The Entire State Is Considered A Declining Market
The San Francisco Chronicle reports from California. “A total of 343,220 single-family detached California homes closed escrow in February (seasonally adjusted), down 28.5 percent from 480,170 a year earlier, the California Association of Realtors said. Median sales price in the state was $409,240, down a stunning 26.2 percent from February 2007. In the Bay Area, the Realtors said sales were down 32.5 percent in February compared with a year ago. The median price was $706,880, a 5 percent drop compared to a year earlier.”
“One Bay Area home seller said she is close to pulling her home off the market and renting it out instead. Ali Liptrot has had her San Rafael 3-bedroom, 1-bath home on the market since early this month with no offers despite lots of visitors. Liptrot, who sells property in Baja and has her real estate license, said her asking price of $629,000 is on par for her Santa Venetia neighborhood.”
“‘It is a little perplexing; I thought for sure I’d have at least one offer by now,’ she said. ‘Every single person who walks in the house says, ‘Your house is beautiful.’ I’m like, ‘Yeah, so put in an offer; give me something to play with.’”
“Because Liptrot purchased in 2000 and has ample equity in her home, she’s not desperate to sell.”
“‘I’m keeping it on until the end of next week and then that’s it,’ she said. ‘I have a good friend I could rent it to for a year and then re-evaluate next year.”
Bay Area Newsgroup. “Foreclosure auction sales more than doubled in San Mateo County in February over a year earlier, though they slowed somewhat from their blistering January pace, a new report revealed Monday.”
“Some 81 homes were sold at foreclosure auctions last month countywide, up 224 percent from February 2007, according to a Web site that tracks California foreclosure sales.”
“Most of the local foreclosures are occurring in blue-collar cities such as San Bruno, Daly City and South San Francisco. Parts of San Mateo, Redwood City, Menlo Park and East Palo Alto are also experiencing a high rate of foreclosures.”
“Many homes in the poorer sections of these areas have lost $50,000 or $100,000 in value, real estate agents say.”
“Sean O’Toole, founder of ForeclosureRadar stressed that with more than 37,000 notices of default statewide, many more foreclosures are expected in the late second quarter and early third quarter.”
“That means many more foreclosures are on the horizon for San Mateo County, he said. In February, there were 300 notices of default countywide. That was up from 244 in January.”
“In August and September, when the subprime lending crunch kicked in and started fueling foreclosures, notices of default in San Mateo County were about 160 per month, O’Toole noted.”
“‘It appears that a number of banks don’t move in on foreclosures immediately,’ said John Gieseker, real estate agent in San Bruno. ‘Banks probably still are trying to grapple with the amount of foreclosures they have.’”
“The 81 February sales figure countywide was down from 121 in January. But the January spike was due to a backlog of foreclosures from late last year, as banks often don’t foreclose on people during the holidays, Gieseker said.”
“San Mateo County’s foreclosure rate is low compared with those in other California counties. Alameda County was up twofold to 487 sales. Santa Clara County was up more than fourfold with 351 sales.”
“In San Joaquin County, which includes Stockton, foreclosures were up more than four times compared with a year ago, with 940 sales. Merced County was up nearly fivefold, with 316 sales. Sacramento County more than doubled to 1,392 sales.”
“Riverside County had a staggering 2,159 sales, up nearly threefold. Another major problem area was San Bernardino County, which had 1,568 auction sales, up 352 percent.”
The Monterey County Herald. “Nearly 40 percent of Monterey County home sales listed in The Herald during a two-week period in late February and early March likely were foreclosures, indicating a move by banks and mortgage firms to recoup some of their losses, said one real estate expert.”
“Out of 43 homes listed in The Herald and sold from Feb. 27 to March 11, 17 were owned by banks or mortgage firms. In Seaside, all five homes sold during that time were owned by banks or mortgage firms, and in Soledad, all four sold homes were likely foreclosures.”
“In Salinas, seven of 18 sold homes were owned by banks or mortgage firms. One bank-owned home was sold off San Miguel Canyon Road in North Monterey County.”
“Sandy Haney, chief executive officer of the Monterey County Association of Realtors, said bankers are selling foreclosed properties as it becomes increasingly clear the housing market won’t rebound immediately.”
“‘Banks have finally said, ‘We have to get rid of these properties,’ Haney said. ‘I don’t think holding onto them until the market comes back (is) going to work.’”
“And Haney said the trend is expected to continue, given the explosion in foreclosed homes in the county. According to the county’s 2008 annual housing report, the number of foreclosed properties is expected to nearly double this year over 2007.”
“And county officials estimate that foreclosures will soar to nearly 3,000 homes in 2008, with the majority of those again expected to be in Salinas. ‘In Salinas, in particular, the marketplace is all about foreclosures,’ Haney said.”
“Haney said one home in North Salinas reflected the wildly fluctuating home market. In 1997, the three-bedroom, two-bath home, built 20 years earlier, sold for $124,000. Nearly a decade later, at the tail end of the market boom, the home sold for $505,000 in May 2006.”
“In August 2007, the home went back on the market, listed at $439,000, and eventually was sold earlier this month for $250,000. Haney said the home was almost certainly in foreclosure when it was sold.”
“Last year, county Assessor Steve Vagnini said, assessors lowered property assessments on about 1,000 homes during its annual review. Vagnini estimated the average reduction at about $50,000 per property.”
“This year, Vagnini predicted that as many as 5,000 properties could have their assessments reduced by an average of as much as $200,000, resulting in a reduction in property values of about $1 billion.”
“‘The impact (of the housing market collapse) wasn’t nearly as great last year to the county treasury,’ Vagnini said, ‘but it will be this year.’”
The Ventura County Star. “Even in past downturns, home values haven’t fallen this hard or fast. ‘We’re definitely in uncharted terrain,’ said Robert Kleinhenz, deputy chief economist of the California Association of Realtors. ‘That’s why it’s so difficult to figure out what the next few months will hold.’”
“In Ventura County…the median sales price was $520,270 in February, down 11.9 percent from $590,380 in January and 23.6 percent from $680,690 in February 2007.”
“The median’s month-to-month decline is ‘alarming’ because it represents an acceleration of the market decline, said Bill Watkins, executive director of the UC Santa Barbara Economic Forecast Project. ‘And that’s potentially dangerous, especially when you combine it with other weaknesses in California’s economy — in particular, the budget,’ he said.”
“Sellers can’t tell what their house is worth because consumers can’t justify spending anything on a house right now, said Mike Hobbs, a consultant for the Realtor Auction Division of Integrated Marketing Solutions in Ventura.”
“When that happens, there’s no movement, so prices drop, said Hobbs, who recently took his house off the market because the value depreciated more than the amount owed.”
“Gary Painter, director of research at the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate. He says the median’s decline represents a ’sample selection bias,’ reflecting that bank-owned properties were the largest component of sales.”
“The median price of an existing, single-family detached home in California last month was $409,240, a 26.2 percent decrease from $554,280 in February 2007, CAR reported. ‘It’s hard to imagine that the median will go much lower than that,’ Kleinhenz said. ‘That’s almost $200,000 off from its peak.’”
The Daily Breeze. “The South Bay housing market continued its slide in February, with some communities seeing a double-digit drop in home prices. Excluding the Palos Verdes Peninsula, the South Bay saw its median home price decline 7 percent last month, compared to a year earlier, said the report by CAR.”
“‘We have too much inventory,’ said Rose Pasquel, who co-owns Coldwell Banker Harbor Coast Brokers in Carson. She noted that ‘the entire state of California is considered a declining market.’”
“The Palos Verdes Peninsula saw a drop in median price of 0.4 percent to $1,150,000. But so few homes sold on The Hill that none of its four cities were individually cited. A city or community must sell at least 30 homes during the month to be cited.”
“Manhattan Beach, one of the highest-priced cities in California, also was left off the list of communities. That was the case with Hermosa Beach, El Segundo and inland areas such as Lawndale, Lomita, Carson and Gardena.”
“Gardena’s absence from the February report was unusual since the city usually meets the 30-home threshold.”
“Gardena and Carson will see tough times as many homeowners with adjustable-rate mortgages can expect loans to reset higher, Pasquel said. ‘I think this is just a first wave of problems,’ Pasquel said. ‘This is just the first wave of mortgages to reset. So we have ‘09 and ‘10 to deal with.’”
The LA Daily News. “The median price of a Los Angeles County home plunged a record 20 percent, or $117,010, in February from a year ago as sales continued their free fall as foreclosures increased, a trade association said Monday.”
“During February the county’s median price fell to $467,200 from $584,210 last year. It’s the second consecutive record drop, percentage wise. Sales in the county fell 42 percent from February 2007 and slipped 10.5 percent from January, the association said.”
“On a monthly basis, sales increased 9.6 percent. Leslie Appleton-Young, the association’s chief economist, said that the monthly sales increase could be an encouraging sign since February was the strongest sales month of 2007.”
“‘So we expect to see that percentage (decline) moderate as we go forward,’ she said. ‘I think we are heading into kind of a bouncing along the bottom (mode) for a little while. I don’t think this will be a sharp V in terms of recovery.’”
“In the High Desert, which includes the Antelope Valley, the median price fell 31 percent to $220,380 and sales fell 27.7 percent from from a year ago.”
The Press Democrat. “New loans are trickling out that cut borrowing costs for larger Sonoma County home mortgages, but the savings fall short of expectations, potentially limiting any boost to the stagnant housing market, lenders said.”
“Borrowers continue to pay higher interest rates for loans above $417,000, the old cap on loans backed by the government. It can also be difficult to qualify for the new loans created by the federal economic stimulus package, which temporarily provides government backing for loans up to $662,500.”
“‘It will help a little bit probably, but not a ton, as we were hoping. It’s not going to solve the housing problem,’ said Alison Fetherolf, VP for the Santa Rosa office of Sterns Lending, which funds mortgages.”
“But loans up to $662,500 in Sonoma County still carry higher interest rates — as much as a full percentage point — than loans under $417,000, lenders said. Rising interest rates may dull the impact of the new loans. Mortgage rates have moved higher for more than a month due to concerns over the housing market and rising inflation.”
“‘A loan at 7 percent is not going to help the housing market,’ said Scott Dovala, branch manager for Ascent Home Loans, which funds mortgages.”
“On Monday, for instance, one lender charged 6.125 percent interest on loans up to $417,000, but 7.125 percent on those up to $662,500. For even larger loans, the lender charged 8.125 percent.”
“While that middle tier is less expensive than the jumbo rate, the pricing still reflects a risk premium because of the large loan amount.”
“‘The lenders are all afraid no one is going to buy them. That’s the whole problem. That’s why the regular jumbo picture is so ugly,’ said Kris Anderson, a mortgage broker in Santa Rosa.”
“Lenders stung by soaring foreclosures are requiring borrowers to meet tough standards to qualify for all loans, including the new mortgages.”
“‘Will borrowers be able to save money by refinancing? Sure they will. But realistically, they will not save as much as they currently think,’ Dovala said.”
“Fannie Mae, for instance, requires a 700 credit score if the borrower’s down payment is less than 20 percent of the purchase price. Fannie Mae also won’t allow homeowners to refinance a first and second mortgage into a single loan.”
“‘It’s pretty huge. A lot of people have first and second mortgages,’ Fetherolf said. ‘If Fannie Mae isn’t allowing us to pay off the second, then it really doesn’t do us any good.’”