A Market That’s Still Rolling Downhill In California
The Whittier Daily News reports from California. “Yvonne Herrera’s blue-gray, two-bedroom family home on a quiet, dead-end road in Covina was astonishingly cheap when she and her husband bought it: only $129,000. Ten years later, after refinancing several times and borrowing money against the home, Herrera and her husband pay $3,300 a month on a $430,000 mortgage.”
“‘We used some of the money for home improvements and to put in a pool,’ Herrera said. ‘But also a lot for expenses when our kids were in high school.’”
“She has already defaulted on the mortgage after struggling to make her mortgage payments, and worse yet, her monthly payments are scheduled to increase to $4,000 in June. If she could sell her house to pay off the balance, she said, that would be a good solution, but the house is only valued at $400,000.”
“She said she expected to sell the house for below its value to her mother-in-law and pay rent to her for a year or two. ‘It’s the best solution we have because the bank won’t work with us,’ said Herrera. ‘We put a lot of work into this house and it would break my heart to lose it.’”
“Data indicate that from Pasadena to Pomona and south to the Whittier area, almost five times as many homes are at risk of foreclosure than in 2005.”
“‘I asked a colleague to set me up with some clients who are looking to sell their house for a loss in L.A. County,’ said says Jason Gailliot, an Inland Empire-based Realtor who specializes in quick home sales. ‘He told me he could get me as many people as I wanted.’”
“Though the popularized view of the housing market trouble is bad loans, dropping home prices are just as much to blame for people being at risk of losing their homes, said Phyllis Harb, a La Ca ada Flintridge-based Realtor.”
“‘It’s not just that people’s monthly payments are going up,’ said Harb. ‘They can’t get out of trouble because their house isn’t worth what they paid for it.’”
“A recent home buyer in West Covina, who preferred not to give her name, said she is trying to sell a $400,000 house she bought for her daughter and son-in-law about a year and a half ago. She listed the price at $335,000. She would take less.”
“‘I just want someone to buy it,’ said the resident, ‘even if it’s for a dollar.’”
The Orange County Register. “Paul Medina spent his lunch break at a housing forum Saturday among more than 400 homeowners, on the phone with his mortgage company, trying to find out if his three-bedroom home in Orange is still scheduled for a foreclosure sale on Monday.”
“After 40 minutes on hold, he hung up. ‘I know their number by heart,’ said Medina. ‘It’s pretty stressful. It’s exhausting emotionally.’”
“Medina fell behind on his $2,700 mortgage payment over the summer after his father became ill with stomach cancer. He quit a demanding job to work for himself in sports merchandise marketing, so he could spend time with his family. Medina’s father died on New Year’s Day.”
“‘I even told them I lost my father and I came to terms with that, but I can’t come to terms with losing my house as well,’ Medina said.”
“The Medinas tried selling, but over two months, only one person came to see their 1950 house. They owe $32,000 and are willing to tap retirement funds if they can strike a loan renegotiation.”
“Medina sought help from the Fair Housing Council of Orange County. He calls his lender six days a week, seeking updates and hoping his situation can be worked out.”
The Santa Cruz Sentinel. “Boone White is one of the local homeowners waiting to see if a bill signed by President Bush a week ago will give him a better mortgage deal.”
“There’s been little reaction from lenders. ‘They don’t know how to handle it yet,’ surmised Tai Boutell of Santa Cruz Home Finance. ‘There’s a higher risk to these loans.’”
“White, an attorney, and his wife, a physician, bought a four-bedroom house in the Seabright area of Santa Cruz near the height of the market in 2005. They have an $80,000 equity line of credit with an adjustable rate along with a 30-year loan for $620,000 fixed at 6.25 percent.”
“Those who will benefit most from the higher ceiling are those who can fully document their income and assets, said Sean O’Brien of California Mortgage Lending Group in Scotts Valley. Borrowers who take out large loans may have to pay a ‘risk premium,’ O’Brien added.”
“Borrowers must have equity in their home, so falling home prices may pose an obstacle for some who would like to take advantage of the higher loan ceiling. ‘I think it will be a stimulus, but it’s not going to be a grand fix-all,’ Boutell said.”
“Some lenders are responding to falling prices by freezing the homeowner’s equity line of credit. For example, White got a letter from USAA canceling his credit line because home prices have dropped in his ZIP code.”
The Sacramento Bee. “During the lunch hour at Mike Grondin’s kitchen table, real estate agent John Norris pulled out his records, just as he had a week earlier, and showed the NEC electronics technician what he’s up against.”
“Not that Grondin needed to be told again about the number of foreclosed homes in his Roseville neighborhood or the nearby builder who keeps cutting the prices on new homes. His house in Roseville’s upper-middle-class Diamond Creek area has awaited a buyer now for 15 months.”
“For the past 4 1/2 of those months Norris has tried every selling trick in the book. So far, no luck. It’s also a stark reminder of the serious questions confronting agents and individual sellers trying to shake free from the unrelenting housing market meltdown.”
“How does an individual seller compete when banks selling foreclosed homes at sharply reduced prices account for half the sales in the area and home builders offer below-market loans and tons of freebies? How do real estate agents keep persuading their anxious sellers to drop their prices again and again? What are the consequences for everyday, individual sellers when large and impersonal corporate forces gain near-control of a regional housing market?”
“In just a few months, banks and other lenders have almost cornered the market with their high number of repossessed homes for sale. In December, banks accounted for almost half of Sacramento County home sales.”
“‘You’ve got record high inventory,’ said Randy Dunham, a Gold River-based real estate agent who says the last two years have been his best. ‘I don’t care if you sell cars, houses or widgets. What do you have to do? You have to put your product on sale.’”
“Price declines can be seen vividly in one key statistic: Almost half the homes sold in Sacramento County in January were priced below $250,000, according to the Sacramento Association of Realtors. One year ago, in January 2007, only 8.9 percent were in that category.”
“Agents say their clients must cut the listing price and keep cutting it if necessary, sometimes every two weeks, to keep ahead of a market that’s still rolling downhill. ‘You can see them bleeding in the chair,’ said Dunham, recalling some of his sellers’ initial reactions.”
“Grondin, who at first tried to sell the house himself, then used another agent before eventually listing with Norris at $619,000 last fall, has since cut his price by $60,000.”
“‘You just have no control over it,’ said Grondin, who is selling after a divorce. ‘You just have to make do with how the market is treating you.’”
“Yet it always comes as a shock. ‘He’s way down below whatever he imagined,’ said Norris.”
“There are those who just can’t do it. Sellers who resist have been given a special name within the ranks of real estate agents: ‘fantasy sellers.’ And they are to be avoided.”
“‘I don’t have time to fool with them,’ said Tina Ledbetter, an agent who sells homes in Placer County.”
“So Grondin’s wait continues. At the kitchen table he hears the litany of what’s been sold and what’s newly listed in his neighborhood. Some have swimming pools, similar floor plans and are $30,000 under his price. He was asked what he’d advise others contemplating a putting a ‘For Sale’ sign in their front yard this year. Without a second’s hesitation he answered: ‘If you don’t need to sell, don’t.’”
“The big white bus rolled up to a dozen empty houses in Elk Grove, where last year something went badly wrong for those who lived inside them. The houses were the main attractions of a new phenomenon to rock this housing market: the foreclosure bus tour.”
“Seven of 12 had been built since 2002. In one, the air conditioner was gone and a 40-ounce bottle of malt liquor had been flung through an upstairs bedroom window, spilling glass across the floor.”
“The bank was selling that house, built in 1979, for $117 a square foot in a market where homes near downtown Sacramento can fetch more than $300. And the busload of tourists figured they could do even better if the bank gets impatient.”
“‘The name of the game is you make an offer and the worst they can tell you is ‘no,’ said Juan Pulido, a Walnut Creek real estate investor who came to take a look.”
“Last year saw more than 10,000 foreclosures in Amador, El Dorado, Nevada, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter and Yolo counties, according to DataQuick.”
“That’s the source of deals like some of these offered Saturday: $237,000 for a house that last sold in 2006 for $350,000. $384,900 for a house that sold in 2006 for $644,000. $249,000 for a house last sold in 2004 for $375,000. These were just asking prices.”
“‘We don’t know what to expect when we go into these homes,’ Keller William’s Lori Mode told riders. ‘Some are very clean, and some are going to be a mess. The banks don’t know what they’ve got. The banks have never seen these homes.’”
“The tours, which originated last year in Stockton and have spread to San Jose, San Diego, Phoenix and cities throughout Florida, Michigan and Massachusetts, have taken on names nationally like ‘parade of foreclosures’ and ‘magical misery tours.’ But they’re meant to unite buyers with banks that need to unload inventory.”
“The riders and their bus attracted lots of attention in neighborhoods. ‘Oh, so that’s what’s going on,’ said a surprised Dena Ruiz in her 1990s neighborhood. Ruiz, a state employee, said, ‘We’ve been here six years and we make our (mortgage) payments.’”
“She pointed toward several houses on the street in financial distress and lamented the collective effect on her home’s value. ‘Our house was worth $450,000 2 1/2 years ago, and now it’s worth $340,000, if not $240,000,’ she said. ‘They just keep dipping.’”
The Desert Sun. “Developers used to put signs outside their new homes and buyers flocked to the neighborhood before it was completely built. Those days are gone. Stuck with large tracks of new homes, developers are turning to auctions to sell off as much as one to two years worth of inventory in a single sitting.”
“‘In today’s economy, you’re out there almost a year to sell something at the going rate,’ said Dennis Freeman of DL Freeman Inc. in Palm Desert.”
“He’s got 42 new homes and condos in three neighborhoods - Palomino and Terra Vita in Palm Springs and Montana de Oro in Indio - up for auction on March 15. Minimum prices start at $210,000.”
“Local real estate and builder associations don’t track just how many new Coachella Valley homes are sold at auctions. Only 80 new homes were sold in the Coachella Valley last month, down 64 percent from January 2007, according to DataQuick.”
“As of Thursday, fewer than 50 of the 9,000-some homes on the Desert Area MLS used the word ‘auction’ in the marketing remarks, said Greg Berkemer, executive VP of the California Desert Association of Realtors.”
“Rhett Winchell, president of auction house Kennedy Wilson, and Freeman said this is the first new home auction in the valley. But almost everyone agrees: With the way the market is slumping along, next month’s auction won’t be the last.”
“‘We’ve got a lot of inventory out there,’ said Fred Bell, executive director of the Building Industry Association Desert Chapter. ‘As we see the turmoil in the market continue, we’re going to see it more, especially as projects change hands.’”
“It hasn’t been since the market downturns of the 1980s and 1990s that new home auctions were prevalent in the Coachella Valley. Essentially, auctions create new demand for a product by slashing prices. Starting bids are usually set at about 60 percent of the original listing price.”
“For a property such as Palomino in Palm Springs - where nine of the 14 built homes are up for auction - luxury condos once priced from $650,000 to $700,000 are now starting at $405,000.”
“That takes them from the ‘move-up’ segment of the desert market to the ‘entry-level’ price range.”
“And potential buyers are ’storming in there,’ says Gary Carlson, real estate agent with Moore-Carlson group. They worked the property for more than a year, but left several months ago when ’sales just stopped.’”
“Now he’s contacting old clients and encouraging them to go to the auction. ‘They have starting prices that are bargains,’ Carlson said. ‘But whether they sell for that or not, I don’t know.’”
“Paul Deese, of the Indian Wells-franchise of Pacific Auction Exchange, says he’s in talks with several developers looking to auction off new houses as well. ‘They’re sitting there with all this inventory that they can’t sell,’ Deese said. ‘They’re getting eaten alive. If they can get out of them what they owe the bank, they’ll do that. They’re given no choice. The banks are giving them no more money.’”
“Winchell of Kennedy Wilson says they hope to see 200-500 people show up for an auction and that ‘buyers will determine the price.’ ‘If everybody thinks it’s not worth (the price), they won’t buy at that price,’ Winchell said.”