“The Days Of The Buying Frenzy Are Gone”
The Sacramento Bee reports from California. “Capital-area home sales remained in the winter doldrums during February, with escrow closings still well below 3,113 sales reported in February 2006, itself a gloomy month for sales. Last month, 2,534 homes changed hands in Amador, El Dorado, Nevada, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter, Yolo and Yuba counties, reported DataQuick.”
“An 18.6 percent decline from last year’s sales levels, that compared to a 19.8 percent fall in the six counties of metropolitan Los Angeles and a 7.9 percent drop in the nine-county Bay Area, according to DataQuick.”
“The new statistics arrive as homeowners are setting the stage for the new real estate season in the capital region, by putting up more for-sale signs. TrendGraphix reported 11,410 existing homes for sale at the end of February in El Dorado, Placer, Sacramento and Yolo counties, the highest February number in nearly 15 years.”
Inside Bay Area. “Homes sales in the Bay Area continued a slowing pattern for the 25th consecutive month. A total of 6,305 new and resale houses and condominiums changed hands in February. Last month’s sales volume was the lowest February since 1996, when 5,940 homes were sold.”
“The median price was $620,000. The Bay Area median price peaked last June when it reached $648,000. ‘To some extent, today’s market is the result of buyers and sellers locking horns, refusing to give in to the other side’s idea of what a house is worth,’ said Marshall Prentice, DataQuick president.”
“Another factor driving the slowdown, according to Prentice, is that lots of people bought a few years ago when the market was hot. ‘They rushed to buy sooner than they would otherwise have, and that stole demand from today. It’s tough to quantify, but we think it helps explain the slowdown,’ he said.”
The Ventura County Star. “Ventura County’s median price for new and existing homes and condominiums was $584,000 in February, down from $605,000 a year ago. Sales totaled 737 last month, a 16.4 percent decline from 882 in February 2006, according to DataQuick.”
“The slowdown has been tough on the real estate industry. Real estate professionals are working twice as hard for fewer sales, said (broker) Gustavo Ramirez in Oxnard.”
“Countywide, there are about 20 to 25 properties pending daily, he said, ‘which, if you think about it, really isn’t much, considering what it was a year or two ago, when properties were hitting the market and selling within a few hours.’”
The Salinas Californian. “The number of foreclosures in Monterey County surged by more than 150 percent over the past year. The month of February saw 62 foreclosures in the county, a roughly 400 percent increase over the same month in 2006, which saw 12 foreclosures, according to the Monterey County Recorder’s Office.”
“In February, the median price for a single family home in Monterey County was $657,000 — down from $700,000 the same month last year, according to the Monterey County Association of Realtors. In north Salinas, the median price last month was $568,000, compared with $665,000 the year before.”
“‘Buyers have time to look around (and) take their time,’ said Lucy Jensen, a Soledad-based real estate agent. ‘The days of the buying frenzy are gone.’”
“Subprime lending is especially prevalent in Salinas, where the median home price is about $550,000, but the median household income is less than a 10th of that. Nationally, subprime lending accounts for about 10 percent of home loans. One local real estate agent said that figure could be as high as 70 percent in Salinas.”
“‘These are just foreclosures waiting to happen,’ said Ariel Torres, an agent in Salinas.”
“Torres said the practice of 100 percent financing, in which a homebuyer doesn’t have to put any money down, has worsened the effects of subprime lending. ‘With 100 percent financing, it opened the floodgates, so that every buyer with any whim of buying can buy a house,’ he said.”
“The attribution of the problems to predatory real estate agents and lenders has not helped bring buyers back to the market, local experts say. ‘With all the bad press we received, rightfully or wrongfully, our buyers have gone away,’ said Jensen. ‘They’re terrified by everything they’re reading.’”
The LA Times. “Orange County last month posted its first year-over-year decline in median home price in more than a decade. Since October, the median price of resale homes, the largest housing segment there, had been declining, DataQuick analyst Andrew LePage said. The overall median stayed positive because of price growth in new homes.”
“‘What’s surprising is how long it took Orange County’s all-home median to go negative,’ he said. ‘It was only a matter of time.’”
“Eddie Oruna and Kerman Rogers are sub-prime borrowers, who bought a three-bedroom home in Chino Hills in 2002 and then financed it to the hilt. The interest rate on their two loans recently jumped more than 2 percentage points, and they’re struggling to make monthly payments.”
“Just 13% of mortgages are sub-prime, but if too many in the sub-prime sector default and sell at a discount or are pushed into foreclosure, the market will be flooded with inexpensive real estate — diluting housing prices overall and possibly crimping the entire economy.”
“For Oruna and Rogers, there’s a sense of urgency. ‘We are really on the edge right now,’ Oruna says. ‘We don’t really know what to do.”
The North County Times. “For the third time in seven months, the median price of a single-family home selling in North County has declined when compared to prices last year.”
“The median price slid to $615,000 in February, a decline of 3.2 percent from $635,000 the same month in 2006, according to the North San Diego County Association of Realtors.”
“Single-family-home sales also declined 11 percent from 563 in February 2006 to 501, the report shows. At the same time, inventories began to rise again last month after falling through autumn and early winter.”
“There were 4,931 houses for sale at the end of February compared to 4,657 the previous month.” “‘A bubble has to come to an end, just like every pyramid scheme has to come to an end, because you’re running on fumes,’ econimst Christopher Thornberg said. However, he said it will take a big economic blow to burst the bubble.”
“Foreclosures countywide nearly tripled from 4,541 in 2005 to 13,246 in 2006, according to RealtyTrac.”
“It is difficult to predict at this point, said Heather Benson, president of the North San Diego County Association of Realtors, how the subprime market’s troubles will affect home values. ‘We’re going to have to wait and see,’ she said.”
The Orange County Register. “ACC Capital Holdings, the Orange-based parent of Ameriquest Mortgage Co., said it is laying off workers today ‘across all lines of business’ and combining some of its operations to cut costs amid a downturn in the subprime mortgage industry.”
“The company declined to say how many workers are being laid off. Employees said the number in Orange County was at least 100, and possibly many more than that.”
From Reuters. “Only a few weeks ago, a borrower in Southern California could qualify for 100 percent financing for a house, with no proof of income or assets. Now, the lending spigot is dry.”
“‘Everybody is running scared,’ said Yamila Ayad, a San Diego mortgage broker. ‘I have been getting these flashes across my screen: This product is going away,’ she said. ‘They have retracted the products.’”
The Argus. “In the Oakland metropolitan area about 11 percent of outstanding mortgages in December 2006 were subprime, with 12 percent of those borrowers at least 60 days late on their payments.”
“Homeowners like Juanita Wallace may be affected. Wallace is an retired Gilroy homeowner who said she’s not sure her current loan was subprime, because she says she has excellent credit. But her loan has many characteristics of those subprime borrowers typically get, including a hefty penalty if she refinances within the first two years; and a negative-amortization ‘teaser’ rate of 1.75 percent that’s causing her loan balance to grow with each passing month.”
“Her home of 35 years would have been paid for by now if she had not refinanced three times to remodel and pay debts. ‘Here I ended up owing $590,000 on it,’ she said with a rueful laugh.”