Seeing The “Handwriting On The Wall” In California
The Sacramento Bee from California. “It’s finally come to this in Sacramento’s weakened real estate market. Denial that the boom has ended isn’t moving houses. The upbeat talk of real estate agents hasn’t worked. Even price cutting isn’t working for many as thousands of houses languish on the market. Almost on cue amid the quiet desperation, auctioneers have begun elbowing their way into the sales scene.”
“‘I’m trying to get out quick,’ says Patrick Maloney, the Sacramento resident moving to San Luis Obispo. Last month Maloney put up a for-sale sign asking $293,000. But so far it’s attracted only lookers. Maloney aims today to distinguish his house from 15,000 others on the market an auctioneer.”
“In Elk Grove, John Chargin, too, is turning to today’s auction block for a house he’s listed at $549,950 and bought just last year. Chargin, a mortgage broker, moved to another office in California and wants to sell as fast as possible. ‘When you have a mortgage and don’t live in the house, you need to get rid of it,’ he says.”
“Anxious sellers say their arrival shows many people will now trade a lower price for a quick escape. ‘A lot of sellers have dropped their sales prices $10,000 and no one cares,’ says Keith McLane, principal of West Coast Home Auctions and former Sacramento land buyer for Texas-based Richmond American Homes.”
“It’s no secret that sellers are having troubles. There are also 10,000 more homes for sale than 1 1/2 years ago in El Dorado, Placer, Sacramento and Yolo counties. Many sellers report lowball offers from buyers who have again gained the upper hand in the market.”
“The minimum bid for Maloney’s $293,000 home is $169,000. Chargin’s $549,950 listing has a minimum bid of $299,000. In both cases the owners have set a private minimum amount they will accept for a sale, a process called a ‘reserve auction.’”
“Maloney says the equity he’s gained in nine years allows him to accept less at auction than he might get from a traditional sale. ‘I can see the handwriting on the wall,’ he says. ‘I don’t feel like sitting here six months or paying a house payment on top of rent in San Luis Obispo.’”
The Desert Sun. “Unlike what’s happening in places like San Diego, Coachella Valley prices year-over-year are not yet falling. But sales counts are down more than 40 percent from a year ago, according to DataQuick.”
“‘I have to tell sellers not to price their house up too high, but to price it at what they’re willing to accept and negotiate from there if they have to,’ said Rocio Flores, a real estate agent in Indio. ‘There’s a ton of inventory out there, especially with the new building still going on.’”
“Many of the homes constructed and purchased in response to the frenzied 2004 market, often by nonresident investors, are now sitting empty, frequently being offered up as rental units. And at some of the larger subdivisions, homes continue to be built.”
“‘It’s a much more competitive market out there right now, and builders are having to do things to entice buyers,’ said Fred Bell, executive director of the Southern California Building Industry Association’s Desert Chapter.”
“In response, some new-home builders are throwing in free pools, casitas and major price breaks to move their product. Some resale-home sellers are now having to drop prices by tens of thousands of dollars, as the sellers’ market of two years ago moves in favor of buyers.”
“‘I’m sure there were a lot of speculators who bought here in 2004 and 2005,’ said Chapman University economist Esmael Adibi. ‘But any of them who are still in the market, I imagine they are having problems selling those homes,’ Adibi said.”
“Some Coachella Valley owners and investors, struggling to sell their properties across many price categories, blame market psychology for the current slowdown.”
“As an investor, Alan Waters of Palm Desert typically does several remodel/upgrade projects on homes in the valley each year. He recently had a property for sale in Palm Springs for more than 18 months.”
“‘Even following a substantial price reduction of more than $200,000, bringing the price $100-per-square-foot below the neighborhood average, the property had not sold,’ said Waters, whose day job as CEO of Wilson Johnson involves commercial rather than residential real estate.”
“(Broker) Lorenzo Lombardelli contends that consumers are waiting for the market to stabilize. ‘There are plenty of buyers in the market,’ Lombardelli said. ‘But..they’re worried that if they buy now, the prices will go down even further later.’”
“‘This indicates to me that price is not the driving determination with buyers in this market,’ Waters said of his investment experience. ‘Uncertainty and ‘bubble talk’ are the issues.’”