It’s REO Speedwagon, California-Real Estate Style
The Voice of San Diego reports from California. “The county’s housing prices logged a 22.4 percent drop compared to the same month a year ago, according to the most recent Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller index for April 2008 released Tuesday. Compared to the peak in November 2005, the county’s overall house prices were down 27.9 percent. Prices sunk to a level last seen in late 2003.”
“A total of 6,201 foreclosure-related notices went to county households in May, marking a 17 percent increase from the month before an 84 percent increase compared to May 2007, according to RealtyTrac.”
“Longtime real estate broker Jim Klinge’s listings are either for banks, who just want the repossessed properties sold, or for sellers who are willing to lower their prices to attract buyers, he said. He predicted the index will show another 20 percent drop in the highest tier by the end of the year.”
“‘That’s probably going to be a result of sales slowing to a crawl and the only things that are going to be selling are the things that are selling for nothing,’ he said. ‘Because that’s what everybody is willing to pay. Statistically, it’s a mess.’”
“Some sellers in the region have decided to wait, expecting better conditions in a year. But they might face a struggle if they’re expecting the statistical measures like the median price or the Case-Shiller index to support higher prices in a year, Klinge said.”
“‘They’re crazy, especially if they’re hoping for statistics to help them,’ he said, ‘because statistics are going to be showing the foreclosures.’”
The Union Tribune. “San Diego County foreclosures and defaults remained at historically high levels last month, with troubles spreading to previously untouched coastal markets, DataQuick reported. Foreclosures reached a record 1,556, up from 1,143 in April and nearly triple the 553 posted in May 2007.”
“‘It’s still mainly a problem for South County and certain inland areas,’ said DataQuick analyst Andrew LePage. ‘But it’s not as if the coast is clear. The problem is worsening a bit on the coast and in much of inland North County.’”
“Jan Terry faces foreclosure on a $935,000, 2,300-square-foot house she bought a couple of blocks from the coast in Carlsbad early last year.”
“Terry acknowledges that she made a mistake in getting a high-risk loan for the investment property, but she thought beach properties should have been a no-brainer money maker.”
“‘Based on the way I could see the market going,’ said the one-time real estate agent, ‘I would make a few bucks.’”
“But then the mortgage market tanked, her tenants left, she moved back in and her business partner skipped town. Terry now faces bankruptcy, eviction and possibly living on the streets.”
“‘My confidence level and credibility are probably shot,’ Terry said.”
The Monterey County Herald. “California’s foreclosure tide isn’t ready to start ebbing just yet. With additional waves of adjustable rate mortgages due to reset later this year, the state’s default numbers aren’t likely to level off in 2009, Leslie Appleton-Young, chief economist for the California Association of Realtors, said Tuesday at the Monterey County Association of Realtors’ annual meeting.”
“Come August, California will be three years into its down cycle, said Appleton-Young, and 2008 won’t likely be the bottom.”
“‘We still have a significant number of foreclosures ahead of us,’ she said. ‘We probably about about two years before we work ourselves through the foreclosure situation.’”
“In April) Monterey County median prices dropped to $399,900, a 7 percent decline from March and 47.4 percent below the median price in April 2007.”
“The numbers don’t indicate that property values in Monterey County are plummeting, said Appleton-Young. Rather, they’re an indicator of where the most sales activity has shifted, as first-time home buyers and investors begin to take advantage of deals at the lower end of the price spectrum.”
The San Francisco Chronicle. “A closely watched real estate market analysis found regional home prices fell at an accelerating pace in April, setting yet another record low, but some experts warned that the growing sales of foreclosed properties are skewing the numbers.”
“But the overall direction of the market remains clear: downward. A third study released Tuesday found that U.S. homeowners have lost more than $4 trillion in real estate wealth since the market peak, or about $50,000 each. Last month, foreclosures represented 43.3 percent of all home sales in Contra Costa County and 26.8 percent in Alameda County, according to DataQuick.”
“Case-Shiller is a repeat sales index, meaning it tracks only the actual price gains or declines for homes that have traded hands at least twice. In the current market, the homes that have done so recently increasingly tend to be foreclosed properties, said Ken Rosen, chairman of the Fisher Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics at UC Berkeley.”
“‘It’s biasing the numbers in a way that makes it look a lot worse than it really is for the typical homeowner,’ Rosen said. ‘I’m a bear, so I’d go with it if it were true.’”
The Press Democrat. “A year ago, Linda Elliott could only afford a condominium. On Wednesday, she closes on a foreclosed three-bedroom Santa Rosa home, paying $303,000 for a house that sold for $540,000 four years ago.”
“‘It feels wonderful. I don’t have to rent. I have security for my children,’ she said.”
“Elliott is not alone in finding deep discounts at the lower reaches of Sonoma County’s housing market where distressed properties dominate.”
“While she feels sorry for the family that lost the home to foreclosure, Elliott seized the opportunity, finding plenty of company among buyers looking for bargains. ‘If you don’t show up to make the offers on these homes, you’re not in the game. You’ve got to jump in,’ she said.”
“A frenzy of sales at lower price ranges has created bidding contests among first-time buyers and investors alike. Those who miss out on their first choices often find ample alternatives.”
“Elliott was outbid on two homes. The first time, the bank listed the home for $240,000 and it sold for $280,000. The second home was listed for $255,000 and sold for $279,000. The lender sought $299,000 for the home Elliott purchased for $4,000 more, a relative bargain in that price range these days.”
“‘I feared I missed the boat, but I didn’t,’ she said. ‘There’s more and more foreclosures coming on the market every day.’”
The Manteca Bulletin. “It’s REO Speedwagon, Manteca-real estate style. REOs - or foreclosed real estate owned by banks - are rocking the Manteca housing market just like the Midwestern band of the same name did the power ballad rock scene of the 1970s.”
“‘REOs are driving the Manteca market today, that’s the way it is,’ noted Sid Reams who has been tracking Manteca resale housing stats for almost a quarter of a century.”
“In the past week in Manteca…thirty-two of the 50 new listings were foreclosures. Eight of the 13 homes that went back on the market were foreclosures. Eighteen of the 29 homes that had reductions in prices were foreclosures.”
“Forty-three of the 53 homes that went pending were foreclosures. Twenty-seven of the 30 homes that closed escrow were foreclosures.”
“Of the 456 homes now available in Manteca, 165 are foreclosures and 199 are short sales which are, for the most part, essentially a step away from being repossessed by banks. Foreclosures account for 264 of the 375 homes that have closed escrow so far in Manteca this year.”
“Reams said he’s the busiest he has ever been with 10 sales pending. He noted that seven out of the 10 buyers are Manteca residents. ‘That was unheard of even 20 years ago,’ Reams said of the concentration of Manteca buyers thanks to the big drop in prices. ‘It’s a once in a lifetime opportunity for many Manteca residents to own homes.’”
The Sacramento Bee. “California Attorney General Jerry Brown filed a lawsuit Wednesday against the nation’s largest home loan lender, charging Calabassas-based Countrywide Financial Corp. with deceptively pushing homeowners into risky, mass-produced loans that have caused thousands of residents across the state to lose their homes.”
“Brown joined the state of Illinois, which filed a similar lawsuit Wednesday against the lender. Both states are alleging that Countrywide’s practices are liable for thousands of foreclosures that have damaged their economies and housing markets.”
“‘Countrywide exploited the American dream of homeownership and then sold its mortgages for huge profits on the secondary market,’ Brown said in a statement Wednesday.”
“Now thousands of borrowers across California are defaulting on those loans. The lawsuit notes that 20,000 Californians lost their homes in May alone and 72,000 were in default, meaning they were at least two months behind on payments, though not all were Countrywide borrowers.”
“The lawsuit also cited Countrywide’s own February 2008 records that 27 percent of its subprime loans were delinquent.”
“Six pages of the lawsuit deal with an especially risky type of Countrywide loan called pay option ARMs. The lawsuit says that 19 percent of Countrywide’s 2005 loans were pay option ARMs, many made in California.”
“In 2005, pay option ARMs were 18.7 percent of all purchase loans and refinancings in El Dorado, Placer, Sacramento and Yolo counties, according to data from First American Core Logic, LoanPerformance.”
“That rose to 26.7 percent of all loans in the first nine months of 2006, according to the firm.”
“Brown’s lawsuit alleges that Countrywide lowered its lending standards to place large numbers of its loans in the ’secondary market,’ a term for packaging them into profitable mortgage-backed securities and selling them to global investors. The suit alleges that the company set up a division in Texas to grant exceptions to even those standards.”
“Countrywide and its affiliates was the largest home loan lender from June 2005 to June 2007 in El Dorado, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter, Yolo and Yuba counties. The lender made 34,304 loans during that period, 7.5 percent of all home purchase loans, refinancings and home equity loans, according to DataQuick ”
“About 20,000 homeowners in the region have lost their homes since the beginning of 2007, according to Foreclosures.com and DataQuick. Thought not all are Countrywide loans, the foreclosures have caused home prices to plunge throughout the region.”
“In May, more than half of all existing home sales in the region were heavily discounted bank-owned foreclosure properties, DataQuick reported.”