Under-Exuberance In California
The Mercury News reports from California. “As foreclosures have soared in California, large auctions of bank-owned properties are becoming more frequent. Saturday’s is the third in the Bay Area in recent months, and similar auctions have occurred in Sacramento and Modesto. REDC executive Michael Schack said many properties the company has sold this year have gone for 20 to 30 percent less than the ‘previously valued to’ prices listed in the company’s catalog.”
“Lenders do have undisclosed ‘reserve’ prices below which they won’t sell, said Schack.”
“San Jose resident and real estate investor Sean Cervantes plans to attend and bid on a four-bedroom San Jose house he previously tried to buy from the lender-owner for $675,000 several weeks ago. Cervantes said it appeared the lender would agree, but then he was told the house would be sold at auction instead.”
“He’s curious to see whether he’ll be able to get the home for less at auction than he offered previously, and whether other properties get sold at a discount.”
“‘If it’s really going to be a legit thing where they’re going to cut them loose, I’ll be ready’ to buy more at auction in the future, he said.”
“There are many reasons homeowners wind up in foreclosure…but a more common reason these days is that the owners bought at the peak of the market a few years ago with an adjustable-rate mortgage and little money down, then couldn’t afford their rising payments and couldn’t refinance because they lacked sufficient equity or high enough credit scores.”
“Rob Roham, owner of ReMax Advisors in San Jose, who prepared the Weyburn Lane condo for the auction, said many potential bidders asked about the circumstances of the foreclosure. ‘All we know is that they didn’t make the payments,’ he said.”
The Sacramento Bee. “The housing market should start recovering in 2009, but that prediction could get pushed back a year or longer if the economy falls into recession, forecasters told a Sacramento audience Wednesday.”
“‘We’re in for another slow year in 2008,’ said Dean Wehrli, the Sullivan firm’s VP for the Sacramento area. ‘There’s no way to make a case for price increases in 2008.’”
“He said prices grew unrealistically high during the housing boom. Now, there’s a danger that the market could wither to a degree that isn’t warranted by the economic fundamentals. ‘In the same way there was over-exuberance in 2003 and 2004, there’s probably under-exuberance in 2007 and probably 2008,’ he said. ‘There’s a psychology at work here.’”
“One encouraging sign, Sullivan said, is that builders and developers have begun holding auctions to get rid of overstocked inventory of homes. ‘Auctions typically portend that we’re nearing the bottom,’ he said.”
“An executive from embattled Countrywide Financial Corp. suggested that Countrywide and other mortgage lenders are being unfairly blamed for the housing slump, liquidity squeeze and difficulties in the subprime loan market.”
“While he acknowledged that ‘there was some improper underwriting, there was some corner-cutting,’ executive VP Jack Haynes said lenders were simply meeting market demand.”
“‘To provide the American dream to more and more people, we came up with a lot of sexy products,’ he told the audience. ‘We were meeting demand. … We were in a position to give the American public exactly what they wanted.’”
“With mortgage foreclosures soaring, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger announced Wednesday that he will sign two bills to increase homeowner protections — but neither will solve the current crisis.”
“Senate Bills 223 and 385 target policies and procedures for future borrowing, not the subprime loans currently held by many Californians struggling to survive rising costs.”
“Sen. George Runner applauded SB 223 and SB 385 but said the state should reject any heavier-handed approach. ‘You’ve got extremists out there who want people to get bailed out of their bad loans,’ he said. ‘Some of those people are investors who knew perfectly what they were getting into.’”
The LA Times. “Shortly after the new year, John and Mona Breidenstein started to get anxious about their $427,000 adjustable-rate mortgage. The interest rate would reset this year, and the Santa Maria, Calif., couple feared they wouldn’t be able to afford the higher payments.”
“When they got the loan in 2005, a broker had assured them they’d be able to refinance before their payments jumped. But that was before home prices fell, loans became harder to get, foreclosure sale signs appeared down the block and John had to take five months off work to battle cancer.”
“‘Our loan adjusted this month — $800 more a month we are hit with,’ Mona said last month in an e-mail to The Times. ‘Why won’t they work with the homeowner? All we wanted was a fixed-rate loan.’”
“Countrywide agreed late last month to ease the Breidensteins’ loan terms, a change Mona attributed to The Times’ asking it to discuss the mortgage. Countrywide, said it was hard to modify loans when borrowers are unemployed and suggested that John’s return to work was the deciding factor.”
“Of the homeowners her group counseled this summer, Tracy Morgan said 22% were candidates for loan modifications because ‘they have a financial situation that could support a workout.’”
“An additional 18% were advised to consider selling their homes. The biggest group, 27% of those counseled, needed to get their spending and saving habits in line to be considered workout candidates, she said.”
“The Breidensteins…bought their house four years ago from Mona’s parents for $270,000, then refinanced twice, each time adding to their loan balance. The couple used the funds from refinancing to add on to the home, buy out her mother’s interest in the property and pay off a child-support claim from a previous marriage.”
“The Breidensteins, who together earned about $80,000 in 2006, kept making monthly mortgage payments of about $2,300 this year, even after John learned he had prostate cancer and took five months off for treatment and recuperation. But they fell behind on other bills, and their credit scores tumbled. Their home, appraised at $450,000 in 2005, is now worth $380,000, they say.”
“”The final mortgage, for 95% of the home’s appraised value, required them to pay only interest for the first two years at 6.25%, with the rate then rising every six months. To discourage refinancing, there was a $10,000 penalty for early payoff. But the couple said their broker assured them he would waive the penalty when they refinanced with him.”
“Late last month, Countrywide proposed raising their $2,300 monthly payment by $400 a month instead of $800 and keeping it level for three years by having them pay interest only during that period. Then it would rise $400 more but could go no higher.”
“Doctors have declared John cancer-free and the couple has cut back on expenses and taken in a renter. It’s a plan they can live with.”
The Bakersfield Californian. “A wide-ranging housing forum hosted by Sen. Dean Florez on Wednesday touched on everything from mortgage fraud to unscrupulous ‘rescue firms’ preying on borrowers in financial trouble to the confusion faced by homeowners at risk of entering foreclosure.”
“‘Those resets are starting to have a devastating effect,’ Florez said, calling Kern County, San Bernardino and Stockton ‘hotbeds’ of California’s mortgage meltdown.”
“Florez also hit back at District Attorney Ed Jagels, who Tuesday said he opposes the senator’s plan to combat real estate fraud by forming a specialized unit within the DA’s office.”
“He asked forum panelist Gary Crabtree, a Bakersfield appraiser who has publicly decried real estate fraud, to respond to Jagels. ‘If you do not believe mortgage fraud is taking place, it is,’ Crabtree said. He said he has uncovered 202 cases of local mortgage fraud in the past 18 months.”
“Crabtree offered some severe forecasts about Bakersfield’s real estate market, predicting 2,900 to 3,000 foreclosures in Kern by the end of the year. The 4,085 homes currently listed for sale in the city will eventually grow to 6,000, he said.”
“That kind of inventory could take 24 to 30 months to liquidate, Crabtree said.” “Frustrated homeowners were on hand as well. Dawn Kaw drove from Bear Valley Springs looking for help. ‘I’m stuck in two mortgages,’ Kaw said. ‘I’m finding myself buried in them.’”
From KFSN. “It’s a sign of the tough times in the Bay Area real estate market, where a Danville home seller feels compelled to throw a new Mercedes into the deal to attract scarce buyers. ‘My husband works for Mercedes. This is a brand new 2008, rare car, and this is a nice, rare home. So let’s market it together,’ said Lori Bates, homeowner.”
“So the $1,899,000 asking price for the home includes four bedrooms, three baths, lots of upgrades, a huge lot and a brand-new 2008 Mercedes c300, valued at $35,000.”
“It’s certainly not the only incentive sellers are offering buyers in Contra Costa County, where Dataquick reports home sales have dropped 36% in the past year. Some private sellers are throwing in pricey golf memberships, buying down interest rates, or even paying all the closing costs.”
“New home builders are trying to lure buyers with promises of free design packages or upgrades.”
“Of course, what most attracts buyers is a good home, at a good price, expensive incentives aside.”
“Dana Weiler has been selling real estate in Danville since the early 1990’s. ‘I’ve had quite a few buyers this year, and it has not been the things that might go with it. And if there’s something that goes with it, they still don’t want to pay too much for the house,’ said Weiler.”
“The bottom line is, in this market, the buyer is in the driver’s seat.”