We Won’t Be Seeing Prices Like This In The Future
The San Francisco Chronicle reports from California. “Foreclosures across the state surged to a 20-year high during the last three months, as tens of thousands of additional Californians lost their homes and more than 100,000 neared the brink. Notices of default rose nearly 125 percent from a year ago during the second quarter and trustee deeds recorded, which reflect the actual homes taken back, soared more than 260 percent, according to DataQuick.”
“The number of defaults and foreclosures were the highest in DataQuick’s statistics, which go back to 1992 and 1988, respectively. Among homeowners who fall into default, an estimated 22 percent now emerge from the foreclosure process by catching up on their payments, refinancing or selling. That’s down from 52 percent a year ago.”
“In the Bay Area, mortgage servicers recorded 18,516 notices of default, up more than 140 percent from a year ago, DataQuick said. The largest increase was in Santa Clara County, where defaults rose 194.2 percent to 3,751. The smallest gain was in San Francisco, 62.6 percent to 418.”
The Ventura County Star. “In Ventura County, there were 2,303 notices of default filed for homes and condos from April to June, up 117.5 percent from 1,059 notices filed during the same period a year ago.”
“Default notices edged up 6.6 percent from 53,943 during the first quarter, and a more substantial 124.9 percent from 53,943 during the second quarter of 2007.”
“‘The small increase in defaults from the first to the second quarter may indicate that we’re nearing a plateau,’ said John Walsh, DataQuick president, in a statement. ‘We won’t know until the end of the year, but it may be that some lenders are starting to prioritize workouts with homeowners instead of grinding through the foreclosure process.’”
“Or, lenders simply might be swamped and can’t handle processing any more paperwork, he said.”
“”Most of the loans that went into default last quarter were originated from September 2005 through November 2006, according to DataQuick. On primary mortgages, California homeowners were a median five months behind on their payments when the lenders filed the notice of default.”
The Union Tribune. “Distressed mortgages continued to put a drag on the troubled economy in June as 1,838 homes in San Diego County went into foreclosure, an 18 percent increase over the previous month and a 180 percent increase over June 2007, DataQuick reported Tuesday.”
“June marked the 39th consecutive month of year-over-year increases for both foreclosures and notices of default.”
“Kelly Cunningham, economist with the San Diego Institute for Policy Research, said the market eventually will correct itself. There is a shortage of homes in San Diego County that should bring buyers back to the market sometime next year.”
“‘There is a lot of pent-up demand still and there are some bargains to be made as investors jump into the market. We won’t be seeing prices like this in the future,’ he said.”
The Modesto Bee. “First-time home buyers will be able to purchase foreclosed houses in Stanislaus, San Joaquin and Merced counties at discount prices and with reduced-rate loans, thanks to a state loan program launched Monday.”
“Gov. Schwarzenegger said the $200 million program will ‘pump up’ the region’s economy, which has been reeling from escalating foreclosures and declining home values.”
“Some of those homes have been deeply discounted. A four-bedroom house built three years ago at 424 Fusco Ave. in Modesto originally sold for about $490,000, and it’s been listed for $270,000 since being foreclosed. First-time home buyers now can purchase the 2,888-square-foot house for $237,600.”
“‘This actually is a really nice house,’ said Chad Costa, a broker who specializes in foreclosed property. Costa said he was surprised that Wells Fargo Bank, which owns the home, had reduced it so much.”
“A property Costa is trying to sell for CitiMortgage is at 243 Angora St. in Patterson. Its previous owners borrowed more than $493,000 on the home in the spring of 2005, then lost it to foreclosure. The 3,312-square-foot house had been priced at $229,900, but now it’s listed at $198,000 for participants.”
“Costa questioned the fairness of reducing home prices so drastically for first-time buyers rather than for everybody.”
The Recordnet. “The housing downturn, now permanently embossed with a ‘foreclosure’ icon, is offering many the chance to buy when only a few years ago soaring prices had put owning a home well out of reach. For many, buying a home still seems out of reach these days, although for different reasons.”
“The median selling price countywide has declined from a peak of $425,000 in July 2006 to $220,000 last month - a 48 percent drop over two years and the lowest monthly selling price level since April 2002, according to figures from the latest Coldwell Banker Grupe-TrendGraphix monthly sales report.”
“Mian Quddus, a Santa Clara man who took a foreclosure bus tour in Stockton this past spring, had been eyeing houses in hopes of finding a good deal as an investment and, later, a retirement home. He found a couple of properties he liked but decided not even to make offers, because he heard there were already a lot of people lined up wanting to buy.”
“‘So it didn’t feel right going for it,’ he said. ‘I really didn’t want to get into a bidding war.’”
“Jerry Abbott, president and co-owner of Coldwell Banker Grupe, Stockton, has been scouring the area for a good foreclosure house on behalf of his son and daughter-in-law. He’s looking in the $300,000 to $320,000 price range and offering $350,000 minus $9,000 closing costs.”
“‘I’m just writing offer after offer for them, and we can’t get anything,’ he said. ‘There are a lot of people looking to buy in that price range, because those homes sold for up to $700,000 only a few years ago.’”
The Sacramento Bee. “A signature Sacramento program that has helped almost 300,000 lower-income people nationally buy homes in the past decade - while stirring controversy for years - is likely to be shut down this week, Nehemiah Corp. of America officials acknowledged Monday.”
“The nonprofit giant believes Congress and President Bush will ban its decade-old down-payment assistance ‘gift’ program within days as part of a larger housing bill, Nehemiah CEO Scott Syphax said Monday.”
“‘Without programs such as this, it will put the American dream of homeownership in jeopardy for a lot of first-time lower-income homebuyers,’ said John Frith, spokesman for the California Building Industry Association.”
“Others say ending the program will harm prospects for a recovery in the housing market. ‘It takes a major player out of our market,’ said Jon Kaempfer, senior loan consultant at Sacramento-based Vitek Mortgage.”
“Critics say it unfairly inflates the values of homes for those who can least afford it. ‘Originally, they (gifts) went to builders, and builders would jack up their sales prices,’ Kaempfer said. ‘That’s what really ticked the FHA off.’”
The North County Times. “Wachovia closed its wholesale mortgage department Monday and announced Tuesday that it planned to reduce lending and securities products by $20 billion this year.”
“With the failure of subprime lenders about a year ago, borrowers going to local mortgage brokers are finding fewer options and even fewer loans they can qualify for as banks tighten lending requirements, mortgage brokers said.”
“‘We’re getting hit from all angles,’ said Yamila Ayad, president of Mission Home Loans in San Marcos. ‘Last August, when a lot of subprime lenders were closing, I was not shocked. But it becomes very concerning when your prime banks start closing.’”
“‘We’re overrun with people who want to buy. The challenge is getting them qualified,’ said Matt Battiata, a real estate broker based in Carlsbad. ‘The effect on the market is as if the Fed jacked up interest rates.’”
The Voice of San Diego. “City Heights is struggling under the continuing housing market collapse. The 92105 ZIP code recently ranked 14th among nearly 100 county ZIP codes for foreclosures per 1,000 homes.”
‘The price per square foot paid for detached homes in the ZIP has fallen by nearly 50 percent since summer 2006, according to DataQuick. In several months of boom years like 2006, buyers paid more than $400 per square foot for detached homes. In May, 17 houses sold for a median of $220 per square foot.”
“Repossessed homes have brought values down but currently comprise the lion’s share of what sells in this market, area real estate agent Marigold Hernly said.”
“Hernly’s tour from street to street, from block to block, revealed some of those issues community residents and nonprofits are worried about. Some foreclosed properties had chain-link fences, peeling paint. Overgrown and dead lawns were other signs of distress.”
“But then, Hernly turned the corner and pulled over in her minivan on a street edging one of the community’s canyons. ‘You have to have a vision. These are million-dollar views,’ she said.”
The San Gabriel Valley Tribune. “West Covina’s downtown continues to evolve as it grapples with security concerns and a slowing economy that has forced out several tenants. Several of the businesses at The Lakes Entertainment Center are now closed, including the flagship restaurant Macaroni Grill.”
“Councilman Roger Hernandez thinks the council has fallen short in its plans to deliver a revitalized downtown to West Covina residents. ‘When the businesses came, they all came with the promise that the whole area was going to be redeveloped,’ Hernandez said, ‘and that we were going to create a critical mass of housing and businesses.’”
The Glendale News Press. “The number of building permits issued by city officials has reached its lowest point in nearly 10 months, a byproduct of an economy hit by slumping housing prices, the high cost of gasoline and ongoing problems in the financial sector, officials said Monday.”
“So far in July, Glendale’s Permits & Inspections department issued 144 housing and business permits. A steep drop from May and June this year, when the city handed out 211 permits both months, and authorized 232 in April, said Juan Diaz, customer service representative.”
“A recent report by the Los Angeles County Economic Development Corp. found that the new home building in Southern California ‘will continue its current descent in 2008, reflecting oversupply of existing units and difficulty in financing for builders and home buyers,’ chief economist Jack Kyser said.”
“‘If you are a home builder, you have run the gauntlet of trying to get construction financing,’ Kyser said. ‘Lenders are very cautious and very risk-averse. People are studying the market very, very carefully. They don’t want to go out on a limb. All over Southern California, you are hearing a pullback.’”
“In 2007, officials issued more than 200 permits in every month except September. That month the city authorized 109 permits, during a period that Diaz called an anomaly.”
“‘Last year we were busy with the Americana,’ he said. ‘There were lots of permits issued and lots of money being spent.’”
“With its luxury apartments just 25% filled and some stores reporting stagnant sales, the Americana at Brand may be experiencing the same woes other businesses in the region are currently undergoing in a distressed economy.”
“Officials hoped the $435 million complex would bring hundreds of thousands of new shoppers and residents to Glendale as well as flood the city’s treasury with tax revenue.”
“It is still a dubious time to run a business, said Judee Kendall, executive VP of Glendale’s Chamber of Commerce. ‘Other than the Americana, I’m not seeing a lot of businesses open up right now, and I am seeing and hearing from existing business that it’s slow,’ she said. ‘Its not particularly one type of business. It’s just generally slow.’”
“Still, city and mall officials said the mixed-use development has been a boon for the city.”
“‘It’s hard to quantify especially with the economic downturn,’ said Assistant Director of Finance Ron Ahlers.”
“‘We have expectations that the Americana will be positive and generate a few hundred grand in sales tax revenue this year, but that’s awful hard to equate in an economic downturn. It’s still a positive for the city, it’s just that we have no data to back it up,’ Ahern said.”