The Tables Have Turned In California
The Desert Sun reports from California. “With sales of existing homes in 2007 expected to match the 2002 national sales record, REALTORS still must educate the public about the value of real estate as a long-term investment instead of a get-in and get-out stock strategy. That was among the key messages at the recent National Association of Realtors’ Conference and Expo in Las Vegas, said Emily DiSimone, president of the California Desert Association of REALTORS.”
“‘Housing continues to be a good long-term investment,’ DiSimone said. ‘Real estate is alive and well in the Coachella Valley and there are plenty of opportunities for consumers and REALTORS in the current market.’”
“Jose Miralla, who lives in Beaumont, is already three months behind on the mortgage on his four-bedroom house. His troubles began on closing day, when he was presented with a higher interest rate than he expected. With a credit score of 670…Miralla says he could have qualified for a better rate. But he accepted the subprime rate for fear of forfeiting a $5,000 security deposit.”
“Miralla, who sells home alarm systems and works on commission, figured he could make the payments although money would be tight. But his sales figures slipped. A newlywed, he now wishes he’d backed out of the deal.”
“‘All the dreams we had to be together, to have a life together have just been ruined,’ he said.”
“As foreclosure rates climb, so has the number of homes available for purchase, said Greg Berkemer, director of the California Desert Association of Realtors. ‘There is more inventory than there is demand today,’ he said, noting about 9,000 homes are for sale in the desert.”
“The median price of a home in Palm Springs is about $346,000, an 8 percent decrease from the previous month, according to the association.”
The Recordnet. “When Jenny and Ricardo Hernandez bought their north Stockton home in 2005, their monthly mortgage payments were around $1,800. Now the payments total nearly $3,000 - more than the working couple’s monthly net income - and the Hernandez family is facing almost inevitable foreclosure.”
“‘We can’t go back and change what we’ve done,’ Jenny Hernandez said. ‘But we need to do whatever we can do now.’”
“‘They’re supposed to be the experts, and they’re making money to represent you,’ said Carol Ornelas, the CEO of a Stockton-based nonprofit that builds housing for low-income families. ‘Realtors and lenders have a fiduciary responsibility to their clients. That’s Real Estate 101.’”
The Sacramento Bee. “For Stephen Cook and Georgia Turner of West Sacramento, the trauma from losing the single-story house on Tacoma Narrows Street last spring remains all too real today.”
“‘Sacramento just means sadness to me,’ Turner says, crying at a coffee shop before leaving town. ‘Whenever I look at a house now I see an albatross.’”
“‘I just wanted to own a home,’ says Andrea Eddy, who lives in Trinity County now, a four-hour drive from the capital. ‘I thought everything was perfect with my husband and our jobs and our daughter, and that a house was the next step.’”
“A year after losing her new light-brown two-story home at Southport’s Huckleberry Circle, she says, ‘I just wish we never would have bought.’”
“‘It’s been hard,’ says Andrea Eddy in Weaverville, where her family of three now rents from her father. ‘I feel everything we worked for to that point is totally destroyed. Now we’re trying to work our way back up and keep our heads afloat.’”
“Eddy and her husband, Christopher, walked away from their West Sacramento house in December 2006 because everything they banked on – rising home values, ability to refinance an expensive and risky subprime loan within two years and uninterrupted incomes – went wrong.”
“The new $337,000 house they bought in May 2006 lost value from the day they moved in. (It’s for sale now for $255,000. Nine more homes nearby are also for sale). One state government salary couldn’t make the $3,000 monthly payments when Christopher lost work. Neither could the Eddys sell as newer neighborhoods such as theirs slumped across the capital region.”
“Seven months after buying their first house, they were renters again. ‘We just got our credit better and now it’s shot,’ she says.”
The San Francisco Chronicle. “The 5 1/2 weeks between Thanksgiving and New Year’s used to be a time for agents, brokers and others in the real estate industry - at least the ones who have had a good year - to pack their bags and head to the Caribbean. The thing is, this hasn’t been a very good year.”
“‘The sellers who are on the market now really do need, in fact, to sell,’ said Frank Cannella, branch manager for Prudential California Realty in Pleasanton. ‘Sellers don’t go through the hassle of having their homes on the market during the holidays to test the market. There is more sincerity on the seller side.’”
“Earl Rozran, a Prudential agent…is working with a client in San Leandro to get his home on the market in the next week or so. ‘We talked a lot about whether to wait until the first quarter,’ Rozran said. ‘We’ve seen a lot of foreclosures and short sales and in some respects some pretty desperate sellers and my own gut feeling is that will increase considerably in 2008.’”
The Orange County Register. “Martha Baker-Jordan had hoped to sell her four-bedroom home in Placentia by now. But after 90 days on the market, only about three people have even bothered to come see it.”
“So when her real estate listing agreement expired last week, she dropped her price and signed up to keep the home on the market right through the holidays. ‘I really want to move. I really want to downsize,’ Baker-Jordan said of her decision to persevere through the holidays. ‘I’m tired of the maintenance. I’m tired of taking care of the pool.’”
“Buyers traditionally take time off from home shopping as well, devoting more time to gift shopping instead. This year is no different, several local real estate agents said, except that many sellers have no choice but to keep their homes on the market.”
“As a result, the number of Orange County home sellers this holiday season is the highest it’s been in at least a decade, said Steven Thomas, an Aliso Viejo broker. There were 16,803 homes for sale in Orange County as of Tuesday, Thomas said. That’s 3,200 more than this time last year and double the number in 2005.”
“Not everyone is staying on the market. About 500 sellers took their homes off the market in the last two weeks, with about 50 sellers leaving the market every day, Thomas said. But the number of listings remains high because fewer homes are selling.”
“Rich Cosner, president of a Prudential California Realtychain in Orange County and the Inland Empire, believes that it’s smart for sellers to keep their homes on the market through the holidays. The buyers you see from Thanksgiving to Christmas are the most serious ones, he said. And chances are that sellers will have to sell for less if they wait until next year.”
“‘There’s a huge number of foreclosures down the road,’ he said. ‘Because of these foreclosures, I think (prices will) get less and less every month.’”
“There is an axiom of California politics that no issue is too large or too complex that state lawmakers can’t react to it, late, and with ineptitude. The veracity of this was illustrated again Thursday.”
“For about an hour, speaker after speaker rhetorically wrung their hands and recited a litany of woes about the situation. The legislators trotted out two ‘victims’ of the meltdown, who told parts of their stories about losing their homes to foreclosure.”
“It turned out one of them apparently hadn’t read the fine print on the adjustable rate mortgages she signed, and the other – who actually owned two houses and was renting one – got into trouble when much higher payments started on one of his mortgages.”
“Not a single speaker suggested that perhaps at least part of this problem has been caused by people who knowingly took on a bigger mortgage than they could afford, and gambled that higher housing prices would bail them out by letting them sell for a profit before their mortgage’s interest rates climbed.”
“Or that some people are dumber than stumps, and signed a legal document without even inquiring what it obligated them to do.”
“I’m in no way suggesting that there aren’t hundreds or even thousands of people who were conned into bad mortgages by slimy lenders, or that people who lost jobs or spouses got slammed when housing prices dropped while their mortgage payments went up.”
“But for legislators to show up on this issue in late November isn’t just an example of closing the barn door after the horse is gone. It’s more like they’re trying to build a new barn door while the horse has been running around for weeks, pooping on the neighbors’ lawns.”
“And one doesn’t have to be overly cynical to suggest that their call for a special session on the issue is based in part on a desire to have something to trot out in front of voters before they ask them to extend their terms in office at the Feb. 5 election.”
The Modesto Bee. “The housing slump has a silver lining for public agencies, which are finding a glut of private contractors looking for work and dropping their prices. And the competition equates to lower bids.”
“‘What is essentially happening is that there is no real construction for housing development right now so these contractors don’t have a lot to do, and so they are bidding pretty tight to get these jobs,’ said Pete Martin, senior civil engineer for San Joaquin County’s public works department. ‘It is not good for the industry, but it is good for us, at least temporarily. We get a lot for our money, and there is nothing wrong with that.’”
“Martin said if prices stay low through the year, the savings might be enough to pay for another project.”
“The tables have turned. For the last several years, builders have had the upper hand in price negotiation. The lowest bids regularly came in above engineers’ estimates as municipal projects competed with work on residential subdivisions and prices surged for materials — particularly steel. They have since leveled off and even dropped.”
“‘This represents a great opportunity for taxpayers, while the cost of labor and materials is lower, to push projects out the door because, obviously, the taxpayers will get more bang for their dollar,’ said Steve Madison, executive VP of the Building Industry Association of Central California.”
“‘And that will help the local construction economy because while the home building sector was the leader, we are not the leader right now. And if the other sectors of construction can be more involved, that will help the economy,’ he said.”