Everybody Is Waiting For A Better Opportunity In California
Reuters reports on California. “Sheila Hill is no closer to making a down payment on a house than she was a year ago, when she began shopping in the San Diego area, even though prices on some of the single-family homes she has seen have fallen $200,000. ‘It’s kind of an awkward time right now to be a buyer,’ Hill said. ‘I have the credit, but with the market slipping down so much it’s hard to know when to jump in.’”
“‘They are terrified to purchase a home and have it decline in value,’ said Steve Johnson, director of the Southern California region for Metrostudy. ‘We haven’t seen this kind of buyer apathy in regards to committing to real estate in 15 years.’”
“Prospective buyers like Hill and Chanette Duplessis, would rather sit on the sidelines for now.”
“‘I’m a little hesitant to jump right in immediately, because I think that prices are still going to go down,’ said Duplessis, who has been paying $2,600 a month in rent since she sold her last home in the city of Inglewood near Los Angeles a year and a half ago.”
“‘I’m not at this point too anxious,’ she said. ‘You know why rich people are rich? Because they shop around.’”
The Orange County Register. “Mike Borja has witnessed diminishing house prices first-hand since putting his home up for sale this summer. While he had to lower the price by almost $50,000 to adjust to the market, he says he can still make a fair profit on the home he bought for $276,000 in 1999.”
“‘I appraised my home last year and it was worth $552,000,’ Borja says of the three-bedroom condo in Terracina, one of Rancho’s newest communities. ‘I’m now selling it for $519,000.’”
“Borja is not alone in wanting to sell his home before it further depreciates. Of the 12,723 owner-occupied homes in town, according to the 2000 U.S. Census, about 365 of them are on the market, according to Rancho Realtor Laurene Davis. The median home price in Rancho is $594,500.”
The North County Times. “The pace of home building in Riverside County, the epicenter of California’s recent housing boom, has slowed to less than half what it was a year ago, a report released Monday by the California Building Industry Association shows.”
“‘We’ve been on this trend for a number of months,’ said Borre Winckel, executive director for the Riverside County Chapter of the Building Industry Association of Southern California. ‘We’ve been trending fully 50 percent below last year.’”
“Winckel said area residents can expect that trend to continue through 2008, accompanied by a moderate decline in home values.”
“Analysts say many buyers of existing homes are refusing to make purchases unless sellers offer steep discounts, and sellers are refusing to budge on prices, in the hopes of getting what their neighbors did at the height of the boom. ‘We have this curious phenomenon, where everybody is waiting for a better opportunity,’ Winckel said.”
“Winckel said the downturn is concerning because home building accounts for about one-third of Riverside County jobs, either directly through construction or indirectly through sales of appliances, lawn mowers and other items used in the home.”
“Winckel said builders also are concerned about their livelihood. ‘We’re not looking to go from bust to boom again; we’re just looking to get back into the business,’ he said.”
“Winckel urged potential buyers to…take advantage of the swelling inventories of for-sale signs in neighborhoods all over the county. Economist Robert Campbell predicted most buyers won’t. ‘We’re in a hurricane right now. The leading edge of the hurricane is hitting us with full force,’ he said. ‘You think people are going to jump back into this market after what’s happened the last year and a half? No way.’”
The Daily News. “Foreclosures soared an annual 246.8 percent in the greater San Fernando Valley during July as trouble with adjustable rate loans continues to mount, a university research center said Tuesday.”
“‘This is an ominous sign,’ said Daniel Blake, director of the Economic Research Center at California State University, Northridge. ‘There are a lot of possible (loan) resets out there, and we don’t know the extent of them.’”
“In all, 263 homeowners lost their properties last month. In July 2006 just 47 homeowners from Glendale to Calabasas lost their homes. At the current rate, foreclosures alone could account for 4,700 homes on the market next year.”
“‘That could bring enough housing on the market to upset the price stability we’ve seen here,’ Blake said of the market from Glendale to Calabasas.”
“Jim Link, executive VP of the Van Nuys-based Southland Regional Association of Realtors, said that it may even bring a buying opportunity because prices have yet to fall by a large amount.”
“‘Roughly 20 percent of the market (sales) being REOS (foreclosures) I think … would definitely have an impact on prices,’ he said.”
“Malaise continued in other markets, too, including the Santa Clarita Valley. Sales of previously owned single family homes fell 18 percent to 194 transactions. And the median price declined 5.8 percent to $570,000. Condo sales fell an annual 32 percent to 83 properties and the median price slipped 4 percent to $359,000.”
The LA Times. “More than 100 houses a day are being foreclosed on in Southern California, up from 13 a day last year. That’s still a relative handful for such a populous area, but even the optimists predict that the problem will soon get much worse.”
“In a Los Angeles cul-de-sac off Coldwater Canyon Drive near Beverly Hills, there’s a foreclosed house that should be empty and isn’t. The mansion in question was bought by a man in early 2005 for $1.4 million. By last fall he was gone and the property was in foreclosure.”
“Authorities and real estate agents say similar problems arose during the wave of foreclosures in the 1990s, when houses stayed empty for months.”
“Chris Ragsdale, the Los Angeles Police Department’s senior lead officer for Westwood and Bel-Air, recalled one case from the end of that era in Pacific Palisades. The squatters changed the locks, turned on the electricity and brought in furniture. When the agent trying to sell the place showed up, they maintained that they had a lease.”
“‘If you know what you’re doing, you can get six months in a place with a kick-ass view,’ Ragsdale said.”
The Bakersfield Californian. “Once-prominent real estate salesman David Crisp last week received two new default notices on the Stockdale Highway offices he bought in April and was named in a lawsuit demanding repayment of more than $160,000.”
“More than 85 local properties associated with the former Crisp & Cole Real Estate company have defaulted since the beginning of the year, according to an ongoing Californian tally.”
“Also last week, Chicago Title Company filed a lawsuit against Crisp, his wife and Crisp, Cole & Associates. The lawsuit seeks more than $160,917, alleging Crisp failed to repay a line of credit on a property he bought at 1215 L St.”
“Crisp bought the home, took out a $149,500 line of credit from Wells Fargo Bank and gifted a 99 percent interest in the property to Crisp, Cole & Associates before selling on November 10, 2006, according to the lawsuit. Crisp received $235,000 in proceeds from the sale.”
The El Dorado Hills Telegraph. “Folsom and El Dorado Hills are located in the ninth worst market - the Sacramento metropolitan area - for home foreclosures nationwide, but they’ve been spared the carnage somewhat.”
“Sacramento County saw 3,840 notices of default filed between April and June 2007, a 184 percent jump compared with the same quarter in 2006, reported DataQuick. El Dorado County, with 222 notices filed, saw a slightly smaller increase of 158 percent.”
“Jim Foster, who works with JM Morgan Funding in Folsom and lives in El Dorado Hills, said neither area was as hard hit as regions like Elk Grove, Lincoln, and South Sacramento.”
“Like any game, Foster said the market is psychologically driven. ‘Even if you’re scraping by making a payment, if the house you bought for $500,000 is now worth $600,000, you have more invested,’ he said. ‘You’re going to find a way to make it work. But when (the value) goes down, frankly people just divorce themselves from the house and walk.’”
“El Dorado Hills is a slightly different animal, Foster said. On his own street, Powers Drive, Foster has watched foreclosures on at least two $1 million-plus homes in the past six months.”
“EDH took a more industry-specific hit than Folsom. ‘A lot of these people were dialed into real estate as mortgage brokers or builders and this industry has taken a big hit,’ he said. ‘Some are making one-tenth the money they made before.’”
“‘When foreclosures do occur in Folsom, they’re mostly among younger couples who financed their house with no payment down and adjustable-rate mortgages, the phenomenon that’s rendered fast-growing areas like Elk Grove rife with lost homes.”
“Interest rates went up, payments went up, and with the lack of appreciation the market is seeing, homeowners no longer have the equity to pull out of their house to make payments,’ explained Tom Pellegrini, of Norcal Foreclosure Services in Folsom.”
“Foster knows of two or three Folsom couples in their 20’s who allowed the bank to foreclose on their homes, opting to rent instead.”
“‘They weren’t even behind on their mortgage,’ Foster said. ‘They just figured they could rent a house for half the payment, and twice the square footage.’”