The Good Ol’ Days Include The Recession Years In California
The Orange County Register reports from California. “As the sub-prime mortgage crisis reverberates across Orange County, the Pufpafs and other Ladera residents are adjusting to a new housing reality: falling prices. Ladera Ranch resident and Realtor Sherrie LeVan represents Dyer as well as interior designer Toni Blackman, a resident in nearby Coto de Caza, who’s been flipping her homes every two to three years since the ’70s.”
“‘This is the worst I’ve seen it [the housing market],’ Blackman said.”
“Blackman bought a 3,100-square-foot home in Dove Canyon in September 2005, at the height of the housing bubble, for $1.45 million. ‘I knew I bought high,’ Blackman said.”
“When she put the house on the market in July 2007, it sat for six months until Blackman decided to lease it for $4,000 per month, $100 more than Blackman’s monthly mortgage payment. The $4,000 rent doesn’t cover the Mello-Roos taxes, homeowner’s association fees, pool maintenance and gardening fees that cost Blackman about $1,500 a month.”
“Blackman said she is hopeful that she’ll be able to recoup her losses by hanging onto the home for two more years. In the meantime, she is looking for full-time employment in sales or marketing and trying to keep a perspective on her situation.”
“‘I have my sanity. I have my kids and my health. And I have a lot of faith,’ Blackman said.”
From Bloomberg. “Angel Gutierrez, based in San Diego, buys bad mortgages a dozen at a time for a fraction of their face value from lenders overwhelmed by the highest number of defaults in 23 years. When he goes door to door to negotiate lower payments for homeowners or pay them to move so he can sell the house, he’s speeding up the recovery by establishing a price for the homes and flushing out the least reliable borrowers.”
“‘You buy the mortgage for pennies on the dollar, carry the big stick, tell the homeowner how it’s going to be, then double your money very easily,’ Gutierrez said.”
“In San Diego’s Encanto neighborhood, where median home prices slid 38 percent in March from a year earlier, according to DataQuick, Gutierrez pulled up in front of an L-shaped, one-story stucco house. The grass was tall enough to hide a broken child’s swing in the front yard.”
“The homeowner was $365,000 under water after buying the house with no money down in June 2005. If Gutierrez bought the note for 20 cents on the dollar, or $73,000, he could probably get the owner to leave by giving her $5,000 for moving expenses, then sell the home for about $150,000, well below even the neighborhood’s declining market value, he said. That would leave him a profit of about $70,000.”
“‘I like the fast nickel,’ he said. ‘You buy them cheap, you sell them fast and you get paid. I’m considered a bottom feeder.’”
“On a sunny day last month, Gutierrez knocked on doors in Imperial Beach, an arid, hilly town just south of San Diego. In Imperial Beach, 15 homeowners lost their properties to foreclosure in the first three months of 2008, compared with four in the same period last year, according to DataQuick.”
“At a one-story, L-shaped stucco house in Imperial Beach with four-foot-tall rose bushes and an American flag hanging from the garage, 62-year-old Armida Leos answered the door. Her 73-year-old husband, Gilberto had to quit retirement and get a job as a security guard when their monthly mortgage payments jumped to $3,200 from $2,400, she said.”
“Gutierrez’s spreadsheet said the Leos family owed $455,000 on their mortgage. Leos said she and her husband spent $50,000 fixing up the house when they moved in three years ago. They had just received notice from San Diego County that their property tax was being reduced because the house had been assessed for $193,000.”
“Back in his pickup truck, Gutierrez said he was prepared to offer Leos and her husband $5,000 to move out. He made note of the town’s falling home prices and how the house didn’t seem to be that big.”
“‘I feel really bad for my husband because he worked his heart out to get us into this house and now we’re losing it,’ Leos said.”
The New York Times. “The pain in the condo market, mostly in urban areas, may not only be deeper than in the rest of the housing market during this downturn but more prolonged.”
“Bargain hunters say they are reluctant to buy into a building even when the upfront cost seems low because they might have to pay unexpected fees as distressed neighbors default on their mortgages or just stop paying the association fees.”
“Condo owners across the country are trying to ride out the slowdown. Since 2004, when Mark Mills bought his two-bedroom apartment for $622,000 in the 210-unit GasLamp City Square condo in downtown San Diego, 10 of his neighbors have succumbed to foreclosure. The building now has a $115,000 shortfall in its budget because residents failed to pay their condo dues.”
“He resents neighbors who have rented units they cannot sell to 20-somethings, who leave beer bottles in the lobby and hold late-night parties. He is tired of the constant beeping of a smoke alarm in a vacant unit, indicating a battery needs to be replaced. Still, Mr. Mills is staying because he expects he could get only about $550,000 for his home.”
“‘We couldn’t sell it for what we bought it for,’ he said. ‘I’m in it for the long haul.’”
The Merced Sun Star. “Nearly 20 years after they were proposed, plans for the largest housing development in Merced County’s history hit another delay Wednesday. Dubbed the Villages of Laguna San Luis, the 16,000-home development could eventually bring 45,000 people — or more than half the population of the city of Merced — to the county’s Westside.”
“It’s one of four massive housing developments in the works on the county’s Westside, though only one has broken ground. ”
“The Planning Commission was slated to vote Wednesday on whether to recommend Laguna San Luis for approval. Instead, the commission delayed its vote to allow the county more time to consider new input from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.”
“At Wednesday’s meeting, a handful of people spoke against Laguna San Luis. Most cited concerns about wildlife, water and the excess housing that already exists in Merced County. ‘We have a surplus on the market right now that will take us 15 years to get out of,’ said Maureen McCorry of the Valley Land Alliance.”
The Modesto Bee. “More than 6,000 properties received at least one foreclosure-related filing last month in Stanislaus, San Joaquin and Merced counties, according to RealtyTrac.” “Merced had the highest foreclosure rate in the nation in April, followed by San Joaquin at No. 2 and Stanislaus in third place.”
“Lenders repossessed 2,228 properties in April in Stanislaus, San Joaquin and Merced counties. California posted the second-highest state foreclosure rate in April, behind Nevada — with…a total of 64,683.”
“‘Unfortunately, there is a lot of bad news in most areas of California,’ said Daren Blomquist, the company’s marketing and communications manager. ‘The good news is that this isn’t something that will go on forever. It’s just hard to predict where that end is going to be.’”
“The trend is pretty clear here in the valley: When the economy booms, people flock to the sexier, more lucrative private sector jobs while public agencies struggle to get qualified applicants.”
“When the economy tanks and the private sector quits hiring, the stability of government work suddenly becomes pretty doggone appealing. Want evidence? During the recession of the 1990s, government in general continued to hire.”
“In 1996, 585 people applied to work for the Modesto police. But as we climbed out of the recession on the back of the dot-com economy, those numbers declined: to 463 applicants in 1997, 166 in 1998 and only 98 in 1999.”
“By 2000, government agencies — the cities, the county, some school districts — had trouble filling jobs. They couldn’t compete with the private sector in pay and benefits.”
“Now, some experts say, we’re in or are heading into another recession. If the valley’s housing market isn’t totally in the gutter, it’s right on the edge of the sidewalk next to your Gilton’s bin on pickup day.”
“Owners of homes built in the last five or so years are having their property values reassessed because their home values have declined so dramatically. Thus, the property tax revenue is declining as well. School enrollments are down.”
“Needing to cut up to $20 billion, the state again will balance its budget by gutting funding to local governments and schools.”
“So job seekers are again turning to the public sector. But it’s different this time around. Local governments aren’t hiring, either — certainly not as much as they did in the 1990s. In fact, they, too, are freezing jobs or sending out layoff notices.”
“That hasn’t discouraged people from applying for government jobs, said Jody Hayes, Stanislaus County’s deputy executive officer for human resources.”
“‘We’re seeing large numbers of applicants from the real estate industry — people who are in career changes,’ Hayes said. They include applicants with master’s degrees, who are highly overqualified for the few available entry-level clerk jobs that start at $14 an hour.”
“‘In the last couple of years, we had to start a continuous recruitment process to fill positions of entry-level clerk,’ Hayes said. ‘We had to stop that. We have over 500 applicants on an eligibility waiting list for an interview that may never happen.’”
“It’s enough to make your average job hunter yearn for the good ol’ days. But who’d have thought the good ol’ days would include the recession years of the 1990s?”
The Novato Advance. “For all the talk of avoiding a recession, Robert Eyler, Ph. D., Sonoma State Economics Department, said the current economic slump practically qualified, and wasn’t over yet.”
“‘If you define recession as two negative quarters back-to-back, it’s possible we’ll avoid (a recession),’ said Eyler. ‘(But) we also have to recognized that having two quarters in a row of negative growth is worse than anemic … it’s going to feel like a recession to a lot of people.’”
“‘When you hear the government is talking about purchasing a large amount of foreclosed homes to salvage the housing market, that’s a signal we’re not through this problem,’ said Eyler. ‘(However) in Novato, if you’re a homeowner, or looking to buy a house, there is unlikely to be a bad time. The worst is behind the local real estate markets.’”
“Russ Ketron of Ketron Financial in Novato (said) the credit crunch has a few more painful rounds of foreclosures and business closures left in it.”
“‘I still think we have one more leg down,’ he said. ‘I think that the credit markets haven’t worked out all of their pain yet. The marketplace hasn’t totally come to grips with unwinding debts. This was a major, major correction—biggest in our entire lifetime.’”
Palo Alto Online. “Homeowners unable to afford their mortgage payments can sometimes negotiate an agreement with lending institutions to sell their home for less than their mortgage debt.”
“Lanny Danenberg of Keller Williams, Palo Alto, said though she has not yet seen short sales in Palo Alto, she does receive calls ‘on a regular basis from people on the Peninsula, from all over — from San Mateo to Sunnyvale.’”
“‘I find that they are scared. They have no idea what their options are, for the most part. They are sitting on their hands waiting because they have no idea where to start,’ she said.”