The Bubble Had To Burst Some Time In California
The Sacramento Bee reports from California. “There was a time when all that Sacramento County Sheriff’s Deputy Mark Habecker knew about mortgages was his own monthly payment. He had never heard of subprime loans or the term ‘cash for keys.’ The deputy could count on one hand the times he’d evicted homeowners. Then came the housing crisis. Now, Habecker converses smartly about adjustable-rate mortgages.”
“He knows all about home values. And while most of his evictions still involve landlord-tenant disputes, he has new layers of paper in his stack of eviction notices. They’re from banks taking back houses.”
“‘We used to do one (bank eviction) a month and maybe 12 all year,’ Habecker says. ‘I have 10 in my stack today just for me, and there’s six of us.’”
“Most of Habecker’s evictions from bank-owned homes are in Natomas. ‘They’re all real nice and big and brand new,’ he says of the residences.”
“Inside the (Del Paso Heights) single-story house, Habecker offered a warning: ‘Never open a refrigerator. It’s the law of the land,’ he said.”
“He doesn’t have to explain why. The home’s interior is ruined. Garbage and trash cover the floors. The couple had been living in the garage. The back and side yards are filled with tires and bicycle parts. A chicken pecks for food, a discarded ham is covered with flies.”
“Real estate agent Allen Griffin says the foreclosed house appears to be owned by an absentee owner. The evicted occupants, he suspects, are friends of the people who actually rented the house or perhaps friends of their friends.”
“Placer County, too, is seeing a ‘huge rise’ in requests for tenant evictions when landlords lose homes to banks, says Ellen Caraska, a Placer County Sheriff’s Department staffer.”
“‘Lincoln has a lot. Roseville has a lot,’ she says. ‘Rocklin, too. Those are our biggest areas.’”
The Manteca Bulletin. “With 1,500 homes in various stages of foreclosure in Manteca that represents about 1 out of every 14 single-family homes in the city’s housing stock.”
“Central Valley Association of Realtors President Bev Marlow noted that even though home sales have picked up to double of last year’s pace with nine out of every 10 of the 410 existing homes that have sold in Manteca since Jan. 1 being foreclosures, there is a serious concern about how many more people will be able to take advantage of the housing market to become homeowners.”
“For now, more foreclosed homes are being sold than those that are being taken back by the banks. The biggest wave of foreclosures, though, has yet to hit.”
“Edward Parcaut, a mortgage planner out of Modesto who has been working with the non-profit No Homeowner Left Behind effort…said some lenders understand that concern which is why they are now willing to deal aggressively.”
“Staff is executing the City Council’s directive to take steps to do what can be done to ease the impact on the community and affected families. ‘Obviously, the redevelopment agency doesn’t have the resources to intervene on a (large) scale,’ said Deputy City Manager John Nowak.”
From Westside Connect. “Assessed property values in Newman plummeted nearly 20 percent from a year ago, dramatically reversing the phenomenal gains recorded in years past when home prices, new construction and sales activity soared at the peak of the housing frenzy.”
“Homeowners whose property was reassessed will see savings on their property tax bills this year. In some cases, the savings will be substantial. With base property taxes equivalent to 1 percent of a home’s assessed value, a $100,000 reduction in the assessment saves the owner $1,000 a year in taxes.”
“City officials had been prepared for a sharp decline in the assessed values, said City Manager Michael Holland, but were taken aback to learn that the values had fallen so dramatically.’
“‘We had built our budget for the coming fiscal year on a 14 percent decline in property taxes,’ he explained. ‘We were told by the county assessor at a meeting that 14 percent would be the number.’”
“The downturn in the housing market was most pronounced in West Side communities. Only Patterson, with a 22.5 percent drop, recorded a steeper decline than Newman in a comparison of the county’s nine cities.”
“‘The assessment roll is based on activity that occurred during 2007. Dramatic declines in the housing market, especially toward the end of 2007, resulted in the assessor’s office lowering values on over 40,000 properties in the county,’ County Assessor Doug Harms commented.”
“Those reductions ranged from 5 percent to 50 percent.”
“‘The assessor’s office is ready at all times to give courteous answers to questions regarding taxation and valuation assessments,’ Harms said. ‘Before owners call, however, they should understand that any further declines in value after Jan. 1, 2008, will not be calculated until the 2009-10 assessment roll which will be determined as of Jan. 1.’”
The Bakersfield Californian. “They say during Bakersfield’s triple-digit summers, a swimming pool isn’t a luxury. It’s a necessity. But a growing number of homeowners are opting to go without. Swimming pools, it seems, are yet another casualty of the real estate slump.”
“‘We’ve had customers with excellent credit back out because they couldn’t get financing,’ said Larry Hamilton, owner of Neudeck Pools Inc. ‘Their homes aren’t worth as much, and the banks don’t like to loan to anyone with low equity.’”
“Larry Kritsch considers himself lucky. The owner of California Fiberglass Pools & Spas saw the housing crisis coming and diversified just before the industry took a dive. ‘I’ve been through business cycles before, so I knew the bubble had to burst some time,”‘ Kritsch said.”
“Now he’s got a side business doing industrial coating, although it’s not really a side business anymore because RLK Coatings has become his primary source of income.”
The Press Enterprise. “The ideas some Inland-area governments are mulling to solve their empty piggybank problems may ring familiar to anyone who has been told to open a window or put on a sweater, but under no circumstances to touch the thermostat.”
“With sales taxes and housing fees plummeting, cities across Riverside and San Bernardino counties are trying to cover the shrinkage of their main revenue sources by laying off workers, trimming services and cutting back on extras such as travel and conferences.”
“For the past couple of summers, Temecula city workers have endured offices that are a few degrees hotter to save the city on cooling costs.”
“Starting around the end of May, city maintenance Superintendent Kevin Harrington bumps the city’s thermostats about three or four degrees above the 71 or 72 degrees where they’re typically set. They stay there until October.”
“The tradeoff is they get to ditch the suits and ties and make every day a casual Friday. Though dress codes are relaxed, employees don’t go completely native. Harrington said they wear slacks and city-logo polo shirts. Open-toed shoes are still forbidden, so flip-flops and sandals are out.”
“‘It’s not like we’re running around in Hawaiian shirts,’ he said.”
The Union Tribune. “Since the Senate’s nine-day holiday began, an estimated 17,000 American homeowners defaulted on their mortgages, mostly because they were unable to keep up with rising payments on adjustable-rate loans. That translates into nearly 1,890 defaults per day, or nearly 80 per hour, based on data from RealtyTrac.”
“In San Diego County alone, homeowners are defaulting at a rate of more than 30 per day, according to DataQuick.”
“Some mortgage brokers say it could be more than a year before the wave of defaults and foreclosures abates. ‘This could easily go into late 2009,’ said Dave McDonald, president of the San Diego County chapter of the California Mortgage Brokers Association.”
“Leonard Rosen, who runs the Pit Bull Mortgage School in La Jolla, predicted ‘very tumultuous times over the next two or three years. We haven’t come close to seeing the effects of the credit crunch.’”
“‘What we have now for the first time that I’ve seen in my 30 years in the business is that people can have credit scores of 720 or 740 and still not be able to get loans,’ Rosen said, referring to the FICO credit-rating system devised by Fair Isaac Corp.”
“Rosen said most lenders are not willing to give credit to any borrower without complete documentation of employment and income. If they were unfortunate enough to take out an adjustable-rate mortgage a couple of years ago, there is little option for moving into a more affordable loan.”
“‘It’s not that the borrowers are no good,’ Rosen said. ‘It’s that there’s no product for them. As a result, a lot of good people are going into foreclosure.’”
The Los Angeles Business Journal. “L.A.’s housing market, pushed along by lower prices and sharply higher condo sales, is showing some signs of life -whether the upswing is permanent remains to be seen.”
“There were 1,254 condo units sold in June, up 115 percent from May. That was the largest number of condos sold in one month since July 2007, though sales were still off 4 percent year over year, according to HomeData Corp.”
“One reason for the surge: price. The median price of a condo that changed hands in Los Angeles County fell 12 percent year over year to $386,000. Meanwhile, there were 3,332 new and existing homes sold in June, up 30 percent from May, but down 28 percent from year-ago levels. The median price fell to $429,000 - its lowest level since October 2004.”
“One key reason condo prices have fallen: Many condo units have gone into foreclosure as first-time buyers eager to enter the real estate market got slammed by rising interest rates on adjustable rate mortgages and were unable to make payments.”
“Foreclosures also have the effect of driving down prices on surrounding units within complexes. This also holds true for single-family homes, where prices are now off 30 percent from their peak in mid-2007.”
“Indeed, the number of L.A. County ZIP codes with a median single-family home price under $400,000 shot up to 85 in June from just nine a year earlier.”
“As for L.A. County’s median home price, which has fallen nearly 30 percent in a year’s time, Delores Conway, director of the Casden Forecast at the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate, said there isn’t a whole lot more room for prices to fall to return to the historical norm of being in line with monthly rents.”
“‘The last time home prices corrected 20 percent or more in L.A. County was in the 1990s, and that took six years. This is happening very quickly,’ she said. ‘There’s probably still a little ways to go in this correction before we turn the corner, but the cost of home ownership is now starting to approach the average rent.’”
“However, Conway added there is one big wild card: the prospect of substantial job cuts.”
“‘If the bottom falls out of the economy and we have significant job losses, then everything will come down: home prices, rents, everything. That could take quite a while to work through,’ she said.”
The Redlands Daily Facts. “Over the last 19 years, Tami Barr spent June planning for the fall gift season. This year, she found herself planning the closing of her State Street store, Crackerjack Gift Co.”
“Barr said the closing has been emotional for some of her faithful customers. ‘I’ve had people come up to me crying and giving me hugs,’ said Barr, who will close the store by the end of July.”
‘Redlands Chamber of Commerce Executive Director Kathie Thurston also expressed sadness at the closing. ‘We’re always sad when we see any business close,’ Thurston said. ‘And we’re starting to see more of that downtown.’”
“Barr said the state of the national economy took a toll on her business. ‘Even an established business can have a hard time hanging on through this kind of economy,’ Barr said.”
“Collective Journey, Barr’s scrapbooking and stationery store on Orange Tree Lane, is staying open.”
“Barr’s Crackerjack hasn’t been the only business on State Street to close up shop. In mid-May, the Barking Frog, a home décor retailer, also closed its doors. Lastraw, a Christian clothing store, closed in late spring.”
“In May, economist John Husing, owner of Redlands-based Economics and Politics Inc., was chosen by the City Council to draft an economic development plan for Redlands. The plan will contain specific action recommendations that should help the city steer its business growth in the right direction.”
“In the meantime, as Husing devises ways for Redlands’ economy to thrive in the future, Barr had advice for keeping State Street businesses’ doors open.”
“‘What people don’t realize is if they don’t come in and spend money on a regular basis, they can’t survive,’ Barr said. ‘If people want to keep these kinds of stores downtown, they have to go shop there.’”