This Is Not Going To Be A Quick Turnaround
The Daily News reports from California. “Housing experts painted a grim picture of Los Angeles’ real-estate market Tuesday as City Councilman Richard Alarcon called for city, state and federal funds to help bail out city homeowners who can’t pay their mortgages. Foreclosures hit a record level in California last month and officials said 1,074 homes were foreclosed on in Los Angeles County, up more than 600 percent from last year.”
“‘We’re seeing people who borrowed $600,000 and can only afford $300,000,’ said Lori Gay, CEO of Los Angeles Neighborhood Housing Services.”
“‘Is there a fix? It’s hard to imagine the fix for people who have to pay $1,500 more a month and don’t have a way to pay it,’ said Dan Blake, director of the San Fernando Valley Research Center at California State University, Northridge.”
“‘It’s a real dilemma. People bought houses they couldn’t afford and can’t make their payments now. Does local government want to subsidize people who made an irrational purchase?’ Blake said.”
“‘There has to be some element of personal responsibility here,’ said David Wolfe, legislative director with the watchdog group Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association. ‘Is that a good use of taxpayer dollars to, in effect, bail out people who should have known the consequences of those mortgages when they signed them?’”
“No relief is expected. ‘We’re in for another quarter of record activity,’ said John Karevoll, DataQuick’s chief analyst.”
“Leslie Appleton-Young, chief economist at the California Association of Realtors, said some adjustable loans taken out in 2005 and 2006 still have to reset, and it could result in more homeowners being unable to make their payments.”
“In fact, the market might not start rebounding until late next year. ‘We have definitely not seen the bottom yet,’ she said. ‘I know this is not going to be a quick turnaround.’”
The LA Times. “Lawmakers and lenders called on the state’s troubled home mortgage industry Tuesday to step up efforts to help financially strapped Californians avoid losing their homes to foreclosure. But they stopped well short of endorsing calls from consumer groups for a moratorium on foreclosures, now at a 20-year high.”
“‘Legislative efforts to intervene in the market are not the answer,’ said state Sen. Michael Machado, chairman of the Senate Banking, Finance and Insurance Committee. ‘They can cause befuddlement at best.’”
“Dorothy Hicks, an Oakland retiree who is fighting off a foreclosure, said she was struggling to meet a new monthly payment on a refinanced mortgage that jumped to $2,700 a month.”
“‘My credit is now in the toilet because I’ve had trouble meeting the payments,’ she said. ‘Unless I can figure out a way to get out of this mess, I’m going to lose a home I’ve lived in for almost 40 years.’”
The San Francisco Chronicle. “Homeowners and consumer advocates urged a state Senate committee to help save foreclosure victims’ homes and improve lending standards on Tuesday, the same day a study showed that foreclosure filings in California almost quadrupled in July compared with a year ago.”
“RealtyTrac.com said 39,013 California households, 1 of every 333 in the state, received a notice in July that it was in some stage of foreclosure. That was 289 percent higher than in July 2006 and gave the state the fourth-highest foreclosure rate in the nation.”
“‘Today illustrated that we’re looking at the tip of the iceberg in terms of the problems of foreclosures,’ said Sen. Machado, in an interview after the hearing. ‘In October, $50 billion in loans (will) reset as part of $1 trillion over the next year and a half.’”
“In the Bay Area…the most-affected county, Contra Costa, saw 1,271 homeowners receive notices that they were behind on their mortgages, 649 receive notices their properties would be auctioned and 389 lose their properties to foreclosures. The 2,309 total foreclosure notices in Contra Costa was up 466 percent from last July.”
The Sacramento Bee. “Regionally, banks repossessed 2,251 homes and filed default notices against 5,200 more during the three-month period in Amador, El Dorado, Nevada, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter, Yolo and Yuba counties.”
“Lenders, who have been criticized for being slow to offer alternatives to foreclosure, said they’re busy doubling and tripling ‘loss mitigation’ staffs to offer loan makeovers.”
“But industry reps acknowledged it’s harder, though not impossible, to help with subprime loans packaged on the secondary market and sold to global investors.”
“Nonprofit loan counselors were skeptical about the workout claims. ‘We don’t see them (lenders) coming to the table…a significant amount of the time,’ said Martha Lucey, CEO of Fresno-based By Design Financial Solutions.”
“Often, said Ed Delgado, a senior VP at San Francisco-based Wells Fargo, troubled borrowers are reluctant to give up cell phones and satellite TV to work out financial solutions.”
“‘Some of this behavior does fall on the consumer,’ he told the committee.”
The Orange County Register. “Orange County reported 1,560 filings, or one for every 652 households. It ranked 24 out of 55 metropolitan areas in the state. Total filings were up 166 percent from July 2006.”
“Rick Sharga for RealtyTrac, said loan servicing companies have to follow certain rules agreed to by investors. ‘In some cases they are allowed to do loan modifications and in some cases they aren’t,’ Sharga said. ‘That’s really a maddening thing for the homeowner.’”
The Times Herald. “A faltering economy is sending a chill through American Canyon’s red-hot housing market, local real estate agents said Tuesday. Out of roughly 160 homes available for resale in the city, only four sold during July.”
“It was one of the slowest months for homes sales in the past three years, said David Barker of RE/MAX Napa Valley. ‘There were only four sales in July, which is somewhat worrying because it’s usually one of the better months of the year,’ he said.”
“That marks a drastic change from what Realtors were seeing in 2004 and 2005, Barker said, when available American Canyon properties were in tight supply and home values were rising up to 20 percent a year.”
“Cori Badertscher, an independent real estate agent, said it is the worst market she has seen since relocating to American Canyon about seven years ago. Over the previous two years, she said there were typically no more than 40 homes on the market at any given time.”
“Last year, 16 homes were sold during July and 23 were sold during the same time period in 2005. Now the glut just keeps growing, with the 160 homes listed for sale in July growing to 172 as of Tuesday.”
“Erin Heeley of Prudential California Realty, said now sellers have to be patient because buyers are becoming more cautious and selective. The current housing market slowdown originated years ago when the average Bay Area home price sailed over $600,000 but the average income was around $70,000, she said.”
“‘Obviously, someone making $70,000 a year is not going to be able to afford a $650,000 house,’ she said.”
“As a result, she said many people artificially inflated their incomes with loans, which were relatively easy to get but were structured with risks that could leave payments going up while home values fell.”
“In the meantime, earlier home buyers who did get those easy loans are now losing their houses to foreclosure and can’t find a buyer offering enough to bail them out.”
“Meanwhile, many sellers keep dropping their prices to sell their homes and everyone in their neighborhood follows suit to stay competitive. ‘It’s kind of a mess,’ Heeley said. ‘I think things will keep dropping into next year then level off for a while.’”
“‘It’s really sad to see these people get foreclosed on and it makes the market even worse,’ Badertscher said. ‘Well, it’s bad for sellers. It is a buyer’s market.’”
“Such a buyer’s market, in fact, that many are forecasting what homes will be selling for next year and offering that price now, said Heeley.”