? Something out of Dorothy Parker.

I think I’ve lived in New York too long. :-D

 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-07-03 08:00:45

Heheh, sorry, but the bathrobes and lack of hygiene are de riguer here… There’s not a place in town to get a dry martini either… You have to go 70 miles to get one… Sigh.

“pearls before swine”…

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2008-07-03 10:17:57

‘There’s not a place in town to get a dry martini either… You have to go 70 miles to get one… Sigh.’

You need to make your own martini’s, then. There is nothing else for it, my good sir.
As it happens, I have a truly superior vintage, silver-plated martini shaker, AND the cap is an adorable bunny head!
You’d scream like an excited little girl if you saw it.

 
 
 
 
Comment by VirginiaTechDan
2008-07-03 07:40:06

Let us remember what the 4th of July is really about! It is not about “USA!!! USA!!!”

When in the Course of human events it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. — That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, — That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security. — Such has been the patient sufferance of these Colonies; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to alter their former Systems of Government. The history of the present King of Great Britain is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having in direct object the establishment of an absolute Tyranny over these States. To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid world.

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-07-03 08:39:50

Thank you.

Comment by wolfgirl
2008-07-03 09:08:31

Also thank you.

To celebrate we will be watching 1776 this weekend.

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Comment by OCDan
2008-07-03 09:21:53

Sadly, some day, if the country doesn’t FINALLY go broke first, it may come to throwing all the turds out of DC.

Sure, they can use all the tanks and guns on us. But if 280,000,000 people show up, I think we will overwhelm them.

Besides, will they nuke DC? Maybe, but only if they are already outta Dodge City.

I always get a kick out of quoting the gubbermint abolishment statement and then watching people looking at me like I am an extremist.

The founders understood their weaknesses. They weren’t perfect. They were slaveholders. Heck, they weren’t even Christians. Some were, some were deists, some were athsists.

However, they had an understanding of abusive government and they understood they were human. They also understood that the individual always trumps goobermint.

As an aside, I do see many on this board are testy today, the day before this country’s 232nd b’day celebration.

I think it just goes to show that this country has become so splintered that there is very little many, let alone ALL, of us can agree on.

Considering my tinfoil and doomer outlook, it just means that it won’t be long before the whole thing makes it final few swirls in the bowl before heading out to the sewage plant for treatment and then the ocean.

Won’t be soon enough for me. I am tired of this dopey matrix. If this passes for life, God help us all. Enough with the ESPN gambling style economy.

For you guys who make money like TX, good for ‘ya. Heck, I have a cushy county job. I am not a farmer. Heck, look at Buffet. Great investor? Sure. Has the guy ever made a single widget or invention himself that has been for the betterment of mankind? No, I am not talking about making billions for his coattail investors. It is this mentality of get rich and get rich quick, combined with some who use any means necessary to do, that is killing this country.

Happy 4th.

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Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-07-03 10:55:16

dan, I always like your posts, good reading.

 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-07-03 15:00:23

Thanks Virginia Tech Dan and OC Dan for a od post and response.

Now I just have one question.

“The founders understood their weaknesses.”

Where can we find some of those?

 
 
 
Comment by lavi d
2008-07-03 09:52:47

Amen

 
 
 
Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2008-07-03 06:37:40

So prices on the New York Stock Exchange are down to Summer ‘99 levels. When can we get Manhattan real estate to follow suit?

Comment by hoz
2008-07-03 06:56:58

Summer 1998 levels. A decade of negative return. Patience.

Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 07:11:53

Summer of discontent, 1984 levels.

 
Comment by sf jack
2008-07-03 10:20:20

Summer ‘98?

In July of 1998 I was in graduate school and clearly remember the Dow at around 9300 that month.

Did it really hit 11,300 that summer?

Or perhaps you’re talking inflation-adjusted.

 
 
 
Comment by Muggy
2008-07-03 06:40:48

I was having a glass of wine on a porch in Skaneateles last night, when someone smashed a beer bottle in the driveway of the house and told me to f_ _ _ myself. I also witnessed several incidents of road rage here.

*sigh*

Me, me, me. Gimme, gimme, gimme.

Comment by dude
2008-07-03 07:07:52

Had you just mooned him? Did you light your cigar with a hundred dollar bill? Something must have set him off, or the guy is just crazy, and you should have a gun in your lap while drinking wine on your porch.

 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-07-03 07:21:58

Gimme a cold one… I’m thinking that a lot of stress is building up in the “tonier” areas…

 
Comment by phillygal
2008-07-03 08:57:10

Muggy, this is too funny.

Surely you do not represent that this incident is the first time in your esteemed existence that someone has told you to eff off.

Comment by Muggy
2008-07-03 09:23:10

I should be explicit, since some of you have a hard time reading between the lines.

I am simply saying that I am currently visiting a town known for being a nice, quiet, peaceful place to visit and it has changed a lot in the last few years. Since I have been out of W/CNY for peak bubble years, it has been an eye-opening trip for me. Many of the behaviors I saw in Florida in 2005 I am seeing in upstate now. The irony is that where I live in Florida is very peaceful now that all of the truckticle contractors have split (nyuk, yuk).

And, dude, I have my butler light my cigars with hundred dollar bills.

Comment by phillygal
2008-07-03 10:25:31

Silly me, I thought Skantiinees (sic) was in FLA

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Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-07-03 15:11:06

Muggy,
Have you been reading the Syracuse Post Standard?

Class warfare comments have really been ramping up. If you read the Madison County forum, Cazenovians are under attack pretty regularly. I’d imagine Skaneateles would be experiencing the same.

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Comment by Muggy
2008-07-03 16:55:56

I only check Rochester’s D&C when I’m in Florida. I can say the class issues are ramping up in Rochester as well. My wife has closer ties to Syracuse, so I’ll ask her. I’m discovering that upstate is not the Rockwell painting I remember it to be. I still love it up here, but I’m really, really tired of disrespect in the public sphere. Road rage was virtually non-existent in upstate. I figured Florida was hot and had poorly planned roads (which it is and does), but upstate really has no excuse, and yet I can’t get over the nonsense going on around town.

I know I get amped here every now and then on the net, but I am very polite and considerate in the physical world. It’s frustrating to see so many idiots around. AND, I would like to say it’s bored teenagers, but it’s not; it’s grown adults.

 
 
 
 
Comment by holytrainwreck
2008-07-03 11:33:21

No, people drunk and stoned out of their minds do random sh.. these days…maybe they were tapping Muggys internet connection and reading his posts?

Comment by Muggy
2008-07-03 14:14:35

I guess I don’t understand the replies to me today. Apparently I am an asshole for having a glass of wine in Skaneateles. For the record, you can park on the waterfront and have the best view of Skaneateles Lake in Clift park for exactly 50 cents in hour. I grabbed lunch at Valentine’s for less than $5. Whenever I hike at Carpenter Falls (for free) there is no one around. Not an expensive experience.

I presumed most of us here enjoy civility since most of the mortgage mongers and speculators act like cowboys. My bad, I guess we can all bring our pitbulls to St. South Pete and start shooting at each other. I’ll bring a 40 of Schlitz if y’all’ll feel better.

 
 
 
Comment by Lip
2008-07-03 06:42:52

Anyone Noticed How are Local Small Businesses are Doing in Your Town?

The fetching Ms Lip and I take a nightly walk and for the two nights a local pizza parlor has had ZERO customers in the restaurant, ZERO cars in the lot, and hardly any visible signs of life other than the flourescent “Open” sign.

On the other hand, the local kids hair salon is having a great year. I guess all the Zonies are staying in Phx rather than fleeting to SoCal.

Comment by Jwhite
2008-07-03 07:28:27

Very poorly. Restaurants are running every special they can to increase traffic, however, they’ve had to raise prices also. It can cost $20.00 for a cafe lunch and ice teas for two including tip. That’s up from $17.00 a couple months ago. The small “fru fru” stores are running permanent “Sale!” banners as well.

Regular Gas at Wallyworld is $3.95 a gallon and climbing. You hardly see anyone just stick the nozzle in and top off. Even the afluent looking ones (who knows) anxiously monitor the flow with their hand on the nozzle.

Not looking like a stellar year for small bidness here.

 
Comment by VirginiaTechDan
2008-07-03 07:34:34

Working in a small business park I can say that (in addition to my business, several others have closed down in my old building this year). This is a higher rate than at any time in the past 5 years.

Comment by simiwatch
2008-07-03 08:59:14

Dan:

Thanks for the info. These are real stories that are valuable. At many business parks I visit I see the same thing.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2008-07-03 07:58:09

I guess all the Zonies are staying in Phx rather than fleeting to SoCal.

Ah, that explains the availability of cheap rooms near Disneyland!

Comment by Arizona Slim
2008-07-03 14:50:06

Indeed we are staying in Arizona this summer. AAA just said that record numbers will be staying home for the 4th.

 
 
Comment by hip in zilker
2008-07-03 09:55:51

On S Lamar Blvd, a lot of small businesses that had been around for a while in old buildings have just disappeared. Small retail, popular resale shops, neon sign making, antiques / upholstery, furniture, tattoos, etc. There are more used car lots. A couple of sites where proposed condo developments aren’t going to happen (besides the ones that are happening). All the auto related businesses (of which there are a lot) have banners offering specials, the restaurants too. The nice hand finish car wash has few customers. Restaurants have business, but not as much as before. A historic stone house that used to have a nice salon inside now has a sign outside that says “Title Loans.” The cafeteria has become an all you can eat all the time buffet.

The “trendy” new businesses (piercing, tattoo, laser, salon that serves drinks and has bands) in the trendy new buildings have some customers, but I don’t know that they will draw people to S Lamar the way the old businesses (that had some character and the promise of a good deal on something unique) did or that they’ll last.

The bike shops are doing well, but there are probably too many of them. There are probably too many scooter shops too.

The (need I say, trendy) new retail below the finished condos (lots of which are empty) - totally dead.

Trailer kitchen places serving food or snowcones seem to have a lot of business.

The RE vultures branded S Lamar as trendy SoLa, but it isn’t looking good at the moment.

In the rest of my world, the farmers and vendors at the Farmers’ Markets are doing well.

 
 
Comment by GrittyToasterWaffleGuy
2008-07-03 07:02:12

People apparently taking the Bush stimulus package a bit too literally:

President Bush Boosts Porn Industry With Economic Stimulus Plan, According to AIMRCo

An independent market-research firm, AIMRCo (Adult Internet Market Research Company), has discovered that many websites focused on adult or erotic material have experienced an upswing in sales in the recent weeks since checks have appeared in millions of Americans’ mailboxes across the country.

According to Kirk Mishkin, Head Research Consultant for AIMRCo, “Many of the sites we surveyed have reported 20-30% growth in membership rates since mid-May when the checks were first sent out, and typically the summer is a slow period for this market.”

Comment by vozworth
2008-07-03 07:15:24

JNJ should get a nice bounce as a lubricity play.

Comment by GrittyToasterWaffleGuy
2008-07-03 10:13:55

Lubricity. LOL.

 
 
Comment by txchick57
2008-07-03 07:46:49

LOL, I saw that yesterday. Seems that many a package is being stimulated by Uncle Sugar.

Comment by JP
2008-07-03 07:54:51

At least some of the money is staying domestic.

Comment by Muggy
2008-07-03 09:34:35

This reminds me, where is NYCityBoy? I’m fairly certain he supports single mothers.

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Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-07-03 09:51:57

I’ve been wondering the same thing.

 
Comment by Max
2008-07-03 10:58:39

I’m fairly certain he supports single mothers.

Is that why he makes so many of them? ;)

 
 
 
Comment by holytrainwreck
2008-07-03 11:26:15

You know, Bush once said, it’s not IF we have a package, but, how big will that package be…

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 10:46:24

The “stimulus package” concept seems to have morphed into “stimulate your package.”

Comment by Max
2008-07-03 11:01:11

Come to think of it, people literally blow their money.

 
 
 
Comment by hoz
2008-07-03 07:09:18

Have a great 4th all.
Spe labor levis. Cal Tech’s motto
(4 years of Latin from Benedictine friars and I liked Cattallus!)

Comment by Jwhite
2008-07-03 07:29:39

“Sua Sponte”

 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-07-03 08:48:44

OT: Hey, Hoz, my fav was Tacitus, especially the part where the crazy Scots force the Romans to build a wall to keep them out. Being of Scots descent, I loved his description of the Druids having some very Roman-chilling rituals. Not much left of Hadrians Wall, but I did find an old Roman coin there.

Happy 4th, Die dulce fruimini!

 
Comment by implosion
2008-07-03 15:40:47

Actually, Hoz, the Caltech motto is: The truth shall make you free.

I believe the phrase you listed is the motto of one of the undergrad student houses - Page House.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 07:16:44

latest news
U.S. June ISM services index 48.2% vs 51.7 in May
ECONOMIC REPORT
Payrolls fall by 62,000 in June
Unemployment rate steady at 5.5%, worse than expected
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 08:24:34

If you had been watching the tape this morning, it would be pretty clear that this had been leaked circa 9:40am.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 07:27:51

Is this the first time this cycle that initial claims topped 400,000?

Laying claims
Initial jobless claims top the 400,000 level — up by 16,000.

Comment by packman
2008-07-03 09:27:30

They topped 400k for one week back March also. General trend is still very much up though:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuilder?ticker1=INJCJC:IND

 
Comment by packman
2008-07-03 09:28:52

Just noticed that you answered your own question below.

Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 11:05:33

That weekly claims series is interesting. The past times when it has consistently stayed above 400K have coincided with recessions. We are not there at this point.

Comment by packman
2008-07-03 11:30:40

Hmm - that link doesn’t really work for me - just gives a mostly-empty page with the following:

——————-
Subject: Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Data - Report r539cy

Run Date: 7/3/2008
——————–

Is that a more long-term report than the Bloomberg link? I’d love to see it.

Also - I’ve seen people say that these numbers are cooked some. Any thoughts on that?

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Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 07:29:48

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The number of people filing for unemployment benefits rose by 16,000 last week to 404,000, only the second time in this cycle that initial claims have been above 400,000, the Labor Department reported Thursday.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 08:02:15

“Bernankeruptcy”

 
Comment by reuven avram
2008-07-03 08:18:30

NPR has a segment on the FHA downpayment assistance program that will make you want to puke.

Even though people who pay no downpayment are 3x more likely to default, and the nonprofit assistance program is likely to cost taxpayers BILLIONS of dollars in covering bad loans, we have *REPUBLICAN* lawmakers who are strong supporters. The one NPR interviewed (sorry, I didn’t get the name) was a former homebuilder.

And what’s that burdensome down-payment requirement that FHA has?

3%

C’mon! if people can’t save 3% ($9000 on a 300,000 mortgage), they shouldn’t be in a house. What will they do when the roof fails? Ask Taxpayers for more assistance.

I saved 20% on an ordinary salary. (plus 6 months payments…and that was in addition to maxing out the 401K). It was a fun challenge.

Comment by polly
2008-07-03 11:06:42

That was a decent report, though the probing got a little thin toward the end. 7:10 seems to be housing bubble collapse reporting time on Morning Edition. They do economic stories at that time fairly regularly.

 
 
Comment by miami33
2008-07-03 08:26:59

Bush’s Dollar Drop Maps Loss of U.S. Clout at Final G-8 Summit

By James G. Neuger

July 3 (Bloomberg) — When President George W. Bush went to his first Group of Eight summit in 2001, a dominant issue was the dollar — the strong dollar, that is. The U.S. currency was on a record-setting streak, and the free-marketeering president wasn’t going to stand in the way.

On the eve of Bush’s last G-8 appearance, the dollar’s gyrations are again in the crossfire. This time, it is a weak currency, upended by slumping growth, a housing recession and record gas prices, that is gnawing away at the world economy.

The dollar’s 41 percent drop against the euro during Bush’s term writes the economic epitaph of an administration that set out to restore American preeminence. Instead, Bush heads to Japan next week for his final international summit with diminished leverage as Russian and Chinese influence grows….

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aH0_cYGS8Avc&refer=home

Another “mission accomplished” moment for this administration.

Comment by Max
2008-07-03 11:48:11

The formula never fails - Republican prez -> weaker dollar. There is a cottage industry in playing it.

 
 
Comment by Kim
2008-07-03 08:33:59

Just an observation here… it cost us $50 for three people to eat dinner at Friendly’s last night. Wow.

For those of you not familiar with New England, Friendy’s is (maybe) one step above a diner and (I’d say) one below Applebees, Fridays, Chilis and that ilk.

The place was packed too.

Comment by Xpovos
2008-07-03 11:56:09

I actually really enjoy eating at Friendly’s. Not too many of them left around here, though. Could have something to do with the fact that it was basically impossible to get in and out in under three hours.

 
 
Comment by NotInMontana
2008-07-03 08:34:09

I checked out craigslist first thing and this was at the top of the queue. It’ll get flagged in no time so I blogged it. Background: Cal equity locusts have been buying up the place for decades…

$300000 For Sale 10 square feet of Bitterroot property (sellumyshirt)

Reply to: see below
Date: 2008-07-03, 9:04AM MDT

I’ve got 10 square feet of prime Bitteroot property for the right buyer. It is approved for a condo size septic system (I paid off the county commissioners) and it has a view you won’t believe (just cut down about 60 acres of Ponderosa Pine trees in the National Forest adjacent to the plot). It has power run to the road leading up to the plot (only 6 miles away). And there is good water for your own well (its 700 feet down and only .5 gallon per minute, but its good water). The price was reduced $100000 for quick sale. If you buy now, I will throw in my teenage kids to do your heavy labor around your mansion for free. Sorry, I sold my mother last week to a California developer cheap. But I was able to buy my humvie I now run around in. Don’t delay this one won’t last. Besides I haven’t sold a piece of real estate for two years now and I am desperate, that is why I’m throwing in the kids to sweeten the deal. I don’t want to have to sell off my humvie.

Comment by phillygal
2008-07-03 09:01:32

I thought the Boomers were going to send the Bitterrot RE market to the moon…

guess not

 
Comment by Groundhogday
2008-07-03 09:03:01

So this seller apparently doesn’t know the difference between a square foot and a square mile?

Comment by NotInMontana
2008-07-03 09:21:55

It’s a joke! There was no email address..I’d like to know who posted it. It’s still up there, I can’t believe it.

 
 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 09:22:32

You need to upgrade your humor meter.

I think this is one of “us” making ruthless fun on craigslist. ;-)

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-07-03 09:52:28

I did it! Nah, not really, but I shoud’ve - funny tongue in cheek post.

 
 
Comment by NotInMontana
2008-07-03 09:58:33

Hmmm, come to think of it, it could have something to do with this proposed resort.

LOLO - It’s back to the drawing board for the Bitterroot Resort after the U.S. Forest Service rejected its latest proposal to bring skiing to national forest lands above Tom Maclay’s ranch just outside Lolo.

Late last week, officials from the Bitterroot and Lolo national forests said the resort’s most recent application to develop both Nordic and alpine skiing on national forest lands, as well as summer mountain bike riding, didn’t meet the necessary criteria for the agency to continue with an initial screening process for a special use permit.

Only, I don’t know whether Maclay drives a Hummer. But I went by there a couple months ago and it didn’t look like much was going on.

Comment by NotInMontana
2008-07-03 10:26:27

The guy’s still at it, now with a pic. Charred yurt on burnt-out acreage for only $1.5 mil. LMAO

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 10:47:15

Bully on him for making ruthless fun of the yokels.

Yurt? LOL.

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Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-07-03 11:02:07

I sent him an email:

“Dude, please stop, you are making a laughingstock of me and my affiliates, the overpriced POS house developers/builders/RE scumbags.

I mean, we gotta make a living, you know? What are you, some kind of liberal commie hippy anarchist? The world turns on money, dude.”

I invited him to join us. LOL

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Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2008-07-03 11:15:22

“Its like totally a green home,dude. No carbon footprint here.”

Brilliant!

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Comment by NotInMontana
2008-07-03 12:34:18

Bring the horses! It does look like the western-facing slopes of the valley.

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Comment by NotInMontana
2008-07-03 15:52:17

“Ah yes this is where songs were written. Bring the stallions and let em run free on these 100 acres of open spaces. You’ll marvel at the room you will have to recreate on this prime land. It was scorched in the fires of 2001, but it will come back some day (100 short years or so).

“Or you could sub-divide and sell off to other land barons moving into the area. Great place for a golf course, airport or just a party spot for the high school crowd. Just think when the real estate market makes an upswing in the future (100 short years or so) you’ll be setting on a gold mine. Water rights optional. Visit for more details http://www.sellumyshirt.com.”

 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-07-03 19:05:22

great place to raise dental floss (Google Frank Zappa if that one’s too obscure)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-07-03 08:44:49

Well folk’s I’m off to Developmental Psych, then a 3 hour drive north for the holiday. I wish everyone a great 4th and please keep those folks in uniform in mind. Many of them are a long way from home and family doing a dirty, dangerous job on behalf of our country… “Semper Paratus, This We Defend - Anchor’s Aweigh, Semper Fidelis, and AIM HIGH!!!” :)

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 08:47:26

Late in the game in 1945, der fuhrer thought imaginary divisions would save the day, and this time der Paulson is counting on imaginary division to come through for him.

Comment by Frank Giovinazzi
2008-07-03 10:56:48

Ve can vin!

 
 
Comment by hip in zilker
2008-07-03 08:55:28

Is infrastructure the next big thing?

Last week’s New Yorker has a Morgan Stanley ad across from the contents page w a dramatic picture of a bridge on I presume CA coast. Text of ad:
“WORLD WISE
The US received a “D” grade for its infrastructure conditions. Clearly there’s an opportunity for improvement. But did you know there may be an opportunity for you? Your Morgan Stanley Financial Adviser can help determine how your portfolio might take part in the $1.6 trillion needed to improve conditions. To find the smart investments today, you need to be world wise.”

Last week’s Texas Observer has a short piece called “Tolls for tots.” It questions the Texas’ School Land Board proposal “to invest $100 million of public school endowment funds in a controversial company that privatizes public assets of cash-strapped cities and states that need billions of dollars to support aging infrastructures. The company, Macquarie Infrastructure II LP US, hopes to build private toll roads in Texas and across the United States. It’s Australian parent, Macquarie Group Ltd, already owns private toll roads, airports, and other infrastructure assets around the globe.”
The justification by General Land Office Commissioner is that there is a 15 to 16 % annual return. Macquarie points out that its funds “have returned an average of 19.8 % annually and sold assests for more than twice their purchase price.”
According to the article, Dallas Republican state senator John Carona, chair of the Transportation and Homeland Security committee will be examining the policy implications and financial risk.
“In a 2007 Fortune article, the magazine was critical of what it termed the Macquarie Model,” whereby the company buys the rights to run toll roads from cash-strapped governments and then sells the roads back to the public via a stock offering.”

 
Comment by BubbleViewer
2008-07-03 09:00:16

US Military is biggest oil user in the world. Why doesn’t the media mention cutting back on military spending when reporting on ways to solve the high energy prices? Why don’t any of us curse the military as we fill up our SUVs?
(Rhetorical question. I know the answer).

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 09:08:52

AMF…

Headed off into the Central Valley. (Ca’s bible belt)

I need some dinosaur juice and hope there’s a prayer vigil going on @ the pumps…

http://www.cnsnews.com/ViewNation.asp?Page=/Nation/archive/200807/NAT20080703a.html

 
Comment by Ouro Verde
2008-07-03 09:23:28

Dino Juice. Good one.

My stimmy check arrived yesterday.
Gonna go get stimulated the only way I know how.
Shop for stuff, and get my haircut.
I’m thinking electronics, ink toner and good paper.

Hi Ben!

Comment by Ouro Verde
2008-07-03 09:59:10

Scratch that. Just opened a meddy bill. There goes $294.00
Ok, breathing into a paper bag.
Someday is soon.

 
Comment by holytrainwreck
2008-07-03 11:42:11

Got Stimulus?

Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 16:32:46

Holy Rollers were spotted @ a gas station in Fresno!

Wish I had my camera with me…

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 09:27:06

$150 a barrel or bust.

latest news
U.S. June ISM services employment 43.8% vs 48.7% in May
FUTURES MOVERS
Oil futures pare some gains as dollar surges
Crude pulls back from a record near $146; retail gas hits another record
By Myra P. Saefong & Polya Lesova, MarketWatch
Last update: 11:49 a.m. EDT July 3, 2008

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-07-03 09:30:26

If it comes down to a choice between protecting one’s nest egg and eating, how does this advice help?

ROBERT POWELL
Better think twice
Don’t make these critical mistakes with your nest egg, even if times are tough
By Robert Powell, MarketWatch
Last update: 7:31 p.m. EDT July 2, 2008

BOSTON (MarketWatch) — Recession or not, these are fast becoming hard times, and hard times can lead to bad decisions.

Recently, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority warned investors to think twice before taking steps that might compromise their nest eggs, such as taking out a reverse mortgage, getting a 401(k) debit card, or cashing in life insurance policies to weather tough financial times.

Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-07-03 09:50:57

… getting a 401(k) debit card …

Lord, I had no idea such a thing existed.

Interesting.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 10:39:03

We discussed this around a year ago when we first started seeing this.

It’s one of the most asinine ideas I have seen.

 
Comment by hip in zilker
2008-07-03 10:39:33

… getting a 401(k) debit card …

I had no idea either, ET. As WC Fields said,

“Never give a sucker an even break…”

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 10:50:01

Fo’ shizzle, y’all. Where you all been last few years? ;-)

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Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-07-03 10:56:07

Drunk on my fictional equity gains, I reckon.

 
 
 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2008-07-03 10:51:16

Such a thing shouldn’t exist. Just gives people more bait to destroy their future.

 
 
Comment by walt526
2008-07-03 15:06:06

“If it comes down to a choice between protecting one’s nest egg and eating, how does this advice help?”

Do what most Boomers have done with their nesteggs: make a small omelet.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-07-03 18:03:31

I blew out my 401k last year, and no I didn’t need the money…

Somehow, I got the feeling that having to wait 17 years for a tax break wasn’t worth the bother.

 
 
Comment by takingbets
2008-07-03 10:31:42

this may have been posted before from another area, but i overheard some cashiers talking at petsmart last night saying that the store had cut all the employees hours back to part time. they wern’t very happy.

Comment by Ouro Verde
2008-07-03 10:41:01

Costco must have had 250 employees on the floor yesterday.
At least.

 
Comment by walt526
2008-07-03 14:49:57

I worked for PetsMart for a spring/summer in college for $6.10/hr–I was really into aquariums and enjoyed the employee discount. Anyway, almost every paycheck, I was shorted hours, as were others. Miserable company to work for.

One of my duties was to scoop up the dead fish and record the lost inventory plus check in the new deliveries for DOAs. Between the losses in the tank and shipment, I’d guess that about 20-30% of the stock never lived long enough to be sold. Not to fear. We put the dead fish in the freezer in little baggies and they were picked up once a week… it just so happens that a main ingredient of fish food is dead fish.

I finally quit after they decided to euthanize an entire display case of small-and-fury (hamsters, gerbils, mice, rats, etc) because it was cheaper to charge off the inventory than treating them for a bacterial infection. The store sold the treatment for the condition on the adjacent shelf.

 
 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-07-03 10:53:40

I like this guy (mikefolkerth dot com):

“Remember some time ago when that bonehead “The King of Simple” predicted that Starbucks would get in big trouble? Starbucks was based on the model of selling $1.00 coffee for $4.00 to the mathematically challenged. Starbucks is now closing 600 stores and laying off 12,000 employee’s. How could such a well thought out business plan go astray?

There are thousands of businesses in the U.S. that have a similar business plan to Starbucks. Similar in that they can only exist in a particular economic climate, a time when there is loads of discretionary income available to the mathematically challenged. Which pretty much means everyone in the U.S. if world math scores are an indication.

Fancy bottled water, high end antique shops, and exclusive boutiques will fall in line with Starbucks decline. Tap water, consumer goods auction houses and thrift shops will take their place, just as go-cups from home are taking Starbucks place.

How do I know? I had a front row seat for that movie the last time it was showing and even stayed for the credits. I have had three people call in a week asking about retail space to put in a shop to sell used merchandise.

My wife was talking to our friend who owns a real estate title company and she told Cathy about a great second hand clothing store that recently opened and who handles quality clean pressed clothing at a fraction of new. She and my wife plan to visit the store next week.

I was a fast talker who dealt in other peoples merchandise for years…an auctioneer. We watched our crowds for general merchandise dwindle away to the point that we could no longer accept clothing, dated furniture, or canning jars. New was available on credit, rent to own came into vogue, style trumped common sense and, why can, they sell that stuff at the grocery. It made me sick.

Today, don’t stand in front of the canning jars when they come up for bid, you might get trampled. Ain’t we something?

An old businessman told me years ago that, “More businesses go broke during good times than ever do during bad times.” He went on to explain that they don’t really go broke during good times, they set themselves up to go broke and then when the economy takes a tick down, down is the direction that they go.

Acceptance, complacency, and lack of innovation are all prevalent during a lucrative business cycle. Acceptance, that not only can you sell a dollar cup of coffee for four dollars, but acceptance that it will go on forever. Complacency in that high costs can be absorbed by raising prices, after all, they went for the four bucks didn’t they? Lack of innovation to constantly monitor and change the business model to fit the economic circumstances, polishes off the perfect setup for business failure.

Fortunately we don’t practice these dumb tactics at home. Of course we don’t. The mega home with the mega mortgage; after all homes always go up in value as do wages. The new twin SUVs parked in the three car garage next to the new boat; hey, you only go around once.

You get the picture, we set ourselves up during the good times to a point that we can’t weather any bad times. And, why should we weather any bad times? Our newest political candidates assure us that not only is it not our fault, he or she will fix our ills just as soon as we elect them.

It’s up to each of us to run our own lives as we see fit. Having the freedom to do so is a choice that is guaranteed by our Constitution. There is no place in that Constitution that guarantee’s to save us from our own poor choices. And that includes poor choices at the voting booth.”

Comment by packman
2008-07-03 11:44:00

Yep. I’m always looking for some good “luxury item” shorts these days. Bottled water would be a good one, though I can’t find any that are public. Made a bunch shorting tempur-pedic (TPX) though, and some with SBUX. Looking for GPS, GYMB, WSM, BBY, BBBY, TIF to come through eventually.

Cripes though not trying to sound arrogant, as I’m sure that does.

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-07-03 12:17:06

Biotaspringwater dot com. A company started in Ouray, Colorado, under the premise that people would drink tap water from a town with panache. Of course, you’re not supposed to know it’s just tap water. And the bottles were biodegradable, made from corn.

“Everybody wants to make a difference…
Now you can.
BIOTA is a Planet Friendly ™ company.
BIOTA Spring Water is the World’s First bottled water/beverage packaged in a Planet Friendly ™ bottle.
Our bottle is manufactured from a 100% renewable resource, corn….not oil!
Together, we can make a difference. One bottle at a time.”

Whoops, seems like the source got a little polluted for awhile and it shut them down. Now in bankruptcy, happened very fast, for sale, if you’re a fool, I mean interested.

Hope the corn bottles are edible. And that Planet Friendly trademark should be worth something.

 
 
Comment by holytrainwreck
2008-07-03 11:47:35

It’s funny you mentioned the “dollar cup of coffee”. A restaurant operator once told me that coffee is their high margin item; it costs only six to seven cents to make.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 15:33:34

Even if you buy super-duper fancy coffee, and believe me, as a resident food snob, I do, good coffee should cost you less than 30-40 cents to make, if even that.

Throw in rents, labor, depreciation, etc., you’re still not up to $4.

 
 
 
Comment by cactus
2008-07-03 11:01:16

July 3 (Bloomberg) — India banned corn exports and curbed shipments of steel, seeking to boost domestic supplies and cool the fastest inflation in 13 years as world commodity prices soar.

21 century The age of shortages

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 12:02:55

Well, it couldn’t be because they are printing rupees to peg to the dollar.

It must be shortages.

Ummmm yeah, OK. Pull the other one.

 
 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2008-07-03 11:06:31

Waiting for stocks to rally? Don’t hold your breath

“Wall Street was betting that other big negatives such as the credit crisis, housing slump and slowing economy that hampered stocks last year would be fading from view by now, paving the way for a brighter future. But it hasn’t worked out that way — at least not yet.”

Does Wall Street not have access to the Credit Suisse chart showing the largest resets yet to come?

“Financials in the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index have suffered more than $1.2 trillion in losses since its Oct. 9, 2007, high, compared with a loss of just $263 billion in the 2000-02 bear market, S&P says.”

Wow, and the fireworks are just getting started!

“Still, Stack points out that the Dow’s current slump — which includes its worst June performance since the Great Depression — has been just nine months long, still six months shy of the median bear market (half are shorter, half are longer).”

Nine more months of this just to get to the median bear market in one of the worst credit environments since the GD. This should go well.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2008-07-03 11:18:59

“Nine more months…”

Shoulda been “Six more months…”

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2008-07-03 11:22:12

DANGIT!! This shoulda been up dere somewhere.

Screw this, I can’t type or think today. I’m going windsurfing….

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-07-03 11:40:55

C’mon, Sleepless, windsurfing? You would do that to the rest of us, just leave us here to tend to business while you go windsurfing?

??
??

Apparently so…dang, I wish I could go windsurfing…

Comment by holytrainwreck
2008-07-03 11:48:54

Windsurfing in Utahrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

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Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2008-07-03 11:58:59

Yep, sorry. Quick stop to the recycling center then I’m off!!

Think of the bright side. You get to enjoy today’s economic meltdown and I won’t have access to witness it for hours. I’m having withdrawal symptoms already. :-)

Now, where’s that wind?

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Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-07-03 12:19:46

Sleepless, the wind’s HERE! I’m gonna head up to the Great Salt Lake and go windsurfing, thanks for the idea.

Ever swim in a very briny lake and weren’t able to take a shower afterwards??

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Magic Kat
2008-07-03 11:23:55

Spengler at atimes.com must be reading Neil’s posts here on the HBB:

Mr. Spengler concludes, “My advice to individual investors? Invest in some popcorn, because the next six months will be something to watch.”

Hahahaha!

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-07-03 11:41:55

Like neil, he must be long popcorn…

 
 
Comment by alta
2008-07-03 11:37:55

As expected, banks are forced to dump their REOs sooner or later…

“Banks: Everything must go! Financial firms may look to sell assets to get their balance sheets in shape. …”
http://money.cnn.com/2008/07/03/news/companies/banks_assets/index.htm?postversion=2008070304

 
Comment by Karl
2008-07-03 12:46:35

Not exactly Housing Bubble, but housing related and a sore point considering all the fraud that’s going on WITHIN the housing bubble. If you live in Wisconsin you have signifigantly less rights if you buy a lemon of a home…

High court sticks it to home buyers
http://www.madison.com/tct/opinion/294456

 
Comment by Ria Rhodes
2008-07-03 13:44:27

Off-topic: recent excerpt from interview with Suze Orman, the tan, smiling personal finance woman who once embraced broad market index investing but now favors performance chasing:

“You used to be a big fan of index funds. Now you’re not.”

A. “I know, I know. I’m switching for the first time in my life. All the stats say that index funds outperform 80% of managed funds out there. And a few years ago I’d have said just buy Vanguard’s S&P 500 index fund or its Total Stock Market index fund.”

“But today I think you have to be more active, and I like exchange-traded funds that let you own particular sectors, like iShares MSCI Emerging Markets, United States Oil Fund or the Metals & Mining SPDR.”

Q. “Oil and mining? You obviously aren’t worried that commodities are the next bubble.”

A. “No. I think it’s absolutely possible you could see oil go to $150 or $160. I’d never tell you to put 100% of your money into anything. But I think in this economy you need to manage your money more actively.”

Q. “I’m surprised you don’t like target-date retirement funds, which I’ve always thought of as a simple solution for people who want to leave the investing to a pro.”

A. “Target funds automatically take money out of your stock funds and add it to bond funds just because you’re getting older. Give me a break! You should invest in bonds only when interest rates are going down. But target funds base all their decisions on one factor: your age.”

Comment by walt526
2008-07-03 14:57:34

There are plenty of worthy alternative strategies to index funds, but chasing sector-specific ETFs for a novice investor is not one of them. That strikes me as a surefire way to wind up jumping from one bubble to the next.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-07-03 15:08:15

For starters, understanding both the short-term and the long-term credit cycles is a must.

At the VERY minimum.

Quite a bit of basic math and accounting can’t hurt either.

Suze is a ditzy moron even though what she says about “personal” finance is basically accurate. But she has no clue about serious stuff.

 
Comment by Ria Rhodes
2008-07-03 16:43:18

“There are plenty of worthy alternative strategies to index funds, but chasing sector-specific ETFs for a novice investor is not one of them. That strikes me as a surefire way to wind up jumping from one bubble to the next.”

I don’t know about “plenty” of alternatives, but I agree with the rest of your statement.

Of course everyone’s financial situation/needs are unique. Index funds that keep costs to an absolute minimum and are diversified and allocated to match an individual/couples situation/age have proven track records if held for the long term, but yes, there are other instruments/strategies other than indexing to provide for ones retirement needs. The concept of an index core + other instruments to round out a portfolio is widely accepted by personal financial planners.

 
 
 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-07-03 13:58:16

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gqujHde78zQ&feature=related

One of the greats, reminding us what tomorrow’s all about.

Comment by shizo
2008-07-03 21:06:59

Awwwww, crap. now the gov’t knows what i’m watching on youturd.

:)

 
 
Comment by sfrenter
2008-07-03 14:46:08

I just took my 8 year-old and some of her friends to see the “American Girl, Kit Kittredge” movie. It takes place in 1934 and I would not be exaggerating to say that the main theme of the movie is avoiding foreclosure. How oddly prescient. The girls loved it, but after reading this blog for the past couple of years I found it a little chilling.

 
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