The New Mantra Of The Real Estate Business In California
The LA Times reports from California. “Major lenders are repossessing homes in Southern California much faster than they can sell them, a development that could set off a downward spiral of price cuts and more foreclosures. Lenders’ inventories in the counties of Los Angeles, Riverside and San Bernardino grew by 5,829 during the second quarter, according to data compiled for The Times by First American,”
“Jason Bosch, president of Home Center Realty, an Inland Empire firm that works with lenders…has put 42 lender-owned homes on the market since the beginning of the year. Only two have sold.”
“Bosch cited one house in Perris that a lender listed for $427,000. Home Center received an offer of $419,000, but the lender said it wouldn’t budge. The would-be buyer moved on to a more flexible seller.”
“Ten days later, the lender lowered the price to $417,000, where it still sits.”
“It’s got to get worse before it gets better, said Michael Davin, executive VP of Catalist Homes in Hermosa Beach, echoing the new mantra of the real estate business. ‘We need a shakeout to stabilize the market,’ he said. ‘Lenders are going to have to start cutting prices big time.’”
The Bakersfield Californian. “In February, the notice arrived.Christina Ramirez’s home of 16 years had been foreclosed upon. She had three days to pack up and get out. Statistics suggest that similar scenarios are playing out for hundreds of homeowners across Kern County. Foreclosure filings increased nearly six-fold this June, compared with the same month last year, according to RealtyTrac.”
“‘It’s everywhere,’ said Katy Hudson, CEO of the Consumer Credit Counseling Service of Kern & Tulare Counties. Hudson’s office is busy this year, as homeowners with adjustable rate mortgages find themselves unable to meet monthly payments once their interest rates rise.”
”They were made loans that they could barely afford in the first place,’ Hudson said.”
“Two years ago, Bakersfield homes were the fastest-appreciating in America. Eager home shoppers were lining up in lawn chairs outside model homes, just itching for their chance to buy.”
“Now sluggish home sales, falling prices and thousands of homeowners entering foreclosure are reminders that busts follow booms.”
“‘In the past, we never saw any great appreciation,’ said said Kym Moore, a construction lending veteran. ‘So we never saw great peaks and great valleys.’”
“‘The economy is still moving forward,’ said Leslie Appleton-Young, chief economist with the California Association of Realtors. ‘But the excesses in the housing market over the past couple of years were creating an environment where people were betting that prices would keep going up 15, 20 percent a year.’”
“‘There’s nothing that will compare to this,’ said Brian Dawson, who started selling real estate in Bakersfield in 1978. ‘The foreclosures are massive — way, way more than anything in the 1990s.”
“Appleton-Young is bullish on the long-term outlook for Bakersfield as well. But recovery will take time, she said. ‘We won’t be booming by 2008,’ Appleton-Young said.”
The San Francisco Chronicle. “The mortgage meltdown hit consumers square in the face last week. ‘You used to be able to do a stated-income loan (with no documentation) up to 100 percent (of the purchase price) if you had good credit scores. It just can’t be done any more,’ says Jason Bellevue, a mortgage broker in Berkeley.”
“Ernest Williams, a part-time Realtor in El Sobrante, has a client in escrow on a home in Vallejo. In late May, the client was prequalified for a loan up to $450,000 with nothing down and no income verification. The client has ‘impeccable credit’ and a FICO score over 750, Williams says.”
“On June 29, the client offered $417,000 for the house and his offer was accepted. When the mortgage broker submitted his application to a lender the last week in July, he was turned down. The application was submitted to two more lenders last week and was rejected.”
“‘He was declined because they wouldn’t do stated-income loans above 90 percent anymore,’ Williams says. ‘If he provided full documentation for his income, he wouldn’t qualify for the loan because he doesn’t make enough money,’ Williams says.”
“The client is willing to put 5 percent down. ‘If he can’t get the seller to carry a second (mortgage) or come down on the price, he will have to walk away,’ he says”.
The Modesto Bee. “As foreclosures mount and ‘for sale’ signs proliferate among Northern San Joaquin Valley homes, Realtors continue a refrain: ‘Now is the time to buy.’”
“‘Buyers have an enormous ability to haggle over costs,’ said Realtor Ken Kohler. ‘But the bottom line is that the seller has to make some money off the deal, so you can’t come in and lowball too much,’ he said.”
“Agent Yolanda Esparza Winters said she’s seen some neighborhoods with multiple bank-owned homes. She suspects that on those streets, the former owners may have had subprime loans with conditions that eventually caused defaults.”
“‘If a buyer who seeks a home has the financing all arranged, that makes the process go that much faster,’ she said. ‘Sellers look for that.’”
“Bob Nowak and Jan Carrico run a monthly meeting in Salida for people to discuss real estate investing. ‘It’s very hard to buy something now and expect it to be worth more in 30 days,’ Nowak said, describing a practice known as ‘flipping.’”
“Lana Dyer, an independent Modesto Realtor and appraiser, said she has seen two deals fall through in recent weeks because the buyers didn’t know their own ability to pay. When one couple realized the mortgage payment would be $2,400 a month, she said, weeks of negotiations stopped.”
“Eventually the oversupply of houses will stop, and prices will head upward again, though no one’s predicting when that will happen. ‘It can’t go down forever,’ Dyer said. ‘It wouldn’t scare me, if I could, to make an offer and buy a house now.’”
The Orange County Register. “An Orange County Register investigation found that lenders targeting Hispanic buyers wrote $19 million in loans on this modest Santa Ana block of 1920s bungalows. Those loans helped nearly triple sales prices from $182,000 to $600,000 over five years.”
“Then the credit stopped. And home values crashed.”
“Lenders seized the homes at 920 and 946 after owners failed to keep up with payments. 946 sold at a loss, and 920 is in escrow at a loss. Lenders also filed default notices against the owners of 926 in April and 937 in June. ‘For Sale’ signs hang outside five of the remaining 48 homes.”
“Desperate to escape escalating payments, the owners of 937 and 1033 have slashed prices.”
“With neighbors asking $150,000 less than Medina Albarran borrowed a year ago, the situation has become almost hopeless. ‘La droga,’ Albarran said. That’s Spanish for ‘drug’ – Mexican slang for a crippling debt. The people of West Camile Street, she said, are ‘endrogados’ – hooked on debt.”
“The only ones who seem content are longtime residents like Rafael Zambrano, who moved to 930 W. Camile St. in 1988. The chef and father of four said he has nearly paid off his $177,000 mortgage.”
“‘I never sell. I never refinance,’ Zambrano said. ‘I don’t take money out of my house to buy a car or take a vacation. I’m not stupid.’”