Paving The Way For A Pop
It’s Friday desk clearing time. “Hawaii Island home sales dropped by 18.4 percent, from 527 sales in last year’s first quarter to 430 this year, according to statistics provided by the Hawaii Island Board of Realtors. Condominium sales were down by almost half. Overall, it’s a buyer’s market, and sellers should wake up to that fact, said Hawaii Island Board of Realtors President Mary Begier.”
“‘I’m telling sellers if they want to move their property, they have to offer value,’ Begier said. ‘People who have been listed for over a year didn’t take my advice, and now they’re chasing the market down. Sellers who still think it’s a seller’s market are only going to hurt themselves.’”
“Tulsa-area home sales hit a record in 2006, with 13,722 homes changing hands, for a total value of $2 billion. Toni Bales said Tulsa’s relatively low prices continue to attract investors and new residents from the West Coast, and Bales doesn’t see the trend slowing down any time soon.”
“‘I can’t tell you how many people I’ve sold to over the last year that have moved in from California, Arizona and other expensive places,’ she said. ‘Prices have gone so high there, and they’re very attractive here.’”
“Licking County home sales from January through March were down 8.4 percent versus the same period in 2006. However, Licking County Board of Realtors President Jim McKivergin said in a press release he is optimistic.”
“‘There’s a wonderful inventory of homes available, interest rates are good, sales prices are coming down, and there are plenty of buyers out there,’ McKivergin said.”
“Figures from a new housing benchmark introduced last week by Johannesburg-based mortgage risk management company Lightstone, suggest that leisure property buyers in coastal areas have dwindled dramatically.”
“So much so, that coastal house price growth dropped from a monumental 64% in November 2004 (year-on-year) to only 4,2% in December 2006.”
“The South Shore may have some of the state’s best bargains for house hunters this spring. The median price of a single-family home in the region fell 4.3 percent from a year ago to $335,000 in the first quarter of 2007. It was the biggest percentage decline of any region in the state, according to the Massachusetts Association of Realtors.”
“Price reductions of $25,000 and more on some properties have attracted new potential buyers, said Barbara Cohen of Pratt Realtors in Canton.”
“Foreclosure petitions rose 86 percent in Suffolk County and 72 percent in Middlesex County over the previous year during the first quarter. ‘A lot of those sellers are really fighting the clock,’ said Terry Egan, editor for The Warren Group.”
“One question my friends and colleagues have asked me repeatedly over the past six months is: Are you still renting? Yes! I sold my house over a year ago and continue to rent.”
“A year ago, I suspected housing prices were set to take a sharp turn for the worse and more ‘For Sale’ signs were coming. Based on the current outlook for housing, I will likely be renting for one to two more years.”
“Economist Christopher Thornberg is now predicting the hardest of hard landings for California real estate: a housing-induced recession. He laughs at the notion that the subprime mortgage meltdown is to blame for continued weakness in the housing market.”
“‘That’s ridiculous, subprime credit CREATED this bubble,’ Thorberg told LA Land this afternoon. ‘How could prices get so high in relation to income? Prices can only get this high when people have available to them ‘crazy credit.’ It allows them to gamble. It’s crazy credit!’”
“It’s increasingly clear that much of our standard economic vocabulary needs revising, supplementing or at least explaining. We’ve been conditioned to think of recessions as automatically undesirable. The labeling is simplistic.”
“Hardly anyone likes what happens in a recession. But the obvious drawbacks blind us to collateral benefits. Downturns check inflation, and low inflation has proved crucial to long-term prosperity. Downturns also punish and deter wasteful speculation.”
“When people begin to believe that an economic boom won’t ever end, they start to take foolish risks. Partly, that explains the high-tech and stock bubbles of the late 1990s and, possibly, the recent housing bubble. Almost no one wishes for a recession, but the consequences might not be all bad.”
“I was driving in my own neighborhood and noticed a real estate agent taking care of those balloons…where an open house is being held. He had a pen or other such implement and appeared to be angrily stabbing at the balloons to pop them.”
“Something about the rather violent manner in which he was popping them made me think of someone who’s not particularly enjoying his job these days. Barbecue chit-chat and busted balloons brought to mind the bursting bubble, as years of overheated prices, fast-and-loose lending practices, and (last but not least) some consumers’ own greed and irrationality have paved the way for a painful ‘pop.’”
“The portion of U.S. homes empty and for sale rose for the 10th straight quarter at the end of March to a record rate of 2.8 percent, the Census Bureau said on Friday.”
“The number has been steadily climbing since the fourth quarter of 2004 when it was at 1.8 percent and indicates a housing market bloated with speculators, said William O’Donnell, head U.S. government bond strategist at UBS Securities.”
“‘This is more pressure on the housing market and shows that the path to recovery is going to be that much longer,’ he said. ‘We just think it speaks volumes for the speculative nature of the housing market.’”
“The United States is currently ‘in a housing recession,’ said Lawrence Yun, an economist with the National Association of Realtors, who said Friday’s data was ‘disconcerting’ but not surprising.”